Apr 222013
 

1-16 17-32 2nd round 3rd round 4th round 5th round 6th round 7th round

 

63. Kansas City Chiefs- WR Ryan Swope (Texas A&M)

The Chiefs could use some added receiver depth out of a deep receiver class. Jonathan Baldwin has been a bust to this point in his career and they don’t have a long term starter opposite Dwayne Bowe. Donnie Avery, preferably, would just be a depth receiver going forward and neither Dexter McCluster nor Devon Wylie project as starters long term. They’ve shown interest in Swope, who is expected to go in the 2nd or 3rd round.

64. Jacksonville Jaguars- CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson (Connecticut)

The Jaguars lost a lot of free agents this off-season and they also cut Aaron Ross. That’s not such a bad thing because they ranked 21st against the pass in YPA, but they need to replenish talent. The only cornerbacks on their roster right now are Alan Ball, Mike Harris, Kevin Rutland, and Antwaun Molden. Gross.  Blidi-Wreh Wilson has the length former Seahawks defensive coordinator Gus Bradley covets from the cornerback position. Also, his name is pronounced Bleedy Ray Wilson, which makes him sound like an old blues singer, which is awesome.

65. Detroit Lions- DE Corey Lemonier (Auburn)

The Lions lost both of their starting defensive ends from last off-season and Lawrence Jackson, one of their top reserves, is still a free agent. They signed Jason Jones, but he’s really struggled at end in his career and will be most effective on passing downs as a pass rushing defensive tackle. Aside from Jones, they have just two other ends on their roster. Lemonier is a great fit for the wide nine scheme.

66. Oakland Raiders- CB Robert Alford (Southeastern Louisiana)

All of the cornerbacks who played a single snap for the Raiders in 2011 combined to play 13 snaps for them in 2012 (all by 2011 4th round pick Chimdi Chewka, who wasn’t on their week 1 roster). With no cap room or high draft picks, they were forced to bargain shop for two guys coming off injuries, Shawntae Spencer and Ronald Bartell, and that didn’t work out. They barely played and it was up to a bunch of castoffs and youngsters to man the cornerback position. The group didn’t play well in general, en route to ranking 25th against the pass. Frequent burn victims Tracy Porter and Mike Jenkins are currently penciled in as the starters after being signed to one year deals in free agency.

67. Philadelphia Eagles- CB Darius Slay (Mississippi State)

Even after signing Bradley Fletcher and Cary Williams, the Eagles probably aren’t done adding talent at cornerback. Neither of those two are particularly reliable or talented and Brandon Boykin is so much better on the slot than outside so they won’t want to have to put him out there should one of those two struggle or get hurt. Slay is insurance and a developmental future starter.

68. Cleveland Browns- QB Matt Scott (Arizona)

The Browns have Brandon Weeden and Jason Campbell at quarterback, but they could still use a pick on a developmental quarterback to slot in behind them and maybe be a long term starter. Neither Weeden nor Campbell appears to be one. Scott is raw, but he’s got plenty of upside and they’ve worked him out privately. His arm strength and mobility make him a good fit for Rob Chudzinski’s offense.

69. Arizona Cardinals- QB Mike Glennon (NC State)

The Cardinals traded for Carson Palmer, but he’s not a long term solution. Drew Stanton, meanwhile, remains just a backup caliber player. The Cardinals could still take a quarterback like Mike Glennon on day 2. He has the ideal arm strength for Bruce Arians’ offense and sitting for a year or two behind the veteran Palmer would really do him some good as he attempts to work out his mechanical and accuracy issues.

70. Tennessee Titans- CB Jordan Poyer (Oregon State)

The Titans lost their #1 cornerback Cortland Finnegan in free agency in the 2012 offseason. They were known to be interested in Dre Kirkpatrick at 20 in the 2012 NFL Draft, in order to maintain cornerback as a position of depth. Kirkpatrick, unfortunately for them, went 3 spots earlier. They’ve really missed Cortland Finnegan this year as they ranked 24th against the pass and dead last in points per game allowed so they could use an early pick on a cornerback in 2013.

71. Buffalo Bills- TE Vance McDonald (Rice)

Scott Chandler was a favorite of Chan Gailey, but Gailey has been fired. What he really is in reality is a marginally talented tight end who will be coming off a torn ACL suffered in December. Even if he’s not a cap casualty, owed 2.45 million next season, they need some competition for him and a 2nd tight end anyway. Gailey rarely used two-tight ends so they don’t have a competent 2nd tight end on the roster. Buddy Nix, who is normally candid when he speaks about the draft, recently spoke about the need to add another tight end. They’ve worked McDonald out privately.

72. New York Jets- NT John Jenkins (Georgia)

After cutting Sione Pouha, the Jets have a need at nose tackle. John Jenkins is frequently mocked in the 1st round, but many in the know disagree. NFL.com’s Josh Norris says that the two prospects he sees mocked in the 1st round most often that he’s not comfortable with are Terrance Williams and John Jenkins. Jenkins is plenty talented, but concerns about his weight and motor could drop him into the 2nd round like Terrence Cody in 2010 or even farther because this is a deep defensive line class.

73. New York Jets (TRADE)- TE Gavin Escobar (San Diego State)

The Jets get this pick in the Darrelle Revis trade. The Jets lost Dustin Keller to free agency and Jeff Cumberland is penciled in as the starter. Playing 608 snaps last year as Keller missed time with injury, including 12 starts and 292 pass snaps, Cumberland caught just 29 passes for 359 yards and 3 touchdowns. The Jets will try to add competition.

74. New York Jets (TRADE)- G Travis Frederick (Wisconsin)

The Jets lost both of their starting guards in free agency this off-season. Vladimir Ducaase will man one spot, but the former 2nd round pick has been very inconsistent in limited action in his career thus far. At the other spot, veteran Willie Colon will start after the 30-year-old signed just a one year deal. They still need help. With so many picks in this scenario, expect them to take a guard like Frederick at some point.

75. New Orleans Saints- NT Brandon Williams (Missouri Southern)

The Saints will look at defensive linemen for their new 3-man defensive line at some point in the draft. Akiem Hicks is penciled in as the starting defensive end opposite Cameron Jordan, but he’s an inexperienced 2012 3rd round pick, while Brodrick Bunkley is playing nose tackle for the first time in his NFL career in his age 30 season. Williams is versatile depth and could eventually end up as a starter.

76. San Diego Chargers- RLB Sio Moore (Connecticut)

I know the Chargers just used a 1st round pick on Melvin Ingram last year, but they need a bookend long term for him. Jarret Johnson and Shaun Phillips are both heading into their age 32 seasons. The former isn’t much of a pass rusher, as his strength is stuffing the run, while Phillips is a free agent this off-season. Meanwhile, Antawn Barnes proved his random 11 sack performance in 2011 was a complete fluke. He had just 3 this season and barely played down the stretch. He signed with the Jets as a free agent anyway.

77. Miami Dolphins- CB David Amerson (NC State)

Even after adding Brent Grimes, the Dolphins still need cornerback help. Grimes is an injury prone player heading into his age 30 season and only on a one year deal. Plus, none of Nolan Carroll, Richard Marshall, or Dimitri Patterson are starting caliber and the latter two could easily be cap casualties this off-season or next. Marshall is owed 9.85 million over the next 2 seasons combined, while Patterson is owed 9.8 million. Neither one of them is worth that.

78. St. Louis Rams- S Phillip Thomas (Fresno State)

The Rams have lost both of their starting safeties from last year, as Craig Dahl has signed with the 49ers and Quintin Mikell remains a free agent after being cut and is not expected to be brought back. That’s not such a bad thing. Dahl was terrible last year on an otherwise great defense, while Mikell, though he played well, was getting up there in age. The Rams will add at least one new safety through the draft.

 

 

79. Pittsburgh Steelers- RB Christine Michael (Texas A&M)

Part of the reason the Steelers had a poor year offensively was their inability to run the ball. Rashard Mendenhall, Isaac Redman, and Jonathan Dwyer were all hit or miss to say the least, as they ranked 27th in the NFL in yards per carry at 3.7. Mendenhall left as a free agent, while Redman and Dwyer aren’t the answer either. They’ll add a running back at some point.

Christine Michael is an enigma. He’s been described as the most talented back is this draft class by some, but his limited tape (just 88 carries as a senior) and his numerous off the field run ins will lead to him being drafted somewhere in rounds 2-4. Also, he has two first names and one of them is a girl’s name, so I don’t know what’s up with that. The Steelers have worked him out privately though so maybe they’ll be able to answer those questions.

80. Dallas Cowboys- DT Bennie Logan (LSU)

Jay Ratliff is on thin ice after a DUI and his play isn’t what it used to be. His roster spot is likely safe for this season after restructuring his contract and getting a 3.66 million dollar signing bonus in March, but 2014 is a different story. He’ll be owed 5.5 million going into his age 33 season. Logan can be a defensive tackle behind him and a potential future successor. They’ve worked out Logan privately.

81. New York Giants- DT Akeem Spence (Illinois)

Cutting Chris Canty really created a need depth for at defensive tackle, even after signing veteran Cullen Jenkins. Marvin Austin can’t stay healthy next to Linval Joseph, while Jenkins just turned 32. Spence would help fill the need for depth.

82. Miami Dolphins- DE Damontre Moore (Texas A&M)

The Dolphins will probably use an early pick on a defensive end because Cameron Wake is their only consistent pass rusher and he’s on the wrong side of 30. No one else had more than 5 sacks. Jared Odrick was awful in his first year at defensive end, though he’ll be given one more chance to lose weight and start outside. Meanwhile, Olivier Vernon is still incredibly raw as a 2012 3rd round pick. Moore could end up being a starter or a rotational end long term.

83. Minnesota Vikings- WR Terrance Williams (Baylor)

I don’t need to tell you why the Vikings could double up on receivers. They’ll add a starting caliber receiver in the first round to play opposite Greg Jennings, but they’ll also take a developmental receiver in the mid rounds of this deep receiver class. Greg Jennings was a nice short term signing, but he’s heading into his age 30 season and by year 3 or year 4 of that deal, he won’t be worth his salary. Williams will probably slot in as a 4th or 5th receiver as a rookie and possibly make an impact in 2014 and beyond.

84. Cincinnati Bengals- WR Da’Rick Rodgers (Tennessee Tech)

The Bengals have a bunch of candidates for the #2 receiver job opposite AJ Green, but no one has taken the job and run with it yet. With a bunch of picks in a deep receiver class, they could add another developmental wide receiver to the mix. Rodgers has 1st round talent, but his off the field stuff will cause him to drop. He’s worth the risk here in the 3rd round for a Bengals team that has taken some risks like this in the past.

85. Washington Redskins- S Shamarko Thomas (Syracuse)

The Redskins could take defensive backs with their first two picks. Brandon Meriweather is their top safety, but he tore his ACL in November and was having trouble staying healthy even before that. He can’t be counted on. Neither can any of their other safeties. Madieu Williams, Reed Doughty, and DeJon Gomes aren’t very good and Williams is also a free agent. They need to add at least one new starter at safety this off-season.

86. Indianapolis Colts- G Brian Winters (Kent State)

The Colts’ biggest weakness was exposed in their post-season loss to the Ravens. The Colts’ offensive line was terrible all year and the Ravens were able to pressure Luck on seemingly every drop back, making it impossible for him to get anything done downfield. They ranked dead last overall in pass block efficiency. Luck was actually one of the best in the league at avoiding sacks, only taking a sack on 14.9% of pressured drop backs, but they need to get him some help at upfront, even after adding Gosder Cherilus and Donald Thomas. The biggest problem was at guard. They struggled for consistency there all year as four different guys, Mike McGlynn, Jeff Linkenbach, Joe Reitz, and Seth Olsen, saw significant action there. Every single one of those four was awful. Winters could play left guard opposite Thomas.

87. Seattle Seahawks- OLB Jelani Jenkins (Florida)

LeRoy Hill was recently arrested again and could be facing suspension. He was just a two down run stuffer for them last season and he’s a free agent heading into his age 31 season. It’s very possible the Seahawks don’t see him as worth the headache anymore. If they don’t re-sign him, they will need a new 3rd linebacker. Jenkins can compete with Malcolm Smith, a 2011 7th round pick who impressed in limited action this year.

88. Green Bay Packers- OT David Quessenberry (San Jose State)

The Packers haven’t worked out very many draftable prospects, but they reportedly have a lot of interest in David Quessenberry, who would be a great fit for their blocking scheme and provide depth at all 5 positions. Left tackle Marshall Newhouse could be upgraded and Derek Sherrod is no guarantee to be ready to take over that spot. Center Evan Dietrich-Smith, meanwhile, is going into his first year as a starter.

89. Houston Texans- MLB Jon Bostic (Florida)

When Brian Cushing got hurt, it really showed their lack of depth at middle linebacker after they traded DeMeco Ryans this off-season. The Ryans trade was smart because he never really fit their 3-4 scheme and he wasn’t worth what they were paying him, but they never replaced him and that came back to bite them. There was way too much of Bradie James, Tim Dobbins, Daryl Sharpton, and Barrett Ruud at middle linebacker for the Texans. Bostic is a developmental prospect and a potential future starter.

90. Denver Broncos- RB Le’Veon Bell (Michigan State)

The Broncos don’t have a ton of needs, but they could use another running back. Willis McGahee will be 32 next season, coming off a major injury. Knowshon Moreno is hard to rely on long term. 2012 3rd round pick Ronnie Hillman, meanwhile, is probably just a change of pace back long term. John Fox likes using multiple backs anyway and though they aren’t run heavy now because of Peyton Manning, in the future, when Manning isn’t around or when he declines, Fox will probably go back to his conservative, run heavy ways. They’ve worked out Bell privately.

91. New England Patriots- G Dallas Thomas (Tennessee)

The Patriots could take an offensive lineman like Dallas Thomas. He has the versatility Belichick likes and he could be a long-term upgrade at right guard over Dan Connolly, the weak link on an otherwise very strong offensive line.

92. Indianapolis Colts (TRADE)- CB Dwayne Gratz (Connecticut)

The Colts could use another cornerback since Greg Toler can’t stay healthy and Vontae Davis has had his share of injury issues as well. The latter is heading into his contract year anyway. Gratz could also push Darius Butler as the #3 cornerback if he regresses this year, after signing a 2-year deal.

93. San Francisco 49ers- TE Travis Kelce (Cincinnati)

Delanie Walker left as a free agent. He might have just been a #2 tight end, but Walker played on 713 of 1229 possible offensive snaps, roughly 58%. He was a big part of their offense. The 49ers will have to replace him. It’s an important position on their team so they could easily use a premium pick on one with so many picks overall.

94. Baltimore Ravens- S Earl Wolff (NC State)

Michael Huff has been signed, but if the value makes sense, the Ravens could still take a safety early. Mediocre veteran James Ihedigbo will compete with unproven youngsters Omar Brown and Christian Thompson at the other safety spot. The latter will start 2013 on a 4 game suspension.

95. Houston Texans- TE Jordan Reed (Florida)

The Texans lost James Casey this off-season, which is a much bigger deal than most teams losing their fullback. Casey lined up at fullback, h-back, and tight end and was a versatile weapon for them in the passing game, playing 668 snaps in 18 games. If you can count him as a fullback, he would have led the position in snaps played this season. They’ll need to replace him after losing him and Joel Dreessen in the last two off-seasons.

96. Kansas City Chiefs- 3-4 DE Malliciah Goodman (Clemson)

Tyson Jackson and Mike DeVito will start at end for the Chiefs and both are solid at what they do, which is tie up blockers against the run in base packages. However, neither of them can get any pressure whatsoever. In fact, Chief defensive linemen combined for 5 sacks, 7 hits, and 18 hurries on 1225 combined pass rush snaps last year, a pathetic 2.7% rate. For comparison, JJ Watt had 21 sacks, 24 hits, and 31 hurries by himself. DeVito had just 1 sack and 11 hurries last year, so he won’t help much. They need to find a penetrating defensive lineman to play on passing downs. Tamba Hali and Justin Houston can’t do it alone. As good as they are, the Chiefs still ranked 29th in the NFL in sacks last year.

97. Tennessee Titans- DE Alex Okafor (Texas)

Derrick Morgan and Kamerion Wimbley are both good starting defensive ends, but they don’t have any depth, which is why they’ve shown interest in several veteran defensive ends this off-season. It doesn’t sound like they’re going to end up signing one, so they’ll turn to the draft for depth.

 

Go on to 4th round

 

 

  17 Responses to “2013 NFL Mock Draft 3rd Round”

  1. The Packers need O-linemen desperately and your draft completely ignored that position. Last year their GM (thompson) ignored the O-line and Rogers got hit or sacked on almost 2/3 of his attempts. They have FIVE tight ends and they will not waste a 2nd rounder on a TE.

    • Rodgers was hurried, hit, or sacked on 29.9% of his drop backs, middle of the pack, and they get Bulaga and Sherrod back next year. They could take an offensive lineman if one is the best available because they stick to their board, but center is the only need spot.

    • The last 3 playoff losses the Packers have shown the need for better personnel up the middle A Saftey to help out Burnette, Middle linebacker who hits hard ,causes turnovers, and fills the hole. (Hawk does none of these) Also size and depth on the line (Worthy may miss all of next year).

      • Middle linebacker will be fine if Brad Jones is re-signed and Bishop comes back healthy. Hawk will probably be cut unless they feel that one of those two things won’t happen. He’s not worth what he’ll be paid next season. They’ve also got a trio of young safeties in Burnett, MD Jennings, and Jerron McMillian so I can’t see them using another high pick on a safety unless it’s too good a value to pass on. Defensive line is by far their most pressing need.

  2. All of your editorial comments regarding the Bengals ignoring character and off the field issues are just lazy, stereotypical remarks of someone who does not bother to research what is fact or fiction. I challenge you to compare the Bengal roster with the other teams in the NFL and you will find that they have do not have a roster full of criminals or troublemakers. They have actually done a very good job of assembing a young, very talented team over the past several drafts. I think you can file away the old Bengal draft stereotype…

    • It’s not that they go after criminals, but if guys fall for reasons other than on the field play (Vontaze Burfict), they think they can coach him up and get him straight.

  3. Good stuff overall. No Jordan Poyer?

    • According to Draft Insider Tony Pauline, most teams have the same top-7 cornerbacks and Poyer is not on that list due to concerns about his speed.
      http://www.draftinsider.net/blog/?p=6703
      I have 10 cornerbacks going in the first 3 rounds, so I’m not completely opposed to putting Poyer in the 3rd round somewhere, but it just didn’t happen this time.

  4. Look at the Ravens roster and they have several young wr Doss, Williams, Reed,Streeter and Thompson. Ozzie said they are going to concentrate up the middle of the defense. Look for LB’s, Safeties, DT ( Cody is a disappointment) and DE with the loss of Krueger to FA

    • You know how Ozzie Newsome operates. BPA, straight from the board. This is a loaded WR class in the day 2 range and none of the receivers you listed are either proven or were high draft picks.

  5. One of the better mocks I’ve seen so far…only 3 rds, but they’re doozie’s. You nailed it WRT their DL situation…the need a “big” who can also play DE. They go up against so many prolific passing attacks, they’re in a hybrid alignment @ 2/3 of the time these days. I like Wheaton’s speed…but he’s a smallish WR. I really feel Harbaugh would like a bigger WR opposite Crabtree…either of the two Tenn. WR’s would work, Hunter or Patterson. Love both the Thomas picks…Phillip at S and Chase at OLB. They need help in both areas. Again, one of the better mocks I’ve checked out, nice work.

    Frank

  6. As a Rams fan, this 3 rounds would be a dream scenario, with one exception: OLB is a greater need than TE, so Khaseem Greene in 2nd makes more sense. I know everyone thinks Bradford needs more weapons, and I agree. But Fisher is historically a runner… anyone remember the stud receiving corp he had at Tennessee? Anyone? Beuller? I think they still believe Quick will develop, and they will most likely keep either Amendola or Gibson (both if they can afford it), and that group had started to gel by years end. There is no one on the roster they are waiting for development from at linebacker… that has to come from outside the organization.

    • I agree with you as far as wide receivers go which is why I don’t think they take one unless it’s an unbelievable value, but I don’t think you can say the same thing about tight end. kendricks is a product of the old regime and has just three games of 50+ yards in 2 seasons and their pass catching depth behind him is very thin. I don’t think they’d pass on pulling the trigger if the value is right and it’s a loaded tight end class. As far as linebacker goes, I think the Rams were pleasantly surprised by JoLonn Dunbar last year on the outside so their only real need at linebacker is a 3rd linebacker, a two down run stuffer who leaves the field in sub packages. I don’t know if that’s worth a 2nd round pick considering the Rams are in sub packages more than 50% of the time. Expect them to go after a veteran like Bart Scott in free agency to play that role, unless they really would feel more comfortable with Dunbar in that role and someone else playing Dunbar’s role.

  7. Overall a very good mock. Mixing it up a bit from the current conventional wisdom, but your reasoning seems sound. As a Seahawks fan, I love the Wheaton pick but Robert Woods might be the better overall prospect. Datone Jones in Round 1 doesn’t fit our scheme as much more than a Jason Jones replacement if he is not resigned (nickel DT). He is too big to play the LEO (Chris Clemons, Bruce Irvin), and too small to play LDE (Red Bryant). I do agree though, that he is a 1st round talent that is an unfortunate tweener. Just a bit undersized right now to play 3-tech, but his best tape is definitely inside.

    In the 2nd Round, you address a popular need for the Seahawks at RT. I don’t necessarily agree with this, as Breno played much better down the stretch, even through injury. It may be a need, but the Seahawks line wasn’t too bad last year and I believe that giving an O line time to gel is imperative. I probably would have gone with Gavin Escobar in that spot. Jordan Reed is another popular selection that makes sense, as Seattle could really use both a possession/red zone receiver and a receiving TE.

  8. Also Andrew Datko was 7th pick in 2012 draft… Prior to the start of his senior year he was on the watch for All American,,,,,, Lombardy trophy ,,and a couple more,, well a injury ended his season ,,, he was predicted to be 1st or high 2nd round pick what if he comes back strong ,, beside TT has a walk on in the mix but it’s a secret,,,,, hop sherrod? Hope Datko? Need big Deeeeefense. Paul t

  9. sure, jarvis jones will fall to your “steelers” in the 1st….just like eddie lacy will fall to them in the 2nd, lol! what a joke!

 Leave a Reply

(required)

(required)

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>