Oct 132012
 

Minnesota Vikings (4-1) at Washington Redskins (2-3) There’s still no line posted for this for some reason, even though Robert Griffin is widely expected to play, but I’m going to do this write up anyway. Last week, the line was Washington -2 for this game, so I’d be surprised if we got anything lower than [...]

Oct 122012
 

Denver Broncos (2-3) at San Diego Chargers (3-2) From 2003-2010, Peyton Manning was 14-2 ATS as an underdog. This year he is 0-3. Does that mean he’s done or not the same player? Not necessarily. His QB rating is actually 6 points higher than his career average and his completion percentage (66.0%), his YPA (7.7), [...]

Oct 122012
 

Buffalo Bills (2-3) at Arizona Cardinals (4-1) Last week, I called the Arizona Cardinals one of the worst 4-0 teams ever. With Kevin Kolb as their quarterback, no offensive line, and no running game, last week’s offensive catastrophe was inevitable and I don’t think it’s the last one. There’s a reason I frequently ranked them [...]

Oct 122012
 

Dallas Cowboys (2-2) at Baltimore Ravens (4-1) Since their impressive win over the Patriots week 3, the Ravens have fallen flat in back-to-back games against inferior opponents, winning by just 6 at home against Cleveland and winning by just 3 in Kansas City last week. Does this mean they’re not as good as they once [...]

Oct 112012
 

Cincinnati Bengals (3-2) at Cleveland Browns (0-5) Last week I noted that, assuming Cleveland, Jacksonville, and Washington don’t make the playoffs and Baltimore does, the Bengals were 12-0 against non-playoff teams since Andy Dalton took over week 1 last year, and 0-10 against playoff teams. For that reason, I didn’t make a big play on [...]

Oct 102012
 

Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-4) Week 3, the Steelers traveled to play a significantly inferior team, missing two of their top defenders, and yet were still heavily bet by the public as road favorites. They lost outright and a lot of people lost a lot of money. 3 weeks later, the Steelers have [...]

Oct 092012
 

Week 5 Results ATS: 8-6 +0 units/-$150 SU: 10-4 Upset Picks: 1-1 +$425 Over/Under: 1-0-1 +$100 Total: +$375 Public Results ATS*: 7-7 -3 units 2012 results to date ATS: 40-34-3 +18 units/+$905 SU: 46-31 Upset Picks: 13-15 +$425 Over/Under: 3-0-1 +300 Total: +1630 Survivor: 3-2 (HOU, NE, NO, BAL, SF) Public Results ATS*: 34-42-1 -25 [...]