Dec 122014
 

Cincinnati Bengals (8-4-1) at Cleveland Browns (7-6) This line has shifted from the Bengals being favored by 1.5 earlier in the week to the Browns now being favored by 1.5. That erased a powerful trend working against the Bengals and replaced it with a powerful trend that works for the Bengals. That first trend says [...]

Dec 062014
 

Indianapolis Colts (8-4) at Cleveland Browns (7-5) The Browns are in a bad spot here with the Bengals coming to town net week. Teams are 15-30 ATS since 2002 as non-divisional home underdogs before being divisional home underdogs. However, they should still be the right side. This line is too high at 3.5. That means [...]

Nov 162014
 

Houston Texans (4-5) at Cleveland Browns (6-3) This is a tough one because I don’t really have any significant trends for either side. The Browns are the better team and we’re probably getting some line value with them as mere 3.5 point favorites, especially with Arian Foster out. The Browns rank 15th, moving the chains [...]

Oct 252014
 

Oakland Raiders (0-6) at Cleveland Browns (3-3) The Browns lost last week in previously 0-6 Jacksonville, doing so in embarrassing fashion, losing by the finale score of 24-6 and getting dominated in the chain game. They moved the chains at a mere 46.43% rate, as opposed to 65.71% for the Jaguars, a differential of -19.29% [...]

Oct 112014
 

Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-2) This is one of the games that I’m most indecivise on this week. Both of these teams are in good spots with easy games up next. The Steelers have a non-divisional home game against an average at best Houston team next week, while the Browns head to Jacksonville [...]

Oct 032014
 

Cleveland Browns (1-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-3) Tennessee has been demolished in back to back weeks, losing by final scores of 33-7 and 41-17, but I have reason to think that this week will be different. For one, Jake Locker is coming back from injury. Locker isn’t great or anything, but he’s definitely better than [...]

Sep 202014
 

Baltimore Ravens (1-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-1) The Ravens are generally not as good on the road as at home, going 42-10 at home since the start of the John Harbaugh/Joe Flacco era, outscoring opponents by an average of 9.96 points per game, as opposed to 30-29 on the road, outscoring opponents by an average [...]

Dec 252013
 

Cleveland Browns (4-11) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-8) The situational trends say Cleveland is the right side here. For one, Cleveland is in their 2nd straight road game. Historically, teams lose by an average of 3.07 points per game on the road after a home game and 2.07 points per game on the road after a [...]

Dec 192013
 

Cleveland Browns (4-10) at New York Jets (6-8) Ordinarily, I don’t like betting on games in which both teams have been eliminated from the playoffs, because you never know what their individual motivations are. Sure, they’re probably going to continue trying because the majority of the individual players are playing for their jobs and salaries [...]