Dec 102016
 

Washington Redskins (6-5-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-7) The Eagles got blown out last week in Cincinnati and have been unimpressive offensively since losing stud right tackle Lane Johnson to suspension, but they still have a strong defense and they get their top-2 skill position players, wide receiver Jordan Matthews and running back Ryan Mathews, back […]

Dec 102016
 

Arizona Cardinals (5-6-1) at Miami Dolphins (7-5) The Dolphins were shockingly blown out in Baltimore last week, the Ravens’ biggest win by point total since 2009. That almost definitely figures to be the worst game of the Dolphins’ season when all is said and done. Besides last week, they’ve played pretty well and are still […]

Dec 102016
 

Chicago Bears (3-9) at Detroit Lions (8-4) The Lions are 8-4, but rank 22nd in first down rate differential. They’ve allowed 8 more first downs than they’ve gained and 3 more touchdowns than they’ve scored. Their 15-point win in New Orleans last week was easily their most impressive game of the season, but their other […]

Dec 102016
 

Minnesota Vikings (6-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10) The Vikings have a strong defense, allowing the 6th lowest first down rate in the NFL, but they were dealt a huge blow when they lost Harrison Smith with an ankle injury that could sideline him for the rest of the year. As valuable to Minnesota’s defense as […]

Dec 102016
 

New Orleans Saints (5-7) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6) The Saints are just 5-7, but enter this game 5th in first down rate differential. That’s because, on the season, the Saints have 39 more first downs than their opponents (the 2nd best differential in the league) and 10 more offensive touchdowns than their opponents (tied […]

Dec 102016
 

Denver Broncos (8-4) at Tennessee Titans (6-6) Despite 6-6 record, the Titans enter this game 7th in first down rate differential. They’ve been competitive in every game and have a +12 point differential on the season, despite being -7 in return touchdown differential. Aside from those 7 plays, they have a +60 point differential (which […]

Dec 102016
 

Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-1) at Cleveland Browns (0-12) The Browns are 0-12 and probably the worst team in the league right now, but they have a pretty decent shot at getting their first win of the season this week, for three reasons. For one, they’re coming off of their bye week. Bye weeks have proven very […]

Dec 102016
 

Seattle Seahawks (8-3-1) at Green Bay Packers (6-6) Typically, the Seahawks are unstoppable in the second half of the season, going 33-10-1 ATS since Pete Carroll’s first season in 2011 in games 9-16 of the regular season. This year, they got off to a strong start, covering in games 9 and 10, but then they […]

Dec 102016
 

Atlanta Falcons (7-5) at Los Angeles Rams (4-8) The Rams have been beaten badly in back-to-back games. First they couldn’t stop anything against the Saints, who scored 7 offensive touchdowns in a 49-21 victory. Then last week they couldn’t move the ball, not breaking 100 yards until a garbage time touchdown drive and totalling just […]