New York Jets (1-1) at Miami Dolphins (1-1) Yeah, how’s that Jets’ offense doing now? After scoring 48 in the opener in a heavily defense and special teams aided effort, the Jets scored just 10 points last week and Mark Sanchez, who was 19 of 27 for 266 yards, 3 touchdowns, and a pick in [...]
St. Louis Rams (1-1) at Chicago Bears (1-1) In 2010, I consistently ranked the Bears lower than most and lower than their record would have suggested because I simply didn’t trust the combination of Jay Cutler, that offensive line, and Mike Martz to consistently win 3 or 4 games in a row against playoff caliber [...]
Buffalo Bills (1-1) at Cleveland Browns (0-2) Before the season, I identified 5 overrated and 5 underrated teams, with the idea of betting on them (or against them) until they proved me wrong or the odds makers caught up. This served me well as I’m 10-4 this year on games involving those 10 teams. One [...]
Detroit Lions (1-1) at Tennessee Titans (0-2) Before the season, I identified 5 overrated and 5 underrated teams, with the idea of betting on them (or against them) until they proved me wrong or the odds makers caught up. This served me well as I’m 10-4 this year on games involving those 10 teams (and one [...]
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1) at Dallas Cowboys (1-1) Before the season, I identified 5 overrated and 5 underrated teams, with the idea of betting on them (or against them) until they proved me wrong or the odds makers caught up. This served me well as I’m 10-4 this year on games involving those 10 teams (and [...]
Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2) at Indianapolis Colts (1-1) Before the season, I identified 5 overrated and 5 underrated teams, with the idea of betting on them (or against them) until they proved me wrong or the odds makers caught up. This served me well as I’m 10-4 this year on games involving those 10 teams (and one [...]
Atlanta Falcons (2-0) at San Diego Chargers (2-0) The Chargers are one of just six 2-0 teams left in the NFL. Have they conquered their early season woes? They certainly look good. They’ve used 7 of their last 8 picks in the first 3 rounds on defensive players and it seems to have paid off [...]
Oakland Raiders (0-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) Before the season, I made a list of underrated and overrated teams, with the intent of betting them (or against them) until the odds makers caught up and I was proven wrong. This approach has worked well for me because I’m 10-4-2 ATS on games involving those teams. [...]
Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1) I love exploiting home/road differentials and, for that reason, Seahawks games are always my favorite to bet. Last week, this is what I said about the subject, “No team has a bigger home/road disparity over the past few years than the Seattle Seahawks. Since 2007, they’re 11-32 [...]
Cincinnati Bengals (1-1) at Washington Redskins (1-1) Before the season, I identified 5 overrated and 5 underrated teams, with the idea of betting on them (or against them) until they proved me wrong or the odds makers caught up. This served me well as I’m 10-4 this year on games involving those 10 teams (and [...]
Kansas City Chiefs (0-2) at New Orleans Saints (0-2) I don’t think anyone really knew how the Saints would respond to BountyGate and the corresponding BountyGate penalties. Would they fall flat? Would they go into eff you mode? Would it not really matter? I leaned more on the positive side because Sean Payton was an [...]
Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Arizona Cardinals (2-0) Believe it or not, this is a matchup of 2-0 teams. Philadelphia being 2-0 isn’t that farfetched, but anyone who told you that they had Arizona starting 2-0, with a week 2 clash in New England on the schedule, is either lying or the biggest Arizona homer in [...]
Houston Texans (2-0) at Denver Broncos (1-1) No line has moved more over the past week than this one. Last week, this line was -2.5 in favor of Denver and now it’s -2 in favor of Houston. Why? Because Houston blew out the lowly Jaguars? Because Denver lost by 6 in Atlanta, one of the [...]
San Francisco 49ers (2-0) at Minnesota Vikings (1-1) The 49ers have been the best team in the league over the first two games. As a result, they’ve been atop almost every Power Ranking I’ve seen. It’s a very interesting dynamic. This is the prototypical “nobody believes in us” team. Before last year, they were seen [...]
New England Patriots (1-1) at Baltimore Ravens (1-1) Yes, the Patriots to the Cardinals lost last week. No, it’s not the end of the world. In 2010, they lost to the Browns. In 2011, they lost to the Bills. Neither of those games meant anything. They won 14 games in 2010 and 13 games in [...]
New York Giants (1-1) at Carolina Panthers (1-1) If you haven’t read Jason Whitlock’s article about how hypocritical Roger Goodell is pretending he cares about player safety, while simultaneously expanding Thursday Night Football to a season long thing and trying to expand the season to 18 games, here it is. It’s a very good read [...]
Team OYPP YPP Differential Philadelphia 4.3 5.8 1.5 Carolina 5.4 6.9 1.5 Denver 4.1 5.5 1.4 Dallas 5 6.4 1.4 Minnesota 4.6 5.8 1.2 New England 4.3 5.4 1.1 Houston 4.1 5 0.9 San Francisco 5.1 5.9 0.8 Buffalo 6 6.8 0.8 Green Bay 4.6 5.1 0.5 Detroit 5.2 5.7 0.5 Baltimore 5.6 6.1 0.5 [...]
Week 2 Results ATS: 8-6-2 -1 units/-$155 SU: 11-5 Upset Picks: 4-3 +705 Total: +$550 Public Results ATS*: 7-9 -7 units 2012 results to date ATS: 16-14-2 -5 units/-$810 SU: 20-12 Upset Picks: 7-7 +$455 Total: -$355 Survivor: 1-1 (HOU, NE) Public Results ATS*: 14-18 -13 units *I’m doing this to see how the general [...]