Oct 202012
 

Pittsburgh Steelers (2-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-3) What is wrong with the Steelers? After their recent loss in Tennessee, that’s all anyone can ask. Well, the problem is twofold. The first reason is that they just suck on the road as favorites outside of the division. They won 12 games last year and still barely [...]

Oct 202012
 

Dallas Cowboys (2-3) at Carolina Panthers (1-4) Why does it seem like no matter who is coaching the Cowboys, they seem to continue to make the same dumb mistakes? Last week, they dominated throughout essentially, but were frequently penalized, something that’s been an issue for them all year and dating back to last year. They [...]

Oct 202012
 

Arizona Cardinals (4-2) at Minnesota Vikings (4-2) Wow. Who would have thought when these two teams met week 7, it would be a game of 4-2 teams with potential future playoff ramifications. In a year that has once again been full of surprises, these two are probably the league’s two most surprisingly good teams. However, [...]

Oct 202012
 

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4) at Oakland Raiders (1-4) In the write up for Colts/Browns, I mentioned Bill Simmons’ theory from his picks column this week that because dogs are doing so well this year (57-32 ATS), the odds makers would start shrinking the spreads to compensate so the general public won’t catch on and just starting [...]

Oct 192012
 

Baltimore Ravens (5-1) at Houston Texans (5-1) This is a very interesting game for a number of reasons. The most obvious is Baltimore’s injuries. This line was at -4 a week ago, but because of Baltimore’s injuries, it’s shifted 3 points, even though Baltimore won and Houston got blown out at home. In spite of [...]

Oct 192012
 

Tennessee Titans (2-4) at Buffalo Bills (3-3) These two teams are actually very, very similar. Tennessee ranks 29th in yards per play differential and Buffalo ranks 30th. Buffalo also ranks 30th in rate of sustaining drives differential, while Tennessee ranks 31st. I picked both teams for big plays last week because, in addition to other [...]

Oct 182012
 

New Orleans Saints (1-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-3) The Saints got their first win 2 weeks ago at home on Sunday Night Football over the Chargers, but their problems are far from solved. They still have a horrific defense, which is a contributing factor to them ranking 26th in the league in yards per [...]

Oct 162012
 

Week 5 Results ATS: 5-9 -5 units/-$690 SU: 8-6 Upset Picks: 5-2 +$860 Over/Under: 0-1 -$110 Total: +$60 Public Results ATS*: 6-8 -10 units 2012 results to date ATS: 40-34-3 +13 units/+$215 SU: 54-37 Upset Picks: 18-17 +$1285 Over/Under: 3-1-1 +190 Total: +1690 Survivor: 4-2 (HOU, NE, NO, BAL, SF, ATL) Public Results ATS*: 40-50-1 [...]