Nov 072015
 

Chicago Bears (2-5) at San Diego Chargers (2-6) These two teams both only have 2 wins, but the Chargers are significantly better. While the Bears rank 26th in rate of moving the chains differential, the Chargers rank 7th. Obviously that seems weird given their record, but they actually lead the league in yards per game […]

Nov 072015
 

Oakland Raiders (4-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (4-4) This line, Pittsburgh by 5 at home, suggests that the Steelers are measurably better than the Raiders. The Raiders rank 12th in rate of moving the chains, while the Steelers rank 18th, but that’s largely because the Steelers were without Ben Roethlisberger for 4 ½ games. In the […]

Nov 072015
 

Washington Redskins (3-4) at New England Patriots (7-0) The Patriots are one of four remaining undefeated 7-0 teams, along with Cincinnati, Denver, and Carolina. I don’t see that coming to an end this week, as they’re favored by two touchdowns. They go to New York to face the Giants after this one, a game in […]

Nov 072015
 

Miami Dolphins (3-4) at Buffalo Bills (3-4) The bye came at the perfect time for the Buffalo Bills, who limped into the bye with two straight losses, including a loss in London to the Jaguars, in a game in which they were missing starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor, talented backup running back Karlos Williams, starting wide […]

Nov 062015
 

Green Bay Packers (6-1) at Carolina Panthers (7-0) The Packers are coming off of an embarrassing offensive performance in a loss in Denver. Their high powered offense moved the chains at a mere 68.18% rate and generated just 140 yards of offense, the fewest they’ve had in a game started by Aaron Rodgers in his […]

Nov 042015
 

Cleveland Browns (2-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (7-0) The Bengals are 7-0 for the first time in franchise history and are one of four remaining undefeated teams. Their undefeated season is highly unlikely to end this week, as they’re favored by 10 at home against the lowly Browns. I actually don’t think that line is high […]