Nov 192014

Cincinnati Bengals (6-3-1) at Houston Texans (5-5) I love fading the public whenever it makes sense. The odds makers always make money in the long run and they always have a much better sense of how good each team actually is because it’s their job to set these lines. I especially love fading the public [...]

Nov 152014

Cincinnati Bengals (5-3-1) at New Orleans Saints (4-5) The Saints lost at home last week after previously winning 20 straight games under Sean Payton at home. Still, I like them at home a lot. They are still 18-2-1 ATS at home over their last 21 home games with Drew Brees and Sean Payton, outscoring opponents [...]

Nov 012014

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (4-2-1) Overall on the season, the Bengals really haven’t played well, as they rank way down at 27th in rate of moving the chains differential, moving the chains at a 71.36% rate, as opposed to 75.10% for their opponents, a differential of -3.74%. However, they’ve been much better at [...]

Oct 232014

Baltimore Ravens (5-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-2-1) The Bengals were embarrassed on the road in Indianapolis last week, getting blown out by the final score of 27-0. Now they’re favored to beat the 5-2 Ravens. You should put all your money on Baltimore as underdogs right? Well, that’s ignoring the Bengals’ home dominance and the [...]

Oct 092014

Carolina Panthers (3-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-1) The Bengals got destroyed last week by the Patriots, who got destroyed the previous week by the Chiefs, and now they’re without AJ Green, after already being without Marvin Jones and Tyler Eifert. How will they be able to bounce back? Well, for one thing, they’re getting Vontaze [...]

Sep 302014

Cincinnati Bengals (3-0) at New England Patriots (2-2) The Patriots are in three spots this week that have easily been auto-bets for them in the Bill Belichick/Tom Brady era. They are 1.5 point underdogs here at home. They are coming off of a loss. And they are facing an opponent with a better record than [...]

Sep 182014

Tennessee Titans (1-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-0) The Bengals beat the Falcons 24-10 last week in Cincinnati, making it 10 straight regular season home games that they’ve not only won but covered, winning by an average of 16.1 points per game. They moved the chains at a 75.00% rate, as opposed to 64.51% for their [...]

Sep 112014

Atlanta Falcons (1-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-0) I had the Bengals going 12-4 before the season started. I thought they were better than their record last season because they were able to be a dominant team (11-5) without relying on always winning the turnover battle. Turnover margins are really unpredictable and inconsistent on a week-to-week [...]

Aug 172014

QB Andy Dalton (Cincinnati) Andy Dalton will be a better real quarterback than fantasy quarterback this year with the Bengals going to a more run heavy offense. The Bengals had 33 passing touchdowns to 14 rushing touchdowns last season, which won’t happen again, and Dalton might not get over 500 attempts. He’s a QB2 with [...]

Jan 022014

San Diego Chargers (9-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (11-5) The Chargers kind of tripped backwards into the playoffs. That sounds weird to say about a team that had to win 4 straight games, including one in Denver, just to get to this point, but they could have easily lost to Kansas City’s backups week 17. The [...]

Dec 172013

Minnesota Vikings (4-9-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (9-5) The Bengals lost last week pretty convincingly in Pittsburgh in a surprise loss that really shouldn’t have been much of a surprise to anyone. The Bengals just aren’t the same team on the road. They’ve already lost pretty convincingly on the road to Cleveland and Baltimore (the Bengals [...]

Dec 132013

Cincinnati Bengals (9-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-8) The Bengals have been dominant at home this season, winning all 6 of their games by an average of 16.00 points per game, including victories over the Colts, Patriots, and the Aaron Rodgers led Packers. They’ve also covered in all 6 of those games. However, they haven’t been [...]

Dec 072013

Indianapolis Colts (8-4) at Cincinnati Bengals (8-4) I’m split on this one. On one hand, the Colts are playing pretty bad football right now. They’re 3-2 since the bye, which doesn’t sound bad, but their 3 wins came by a combined 14 points against the Titans twice and the Texans. Their 2 losses came by [...]

Nov 272013

Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) at San Diego Chargers (5-6) I’m pretty torn on this one. On one hand, the Chargers could be completely flat off of last week’s insane last second win in Kansas City. Favorites generally struggle off of close road wins as underdogs, going 27-51 ATS off of a win by 3 or fewer [...]

Nov 162013

Cleveland Browns (4-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) The Bengals were riding high off of a 49-9 win over the Jets a couple of weeks ago, but after back-to-back road overtime losses, they have been knocked back down to Earth and people have given them the inconsistent label. I don’t think it’s so much inconsistency as [...]

Nov 152013

Last week: 10 (+0) Record: 6-4 The Bengals aren’t the same team on the road, losing in Chicago, Cleveland, Miami, and Baltimore and almost losing in Detroit and Buffalo. However, they are a dominant home team that is undefeated at home this season in 4 games and 4 of their final 6 games are winnable [...]