Last week: 1 (+0) Record: 10-3 Net points per drive: 1.17 (1st) DVOA: 41.8% (1st) Weighted DVOA: 45.8% (1st) Tom Brady improved to 26-11 in his career against teams with a better record than his with his win over the Texans last week. That’s unreal. The Patriots are +198 on the season. The 49ers are [...]
Last week: 2 (+0) Record: 9-3-1 Net points per drive: 0.95 (2nd) DVOA: 34.8% (4th) Weighted DVOA: 33.9% (4th) Nothing has changed. I still feel this week’s Patriots/49ers game will be a Super Bowl preview and I think the winner will be the Super Bowl favorite. Right now, the Patriots are the favorites to win [...]
Last week: 3 (+0) Record: 11-2 Net points per drive: 0.55 (6th) DVOA: 15.1% (8th) Weighted DVOA: 13.6% (8th) The Texans can win out pretty easily because I don’t think the Colts are as good as their record and finish 14-2 and get the #1 seed (their other game is against Minnesota). That would probably [...]
Last week: 4 (+0) Record: 11-2 Net points per drive: 0.54 (7th) DVOA: 5.2% (11th) Weighted DVOA: 0.6% (14th) It’s not so much concerning that the Falcons lost in Carolina than it is that no one was really surprised. The Patriots lost to the Cardinals. The 49ers lost to the Rams. The Giants lost to [...]
Last week: 5 (+0) Record: 10-3 Net points per drive: 0.65 (4th) DVOA: 35.5% (3rd) Weighted DVOA: 37.9% (3rd) The Broncos are on an 8 game winning streak, but the Patriots control their own destiny for the #2 seed and if they beat the 49ers this weekend and I think they will win that one. [...]
Last week: 10 (+4) Record: 8-5 Net points per drive: 0.61 (5th) DVOA: 38.8% (2nd) Weighted DVOA: 43.1% (2nd) The Seahawks will control their own destiny to the #2 seed if the 49ers lose in New England this weekend and the Packers lose 1 more game. That’s very possible and if that happens, they’ll just [...]
Last week: 9 (+2) Record: 9-4 Net points per drive: 0.31 (10th) DVOA: 12.0% (9th) Weighted DVOA: 9.8% (10th) With the Ravens losing to the Redskins, the Bengals and Steelers had great opportunities to move within a game in the division, but both blew them and right now it looks like Baltimore is going to [...]
Last week: 8 (+0) Record: 7-6 Net points per drive: -0.02 (15th) DVOA: 5.3% (10th) Weighted DVOA: 9.2% (11th) Robert Griffin should be good to go this week against the Browns. With games against the Browns, Eagles, and Cowboys in their final 3, they will be favored in all 3 of their last 3 games, [...]
Last week: 14 (+5) Record: 9-4 Net points per drive: 0.17 (12th) DVOA: 21.9% (5th) Weighted DVOA: 16.2% (7th) I’ve questioned if the Packers would make the playoffs in the past because they were so banged up and not playing well and because the NFC was so loaded. One team every year goes from a [...]
Last week: 6 (-4) Record: 8-5 Net points per drive: 0.40 (9th) DVOA: 20.6% (6th) Weighted DVOA: 21.1% (6th) The Bears are still one of two candidates to go from out of the playoffs to a first round bye this season. Seattle is more likely, however, but I still think they can win at home [...]
Last week: 7 (-4) Record: 9-4 Net points per drive: 0.11 (13th) DVOA: -0.5% (15th) Weighted DVOA: 2.1% (13th) If they can win week 16 against the Bengals, they should still be in the playoffs regardless, even after a loss to the Chargers at home. The Bengals really missed a chance at home for Dallas [...]
Last week: 12 (+0) Record: 9-4 Net points per drive: -0.30 (22nd) DVOA: -20.1% (28th) Weighted DVOA: -19.0% (26th) This is a team that is not nearly as good as their record, but record is all that will matter when the season ends and the playoffs start. They have 9 wins right now and an [...]
Last week: 13 (+0) Record: 8-5 Net points per drive: 0.67 (3rd) DVOA: 20.3% (7th) Weighted DVOA: 21.8% (5th) They got their big win this week, but the more important thing is the Redskins did too. The Redskins have a very easy schedule the rest of the way and if they win out, the Giants [...]
Last week: 14 (+1) Record: 7-6 Net points per drive: 0.44 (8th) DVOA: 4.7% (12th) Weighted DVOA: 13.2% (9th) Bottom line, it won’t matter what they do in either of their other two games if they can’t win in Pittsburgh week 16. I don’t think they can and while I’m at it, I think they [...]
Last week: 15 (-4) Record: 6-7 Net points per drive: 0.25 (11th) DVOA: 1.1% (14th) Weighted DVOA: 0.4% (15th) A home loss to the Eagles effectively eliminates them from the playoffs. They would have had to win in New Orleans and Atlanta to make it anyway, but I thought they could, easily since the Falcons [...]
Last week: 16 (+0) Record: 5-8 Net points per drive: -0.13 (19th) DVOA: -8.1% (22nd) Weighted DVOA: -7.0% (21st) I never considered the Saints a true playoff contender because of their schedule, but it gets easier for them now after 3 straight losses. They have very winnable games at home for the Panthers and Buccaneers [...]
Last week: 22 (+5) Record: 5-8 Net points per drive: -0.08 (18th) DVOA: -8.2% (23rd) Weighted DVOA: -7.2% (22nd) Every year they go on a run to save Norv Turner’s job. This week, they got a huge upset in Pittsburgh after word broke that Turner might be fired. With remaining games against the Panthers, Jets, [...]
Last week: 21 (+3) Record: 6-6-1 Net points per drive: -0.40 (25th) DVOA: -5.3% (19th) Weighted DVOA: -6.3% (19th) Since the bye, the Rams have tied and beaten the 49ers, gotten road wins in Buffalo and Arizona, and only lost to the Jets, who were in a great spot. Improved health is to thank. They [...]
Last week: 17 (-2) Record: 7-6 Net points per drive: -0.07 (17th) DVOA: -2.1% (17th) Weighted DVOA: -3.3% (18th) The Cowboys got an emotional win on this road this week, but they could be flat off that game at home, where they generally struggle, for an angry Pittsburgh team this week. They then host New [...]
Last week: 20 (+0) Record: 7-6 Net points per drive: -0.14 (20th) DVOA: -5.1% (18th) Weighted DVOA: -8.8% (24th) The Vikings pulled the huge upset at home over the Bears, but things don’t get easier as they have to face the suddenly surging Rams in St. Louis, the Texans in Houston, and then head home [...]
Last week: 18 (-3) Record: 5-8 Net points per drive: -0.18 (21st) DVOA: -5.9% (20th) Weighted DVOA: -8.3% (23rd) The Dolphins have two very winnable home games in a row against the Jaguars and Bills before closing out in New England. Chalk has this team finishing at 7-9 and that seems like what’s going to [...]
Last week: 23 (+1) Record: 6-7 Net points per drive: -0.38 (23rd) DVOA: -8.9% (24th) Weighted DVOA: -10.8% (25th) The Jets are miraculously just one game out of the playoffs right now with 3 winnable games to go. I just don’t think they are a good enough football team to win all 3 and give [...]
Last week: 19 (-4) Record: 5-8 Net points per drive: -0.41 (26th) DVOA: -6.5% (21st) Weighted DVOA: -2.0% (17th) Buffalo has two divisional games against comparable teams, one in Miami, who they already beat, and one at home for the Jets, who they already lost to. I say they split those 2 and the Seattle [...]
Last week: 24 (+0) Record: 4-9 Net points per drive: -0.76 (29th) DVOA: -29.1% (29th) Weighted DVOA: -27.1% (29th) The Titans have been worse than their record all season and after coming up short against another team who is worse than their record, the Colts, the Titans sit at 4-9, which is still better than [...]
Last week: 27 (+2) Record: 4-9 Net points per drive: -0.38 (24th) DVOA: -1.6% (16th) Weighted DVOA: -1.4% (16th) Another team that has been better than their record all season, the Panthers showed it last week, beating the Falcons, who they almost knocked off earlier this season. Week 16, they host the Raiders, which should [...]