August 23rd Update

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May 122012
 

 

RB BenJarvus Green Ellis UP

I didn’t have BJGE in my top 100 because the Patriots drafted two running backs early last year. However, it appears BJGE will remain the lead back because of the lockout. The Patriots aren’t ready to trust their rookies. He won’t have as many carries as last season (229, with 135 of those coming in the 2nd half), because they have more running backs capable of carrying the ball, but he should get around 200 carries, including the goal line carries in an explosive offense.

RB Joseph Addai DOWN

I should have put this one in there last time. Manning probably won’t miss any games, but he doesn’t look like he’ll be 100% for a few weeks. That means fewer touchdowns for Addai.

RB Felix Jones UP

Felix Jones looks like he’ll be getting the goal line carries. Tashard Choice and DeMarco Murray will still steal carries from him and Jones is still an injury risk who has never been a successful 200+ carry lead back through college and the NFL, but this helps his value.

RB Brandon Jacobs UP

Jacobs and Bradshaw had a 276-147 split in carries (65-35) last season. However, Jacobs and Bradshaw seem to be getting more of an even split this preseason and Tom Coughlin even said that Brandon Jacobs was underworked last season. They had a more even split in the 2nd half last year 123-79 (61-39) and a 57-47 split in the finally 4 games of last season (55-45). Several believe it could be much closert this year between the two than last year. Bradshaw is also more of an injury risk than Jacobs. Expect around a 240-180 split this season (57-43) if both are healthy. I’m giving 230 to Bradshaw and 190 to Jacobs right now because Bradshaw is more injury and fumble prone. Jacobs will also get the goal line carries.

RB Ahmad Bradshaw DOWN

Jacobs and Bradshaw had a 276-147 split in carries (65-35) last season. However, Jacobs and Bradshaw seem to be getting more of an even split this preseason and Tom Coughlin even said that Brandon Jacobs was underworked last season. They had a more even split in the 2nd half last year 123-79 (61-39) and a 57-47 split in the finally 4 games of last season (55-45). Several believe it could be much closert this year between the two than last year. Bradshaw is also more of an injury risk than Jacobs. Expect around a 240-180 split this season (57-43) if both are healthy. I’m giving 230 to Bradshaw and 190 to Jacobs right now because Bradshaw is more injury and fumble prone. Jacobs will also get the goal line carries.

 

WR Roy Williams DOWN

Jay Cutler told the media that Roy Williams is out of shape. Some thought he was joking, but I doubt it. I don’t think Jay Cutler knows how to joke. He’s one of the driest players in the league. Williams later confirmed that he’s still getting into shape. Williams hasn’t caught a pass in the last 2 preseason games, though he was targeted three times in their last preseason game. Devin Hester and Earl Bennett got 5 targets a piece from Cutler in their last preseason game. It’s looking like all 4 of Chicago’s receivers, Williams, Bennett, Hester, and Johnny Knox, could all cancel each other out this year, especially since Matt Forte figures to see plenty of balls thrown his way as well. I don’t know if you can draft any of them.

WR Earl Bennett UP

If you’re in a deeper league and looking for value with one of the 4 Chicago receivers, Bennett could be your guy. He caught 46 passes for 561 yards and 3 touchdowns last year and should see a little bit more than that this year.

 

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