Dec 092012
 

San Diego Chargers (4-8) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) A lot of trends say the Chargers are the right side. Teams are 102-57 ATS as dogs before being favorites over the past 2 seasons and the Chargers are favorites next week at home for the Panthers. Meanwhile, road dogs are 57-33 ATS off back-to-back losses as [...]

Dec 092012
 

Atlanta Falcons (11-1) at Carolina Panthers (3-9) I really like using trends to pick NFL games. Not all games have the same weight on a team’s schedule and games don’t always mean the same thing for the teams playing it. This is why upsets happen. However, there aren’t any really good ones in play here, [...]

Dec 082012
 

Dallas Cowboys (6-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (7-5) Someone check me for a concussion because I like the Bengals this week. It’s not that the Bengals are bad or anything, but I just haven’t picked them yet this year. It’s nothing against them or anything and I haven’t really been missing out as they’re just 6-6 [...]

Dec 072012
 

Miami Dolphins (5-7) at San Francisco 49ers (8-3) The 49ers lost to the Rams last week in St. Louis, which has gotten a lot of Alex Smith supporters saying “I told you so,” questioning Jim Harbaugh’s decision to bench Alex Smith for Colin Kaepernick. These people seem to be forgetting that Smith was losing to [...]

Dec 062012
 

New Orleans Saints (5-7) at New York Giants (7-5) Earlier this week, I outlined why the Redskins should be considered the favorites to win the NFC East. The Redskins, presumably, have the tiebreaker, by virtue of their better divisional record. They are a game back right now, but they are almost definitely going favored in [...]

Dec 062012
 

Tennessee Titans (4-8) at Indianapolis Colts (8-4) Last week, I bet against the Colts because I felt they were an overrated team and the Lions were an underrated team. I felt the Colts were overrated because they’ve had a very easy schedule and they’ve actually had a -43 points differential despite their then 7-4 record. [...]

Dec 062012
 

Week 13 Results ATS: 6-10 -10 units/$-1240 SU: 8-8 Upset Picks: 1-3 -$175 Over/Under: 1-1 -$10 Total: -$1425 Public Results ATS*: 6-10 -10 units 2012 results to date ATS: 92-95-5 -6 units/-$2885 SU: 116-75-1 Upset Picks: 29-36 +$50 Over/Under: 9-8-1 +20 Parlays: 1-0 +100 Total: -$2715 Survivor: 10-3 (HOU, NE, NO, BAL, SF, ATL, CHI, [...]