Dec 132012
 

Last week: 1 (+0) Record: 10-3 Net points per drive: 1.17 (1st) DVOA: 41.8% (1st) Weighted DVOA: 45.8% (1st) Tom Brady improved to 26-11 in his career against teams with a better record than his with his win over the Texans last week. That’s unreal. The Patriots are +198 on the season. The 49ers are [...]

Dec 132012
 

Last week: 2 (+0) Record: 9-3-1 Net points per drive: 0.95 (2nd) DVOA: 34.8% (4th) Weighted DVOA: 33.9% (4th) Nothing has changed. I still feel this week’s Patriots/49ers game will be a Super Bowl preview and I think the winner will be the Super Bowl favorite. Right now, the Patriots are the favorites to win [...]

Dec 132012
 

Last week: 10 (+4) Record: 8-5 Net points per drive: 0.61 (5th) DVOA: 38.8% (2nd) Weighted DVOA: 43.1% (2nd) The Seahawks will control their own destiny to the #2 seed if the 49ers lose in New England this weekend and the Packers lose 1 more game. That’s very possible and if that happens, they’ll just [...]

Dec 132012
 

Last week: 15 (-4) Record: 6-7 Net points per drive: 0.25 (11th) DVOA: 1.1% (14th) Weighted DVOA: 0.4% (15th) A home loss to the Eagles effectively eliminates them from the playoffs. They would have had to win in New Orleans and Atlanta to make it anyway, but I thought they could, easily since the Falcons [...]

Dec 132012
 

Last week: 16 (+0) Record: 5-8 Net points per drive: -0.13 (19th) DVOA: -8.1% (22nd) Weighted DVOA: -7.0% (21st) I never considered the Saints a true playoff contender because of their schedule, but it gets easier for them now after 3 straight losses. They have very winnable games at home for the Panthers and Buccaneers [...]

Dec 132012
 

Last week: 22 (+5) Record: 5-8 Net points per drive: -0.08 (18th) DVOA: -8.2% (23rd) Weighted DVOA: -7.2% (22nd) Every year they go on a run to save Norv Turner’s job. This week, they got a huge upset in Pittsburgh after word broke that Turner might be fired. With remaining games against the Panthers, Jets, [...]

Dec 132012
 

Last week: 18 (-3) Record: 5-8 Net points per drive: -0.18 (21st) DVOA: -5.9% (20th) Weighted DVOA: -8.3% (23rd) The Dolphins have two very winnable home games in a row against the Jaguars and Bills before closing out in New England. Chalk has this team finishing at 7-9 and that seems like what’s going to [...]

Dec 132012
 

Last week: 24 (+0) Record: 4-9 Net points per drive: -0.76 (29th) DVOA: -29.1% (29th) Weighted DVOA: -27.1% (29th) The Titans have been worse than their record all season and after coming up short against another team who is worse than their record, the Colts, the Titans sit at 4-9, which is still better than [...]

Dec 132012
 

Last week: 27 (+2) Record: 4-9 Net points per drive: -0.38 (24th) DVOA: -1.6% (16th) Weighted DVOA: -1.4% (16th) Another team that has been better than their record all season, the Panthers showed it last week, beating the Falcons, who they almost knocked off earlier this season. Week 16, they host the Raiders, which should [...]