Dec 162014
 

Buffalo Bills (8-6) at Oakland Raiders (2-12) This line shifted from 4.5 to 6 over the past week with the Bills winning at home in upset fashion over the Packers. I love fading huge line movements whenever it makes sense because they’re usually overreactions, especially when I can do so and fade the public at [...]

Dec 032014
 

Buffalo Bills (7-5) at Denver Broncos (9-3) Usually the public is all over favorites, particularly big favorites, because they don’t quite understand the value of the points they’re giving up. The public takes the favorite about 80% of the time or so and it’s a big part of the reason why the public always loses [...]

Aug 172014
 

QB EJ Manuel (Buffalo) Manuel looked like a reach as a rookie. Ignore the injuries (several lower body injuries limited him to 706 snaps in 10 games), Manuel really struggled on the field completing 58.8% of his passes for an average of 6.44 YPA, 11 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions and even struggled, efficiency wise, as [...]

Dec 072013
 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-9) at Buffalo Bills (4-8) The Buccaneers are favored here this week, something that has been a very rare occurrence for them this season. They were kind of favored against the Falcons a few weeks ago, favored by 1 point in some places, with the line being even in some other places [...]