Dec 052015
 

Baltimore Ravens (4-7) at Miami Dolphins (4-7) This has been the season from hell for the Ravens. After going 11-5, winning a playoff game, and finishing the season 3rd in rate of moving the chains differential a year ago, the Ravens lost outside linebacker Pernell McPhee, defensive tackle Haloti Ngata, wide receiver Torrey Smith, and offensive […]

Dec 052015
 

Cincinnati Bengals (9-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-9) This line was a touchdown in favor of the visiting Bengals last week, but since has moved to 9.5. Ordinarily, I like to fade significant week-to-week line movements because they tend to be overreactions to a single week of play, but I think this line is still pretty […]

Dec 042015
 

Philadelphia Eagles (4-7) at New England Patriots (10-1) The Eagles have lost their last 2 games by a combined score of 90-31, dropping them out of 1st place in the weak NFC East and raising questions about whether or not head coach Chip Kelly will return next season. However, the fact that the Eagles are […]

Dec 042015
 

Indianapolis Colts (6-5) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5) Matt Hasselbeck is 4-0 as the Colts’ starter and the Colts have moved the chains at a 73.60% rate in his 4 starts, as opposed to 69.66% in Andrew Luck’s 7 starts. Certainly getting Luck back healthy for the stretch run and playoffs is very important because, at […]

Dec 042015
 

Seattle Seahawks (6-5) at Minnesota Vikings (8-3) The Seahawks are in a great spot here this week. While the Vikings have to play arguably the toughest game of their season in 4 days on the road on Thursday Night Football (in Arizona against the Cardinals), the Seahawks have an easy road game in Baltimore on […]

Dec 022015
 

Week 12 Straight Up: 9-7 Against the Spread: 10-6 Pick of the Week: 0-1 High Confidence: 1-0 Medium Confidence: 5-1 Low Confidence: 3-3 No Confidence: 1-1 Upset Picks: 2-2 2015 Straight Up: 103-73 Against the Spread: 76-96-4 Pick of the Week: 5-7 High Confidence: 9-8 Medium Confidence: 23-24-1 Low Confidence: 20-32-1 No Confidence: 19-27-2 Upset […]