Oct 062012
 

San Diego Chargers (3-1) at New Orleans Saints (0-4) Last year, the Chargers started 4-1. It was a shock to many people before they’re normally horrible early in the season, especially compared to later in the season. Prior to last year, The Chargers were 14-12 from weeks 1-4 under Philip Rivers and 41-11 (41-11!!!) from [...]

Oct 052012
 

Chicago Bears (3-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-3) Blaine Gabbert doesn’t seem noticeably improved over last year. Since a solid showing in the opener, he’s 40 of 74 for 394 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. He’s protecting the ball and not turning it over, but this offense simply has no explosion to it unless Maurice [...]

Oct 052012
 

Buffalo Bills (2-2) at San Francisco 49ers (3-1) How can the Bills possibly keep up with the 49ers this week? They’ll be completely flat off that divisional loss to the Patriots. That seems to the public opinion because the public is pounding San Francisco. The public is generally wrong, however. That’s why the odds makers [...]

Oct 042012
 

Tennessee Titans (1-3) at Minnesota Vikings (3-1) If it wasn’t for Arizona, Minnesota would be the surprise team of the year. In fact, I think they have a lot more staying power than the Cardinals. Despite Arizona’s record, they rank 27th in the league in yards per play differential, which I think is more indicative [...]

Oct 042012
 

Seattle Seahawks (2-2) at Carolina Panthers (1-3) I love exploiting home/road discrepancies, so Seattle is one of my favorite teams to bet on (or against). I’m 4-0 picking their games this year simply following the concept of betting on them at home and against them on the road, all 4 of which were significant plays. [...]

Oct 042012
 

Philadelphia Eagles (3-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2) I really wish these two teams weren’t playing each other. I was so looking forward to betting Pittsburgh back at home this week off their bye after they fell flat in Oakland before the bye. That loss in Oakland, as bad as Oakland is, was predictable. The Steelers [...]

Oct 042012
 

Miami Dolphins (1-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-1) This is Andy Dalton’s 22nd career start. Assuming Baltimore makes the playoffs and Washington, Jacksonville, and Cleveland don’t, that means that Dalton is 12-0 in his career against non-playoff teams and 0-9 against playoff teams, making the Bengals the definition of average. This week, he plays the Dolphins, [...]

Oct 042012
 

Green Bay Packers (2-2) at Indianapolis Colts (1-2) Obviously, I can’t do this write up without talking about Chuck Pagano. You’ve probably heard the news, but if you haven’t, Pagano, an 11 year NFL assistant who got his first Head Coaching job this offseason as Head Coach of the Colts, was unfortunately diagnosed with a [...]

Oct 022012
 

Week 4 Results ATS: 10-5 +25 units/+2260 SU: 11-4 Upset Picks: 3-3 -75 Over/Under: 1-0 +100 Total: +$2285 Public Results ATS*: 7-8 +4 units 2012 results to date ATS: 32-28-3 +18 units/+1055 SU: 36-27 Upset Picks: 12-14 +$0 Over/Under: 2-0 +200 Total: +1255 Survivor: 2-2 (HOU, NE, NO, BAL) Public Results ATS*: 27-35-1 -22 units [...]