Sep 192012
 

Last week: 10 (+6) Record: 2-0 The Eagles have 9 turnovers in 2 games, but they’re 2-0. How does that happen? Well, when you lead the league in points per play differential with a differential of 1.5, all of a sudden, you can overcome those turnovers. Historically, that differential is more likely to continue that [...]

Sep 192012
 

Last week: 13 (+4) Record: 2-0 I still don’t think this team is much of a Super Bowl threat because eventually the turnover differentials will…blah blah blah regression I’m done repeating myself. Let’s focus on something positive, namely this amazing defense. This was Jim Harbaugh’s first full offseason with this team and many people expected [...]

Sep 192012
 

Last week: 21 (+9) Record: 1-1 This is why you don’t bail on predictions after one game. I had the Bills making it into the playoffs on the good defense, good running game, conservative offense, don’t make mistakes, easy schedule model, but after their week 1 loss, I overreacted and dropped them. However, the Bills [...]

Sep 182012
 

Last week: 14 (+1) Record: 1-1 The Ravens are overrated. We’ll see it this weekend. They rank just 12th in yards per play differential, despite playing one of their games against a banged up Bengals team that I think is one of the worst in the league. They clearly miss Terrell Suggs and others defensively. [...]

Sep 182012
 

Last week: 18 (+1) Record: 1-1 I already talked about how much of a disadvantage the Giants have this week as a road team on Thursday Night football, so I’ll say something about the Buccaneers/Giants game that I didn’t have room to say in the Buccaneers’ section. I agree with Greg Schiano on going all [...]

Sep 182012
 

Last week: 17 (-1) Record: 1-1 The Buccaneers have the league’s worst 2.2 yards per differential, allowing 7.2 yards per play and gaining 5.0 yards per play. So how are they 1-1 with a close loss to the Giants? Well, having the 2nd best turnover differential in the NFC, +3, has something to do with [...]