Sep 282012
 

Washington Redskins (1-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-2) The Buccaneers are one of the few teams I’ve had as underrated before the season that’s actually become overrated 3 weeks into it. The Buccaneers have hung tough, on the scoreboard, with the Giants and Cowboys and beat the Panthers, but they’re not playing that well. They [...]

Sep 282012
 

San Francisco 49ers (2-1) at New York Jets (2-1) Remember how the Jets’ chance to make the playoffs was on the conservative offense, good defense, don’t make mistakes, easy schedule model? Yeah, that doesn’t work if you can’t play good defense and without Darrelle Revis, they’re going to have a hard time doing so many [...]

Sep 282012
 

Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2) Andy Dalton has done a great job of beating up on bad defenses in the last couple of weeks, completing 43 of 58 for 646 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions against Washington and Cleveland. He did that last year as well as he was 9-0 against non-playoff [...]

Sep 272012
 

Oakland Raiders (1-2) at Denver Broncos (1-2) I thought the Raiders were overrated coming into the season and now they’re even more overrated coming off a “surprising” win over the Steelers. Their upset win over the Steelers was not completely shocking given how much the Steelers have sucked over the last year plus on the [...]

Sep 272012
 

Carolina Panthers (1-2) at Atlanta Falcons (3-0) The Carolina Panthers looked terrible on national television last week, turning the ball over 5 times en route to a 36-7 home loss to the Giants. The Falcons, meanwhile, looked great last week, forcing 4 turnovers, while committing only one of their own, en route to a 27-3 [...]

Sep 272012
 

Miami Dolphins (1-2) at Arizona Cardinals (3-0) The Cardinals are 3-0 right now, but they’re incredibly overrated. Do you really trust anyone on this offense other than Larry Fitzgerald? The defense is great, but I don’t think they’re well rounded enough to make the playoffs in a loaded NFC. They have a negative yards per [...]

Sep 272012
 

Cleveland Browns (0-3) at Baltimore Ravens (2-1) Yards per play differential is my favorite single stat and right now, the Baltimore Ravens lead the league in it. However, as with any stat, you have to add a human element to it sometimes to interpret it. Baltimore’s defense, uncharacteristically, has been pretty middle of the pack [...]

Sep 272012
 

Week 3 Results ATS: 6-9-1 -2 units/-$395 SU: 5-11 Upset Picks: 2-4 -380 Over/Under: 1-0 +100 Total: -$675 Public Results ATS*: 6-9 -13 units 2012 results to date ATS: 22-23-3 -7 units/-$1205 SU: 25-23 Upset Picks: 9-11 +$75 Over/Under: 1-0 +100 Total: -$1030 Survivor: 1-2 (HOU, NE, NO) Public Results ATS*: 20-27-1 -26 units *I’m [...]