It’s not that 9.4 million over 3 years is unreasonable, for Robert Geathers, but the Bengals have 3 picks in the first 2 rounds and a ton of cap space. Geathers kind of sucks, so they should have taken this opportunity to find someone to replace him in the rotation with Michael Johnson and Carlos [...]
Andy Dalton gets a lot of credit for the Bengals’ recent success. After all, a mere 2nd round pick rookie in 2011, Dalton took over a Bengals team that was 4-12 in 2010 and took them to the playoffs in back-to-back years for the first time since 1981-1982. However, he doesn’t deserve nearly as much [...]
For analysis on Cincinnati click here For analysis on Houston click here As tempting as it is to go against Matt Schaub, whose team is reeling right now, especially since this is Matt Schaub’s first playoff start (quarterbacks are 5-13 ATS at home in their first playoff start since 2002), I’m going with the Texans. [...]
The Bengals have made the playoffs for the 2nd straight year, but like last year, they did it by winning the games they were supposed to and nothing else (well not technically nothing else this year, but close to it). The Bengals went 9-0 against non-playoff teams last season, but 0-7 against playoff teams, a [...]
Baltimore Ravens (10-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (9-6) In spite of that big win in Pittsburgh last week, Andy Dalton and these Bengals still have a lack of success against playoff teams over the past two years. After going 0-8 against playoff teams last year, they’ve had very limited action against playoff teams this year. They [...]
Last week: 15 (+3) Record: 9-6 Net points per drive: 0.44 (7th) DVOA: 4.4% (13th) Weighted DVOA: 14.2% (7th) Studs LT Andrew Whitworth: Did not allow a pressure on 48 pass block snaps RT Andre Smith: Did not allow a pressure on 48 pass block snaps, run blocked for 1 yard on 1 attempt WR [...]
Cincinnati Bengals (8-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-7) Apparently the roof is falling in Pittsburgh. They’ve gone from favored by 4.5 to favored by 3 (passing two key numbers) and the public is still on Cincinnati. Why? Because they lost in overtime in Dallas in a game that was meaningless for them because they still control [...]
Last week: 14 (-1) Record: 8-6 Net points per drive: 0.49 (7th) DVOA: 4.4% (12th) Weighted DVOA: 14.6% (7th) The Bengals are 8-6 and control their own destiny for a playoff spot, but their struggles against playoff caliber opponents should be their undoing. Andy Dalton was 0-8 against playoff teams last year and he’s just [...]
Last week: 14 (+1) Record: 7-6 Net points per drive: 0.44 (8th) DVOA: 4.7% (12th) Weighted DVOA: 13.2% (9th) Bottom line, it won’t matter what they do in either of their other two games if they can’t win in Pittsburgh week 16. I don’t think they can and while I’m at it, I think they [...]
Cincinnati Bengals (7-6) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-9) After the Eagles’ 31-6 loss in Washington week 11, I assumed the Eagles had quit. They were losers of 6 straight, including 4 or more by 13 or more. It was Andy Reid’s first 6 game losing streak of his career and a team that had always gotten [...]
Dallas Cowboys (6-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (7-5) Someone check me for a concussion because I like the Bengals this week. It’s not that the Bengals are bad or anything, but I just haven’t picked them yet this year. It’s nothing against them or anything and I haven’t really been missing out as they’re just 6-6 [...]
Last week: 19 (-4) Record: 7-5 Net points per drive: 0.48 (7th) DVOA: 3.0% (12th) Weighted DVOA: 11.0% (9th) Studs LT Andrew Whitworth: Did not allow a pressure on 42 pass block snaps, 1 penalty, run blocked for 0 yards on 1 attempt LG Clint Boling: Allowed 1 quarterback hurry on 42 pass block snaps, [...]
Cincinnati Bengals (6-5) at San Diego Chargers (4-7) Last week, I took the Chargers for a big play for several reasons. Philip Rivers was 31-19 ATS in week 11 or later. In the last 3 years, as mediocre as they’ve been, they were still 10-5 ATS in week 11 or later, including a cover the [...]
Last week: 20 (+1) Record: 6-5 Net points per drive: 0.4 (8th) DVOA: 4.6% (10th) Weighted DVOA: 7.9% (10th) Tier 5: Teams many predicted to make the playoffs at the beginning of the season, but that are long shots now Studs RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis: Rushed for 129 yards (35 after contact) and a touchdown on [...]
Oakland Raiders (3-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-5) Every year, one team goes from the playoffs to 5 wins or fewer. The Bengals now stand at 5-5, but I won’t rule out them losing out. The Lions at 4-6 are the favorite this year and I also won’t rule out that we won’t have one this [...]
Last week: 26 (+6) Record: 5-5 The Bengals now stand at 5-5, but I won’t rule them out to be this year’s team that goes from in the playoffs to 5 wins or fewer. The Lions are the favorite and I also won’t rule out that we won’t have one this year, something that’s only [...]
Cincinnati Bengals (4-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-8) Almost every year, we have one team go from in the playoffs to 5 wins or fewer. Right now, every playoff team from last year has at least 4 wins. That means one of two things. We’re not going to have a team like that this year [...]
Last week: 26 (+0) Record: 4-5 Did Andy Dalton beat his first playoff team last week? He might have, but I don’t think the Giants are going to be a playoff team when it’s all said and done (more on that later). If that doesn’t piss Bengals fans off enough, they’re still down here and [...]
New York Giants (6-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-5) If it wasn’t for Hurricane Sandy, I would have picked against the Giants last week. I thought they were in a really bad spot at home for the Steelers, but because the Steelers had to travel on the day of the game because of the Hurricane, I [...]
Last week: 26 (+1) Record: 3-5 Once again, Andy Dalton failed to beat a playoff team, something he’s never done in his career and part of the reason I never ranked them above 18, even when they were 3-1. He lost to 8 such teams last year and 3 or 4 of them this year [...]
Denver Broncos (4-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-4) The Broncos rank 2nd in the league in yards per play differential at 1.4, just .1 behind San Francisco, who has looked untouchable for weeks in that category. No one else is above 0.7. They rank just 9th in rate of sustaining drives differential, thanks to a 3rd down defense that’s [...]
Last week: 27 (+0) Record: 3-4 On bye.
Last week: 23 (-4) Record: 3-4 Before the season, I picked the Bengals to be this year’s team to go from in the playoffs to 5 wins or fewer because I thought they were the weakest of the 12 playoff teams last year, coming in tied for the fewest wins with 9 and having not [...]
Last week: 21 (-2) Record: 3-3 My preseason pick to be this year’s team that goes from in the playoffs to 5 wins or fewer, the Cincinnati Bengals, took another step forward towards that last week, losing to the Browns. Their 3 wins have come against Washington (3-3), Cleveland (1-5), and Jacksonville (1-4) and the [...]
Cincinnati Bengals (3-2) at Cleveland Browns (0-5) Last week I noted that, assuming Cleveland, Jacksonville, and Washington don’t make the playoffs and Baltimore does, the Bengals were 12-0 against non-playoff teams since Andy Dalton took over week 1 last year, and 0-10 against playoff teams. For that reason, I didn’t make a big play on [...]