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  • Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals: 2016 Week 4 NFL Pick - Miami Dolphins (1-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-2) The Bengals could easily be 0-3 right now, if not for a missed extra point by the Jets that could have sent the game to overtime. However, they’ve had a tough schedule so far. Both the Steelers and the Broncos (their two losses) are legitimate playoff teams, while [...]
  • New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs: 2016 Week 3 NFL Pick - New York Jets (1-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-1) One of my favorite things to do as a bettor is go against significant week-to-week line movements. This game has a significant one, as the Chiefs were favored by 4 points on the early line, but the line has since dropped to 3, as a result [...]
  • Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans: 2016 Week 3 NFL Pick - Oakland Raiders (1-1) at Tennessee Titans (1-1) Both of these two teams were high on my underrated list going into the season. The Titans have so far exceeded expectations, not just winning last week on the road in Detroit, but also moving the chains at a higher rate than their opponent in both games. They [...]
  • Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints: 2016 Week 3 NFL Pick - Atlanta Falcons (1-1) at New Orleans Saints (0-2) One of my favorite things to do as a bettor is go against significant week-to-week line movements. This game has a significant one, as the Saints were favored by 4 points on the early line, but the line has since dropped to 3, as a result of [...]
  • Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers: 2016 Week 3 NFL Pick - Minnesota Vikings (2-0) at Carolina Panthers (1-1) The Vikings are 2-0, but actually have allowed their opponents to move the chains at a higher rate than they have in both games. Their 2-0 record is largely the result of a +5 turnover margin and a +2 return touchdown margin, two things that tend to be [...]
  • San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: 2016 Week 3 NFL Pick - San Francisco 49ers (1-1) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1) The Seahawks’ offense has struggled mightily through the first two games of the season, producing just one touchdown and moving the chains at a 63.93% rate. Only Minnesota, Houston, and Los Angeles are moving the chains at a lower rate than the Seahawks. The Seahawks’ defense remains [...]
  • Washington Redskins at New York Giants: 2016 Week 3 NFL Pick - Washington Redskins (0-2) at New York Giants (2-0) This is one I wish I locked in earlier this week, when the Redskins were 4.5 point underdogs. Massive sharp bets have dropped this line to 3.5 or even 3 in some places, so we’ve lost all line value with the Redskins. Unless you can get the [...]
  • Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals: 2016 Week 3 NFL Pick - Denver Broncos (2-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-1) These two teams have had opposite starts to the season schedule wise. While the Broncos were home for their first 2 games, the Cincinnati opened the season on the road against the Jets and Steelers. That hurts Cincinnati’s chances here in this week 3 matchup, as they’ve had [...]
  • Arizona Cardinals at Buffalo Bills: 2016 Week 3 NFL Pick - Arizona Cardinals (1-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-2) Earlier this off-season, the Bills looked like a legitimate candidate to make the playoffs for the first time since 1999, after coming up just short in each of the past two seasons. However, they’ve had some very bad luck since then. They’re without their first and second round [...]
  • Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2016 Week 3 NFL Pick - Baltimore Ravens (2-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2) Through 2 games, the Ravens lead the NFL in rate of moving the chains differential (RMCD). Of course, it’s only two games and their competition hasn’t been hard (Buffalo and Cleveland), but the Jaguars don’t seem much better. Through 2 games, they’re 30th in RMCD, after finishing last [...]