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  • San Francisco 49ers at Chicago Bears: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick - San Francisco 49ers (1-10) at Chicago Bears (2-9) The 49ers have lost 10 straight games, but are favored here on the road. To give you an idea of how rare that is, the 49ers are just the 5th team since 1989 to be favored despite being on a losing streak of 10+ games and just [...]
  • Buffalo Bills at Oakland Raiders: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick - Buffalo Bills (6-5) at Oakland Raiders (9-2) This line at 3 in favor of the hometown Oakland Raiders seems to be confusing a lot of people, as the public is all over the favorite. That’s understandable, as the Bills are 6-5 and the Raiders are 9-2, but the Raiders have won 7 of their 9 [...]
  • Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick - Los Angeles Rams (4-7) at New England Patriots (9-2) The Patriots enter this game 2nd in first down rate differential, despite the fact that they were missing starting quarterback Tom Brady for the first 4 games of the season, but there’s still plenty of reason to be concerned with them. Their defense hasn’t been the [...]
  • Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick - Houston Texans (6-5) at Green Bay Packers (5-6) The Texans are 6-5, but their 6 wins have come by a combined 36 points, while their 5 losses have come by a combined 78 points, with none of them being closer than 7 points. As a result, they have a -42 point differential that ranks 26th [...]
  • Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick - Detroit Lions (7-4) at New Orleans Saints (5-6) The Saints enter this game at 5-6 and the Lions enter at 7-4, but the Saints have been much better than their record this season, while the Lions have been much worse than their record. On the season, the Saints have 43 more first downs than their [...]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Diego Chargers: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-5) at San Diego Chargers (5-6) The Buccaneers got an impressive home victory over the Seahawks last week, but teams tend not to cover coming off of a home upset victory, going 60-80 ATS the following week since 2012. Teams tend to be overrated off of a home upset victory, as they [...]
  • Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick - Kansas City Chiefs (8-3) at Atlanta Falcons (7-4) For weeks, the Chiefs have been at the top of my overrated teams list. They’re still on the list, as they are overly reliant on winning close games (5 wins by a touchdown or fewer), winning the turnover margin (+14 on the season), and getting return touchdowns [...]
  • Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick - Indianapolis Colts (5-6) at New York Jets (3-8) The Colts get Andrew Luck back from injury this week, but still have major problems on both sides of the ball. Defensively, they struggle against the run and the pass and, on the offensive side of the ball, they’ve had major issues upfront on the offensive line [...]
  • Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick - Carolina Panthers (4-7) at Seattle Seahawks (7-3-1) Typically, the Seahawks are a very good team in the second half of the season, going 32-10-1 ATS since Pete Carroll took over (since 2011) in games 9-16 of the regular season, but they fell flat on their faces last week in Tampa Bay, losing 14-5 as 6 [...]
  • Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick - Philadelphia Eagles (5-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-7-1) Before the season started, I had the Bengals on my list of teams that I thought would disappoint. They won 12 games last season and were 10-2 before losing quarterback Andy Dalton for the season with injury, but outside of Dalton they barely had an injuries last season, [...]