Dec 212012
 

Last week: 4 (+1) Record: 12-2 Net points per drive: 0.71 (4th) DVOA: 11.7% (9th) Weighted DVOA: 7.3% (12th) Atlanta finally got that one signature win last week, blowing out the Giants, even though the Giants might not even make the playoffs now. You can question their talent all you want and I think they [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 9 (+2) Record: 10-4 Net points per drive: 0.23 (10th) DVOA: 23.1% (5th) Weighted DVOA: 17.3% (5th) Green Bay is another team that I’m not sold on, but sometimes I wonder if they’re not the sleeper favorites to win the whole thing, once they get healthy, given their recent history. However, just this [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 10 (+0) Record: 8-6 Net points per drive: 0.31 (9th) DVOA: 18.9% (6th) Weighted DVOA: 17.0% (6th) I detailed the Giants/Bears battle for the 6th seed in the Giants’ write up. The Bears should take care of their business and beat the Cardinals and Detroit. They’ve beaten everyone they’re supposed to, going 7-0 [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 11 (-1) Record: 7-7 Net points per drive: 0.10 (13th) DVOA: -3.0% (17th) Weighted DVOA: 0.0% (15th) The Steelers lost last week in Dallas, but that game didn’t mean anything to them. For Dallas it meant their season, but the Steelers still control their own destiny if they can win out at home [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 13 (+0) Record: 8-6 Net points per drive: 0.42 (8th) DVOA: 13.3% (7th) Weighted DVOA: 10.5% (8th) I went back and forth on Chicago/NY Giants for the final playoff spot. The Giants control their own destiny, but the Bears have very winnable games against Arizona and the team who lost to Arizona (Detroit) [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 20 (+6) Record: 8-6 Net points per drive: -0.07 (19th) DVOA: -5.3% (20th) Weighted DVOA: -10.0% (23rd) The Vikings are 8-6, but with games against the Texans and Packers left on their schedule, it’s going to be very, very hard for them to make the playoffs. 9-7 looks like a best case scenario [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 14 (-1) Record: 8-6 Net points per drive: 0.49 (7th) DVOA: 4.4% (12th) Weighted DVOA: 14.6% (7th) The Bengals are 8-6 and control their own destiny for a playoff spot, but their struggles against playoff caliber opponents should be their undoing. Andy Dalton was 0-8 against playoff teams last year and he’s just [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 19 (+3) Record: 8-6 Net points per drive: -0.06 (18th) DVOA: -1.9% (16th) Weighted DVOA: -4.0% (17th) Heading into December at 6-6, after a rough November, traditionally a strong month, it didn’t look like the Cowboys would choke it away in December again, because they didn’t really have anything to choke away. Now [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 16 (-1) Record: 6-8 Net points per drive: 0.14 (12th) DVOA: -1.3% (15th) Weighted DVOA: 1.5% (14th) The Saints still remain mathematically alive for a playoff spot at 6-8 off a huge blowout home win and now they head to Dallas, where the Cowboys really struggle as home favorites and really struggle in [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 18 (+0) Record: 6-7-1 Net points per drive: -0.43 (26th) DVOA: -5.1% (19th) Weighted DVOA: -5.2% (18th) It’s week 16 and the Rams are still mathematically alive for a playoff spot, even in the tougher NFC. It’s not an accomplishment for most teams, but given this team’s recent history, it is for them. [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 22 (+3) Record: 6-8 Net points per drive: -0.38 (25th) DVOA: -12.1% (24th) Weighted DVOA: -15.4% (25th) With the exception of last week’s Monday Night debacle and a game against the Dolphins (who they split the season series with), the Jets have beaten every mediocre or worse football team they’ve played this season. [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 15 (-5) Record: 6-8 Net points per drive: -0.02 (16th) DVOA: -6.1% (21st) Weighted DVOA: -7.0% (21st) The Buccaneers hadn’t lost a single game by more than 8 points all season this year, before getting blown out 41-0 against a sub .500 Saints team last week. They quit down the stretch last season [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 25 (+4) Record: 5-9 Net points per drive: -0.20 (21st) DVOA: 3.4% (14th) Weighted DVOA: 8.1% (11th) The Panthers have actually been playing some good football lately and have been an underrated team all year, losing just twice by more than 6 points (once on Thursday Night, in a game they were completely [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 17 (+7) Record: 5-9 Net points per drive: -0.23 (22nd) DVOA: -11.8% (23rd) Weighted DVOA: -10.3% (24th) The Chargers are 5-9 with 2 winnable games left on the schedule. The problem is, they don’t win winnable games. They’ve lost their last 4 games and 7 of their last 8 when favored or as [...]

Dec 212012
 

Last week: 24 (-1) Record: 5-9 Net points per drive: -0.65 (29th) DVOA: -25.9% (29th) Weighted DVOA: -23.0% (28th) The Titans somehow pulled out a win at home on Monday Night Football, despite having more penalties (14) than first downs (12) and almost more punts (10). This is because the Jets turned the ball over [...]