Dec 252013
 

Cleveland Browns (4-11) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-8) The situational trends say Cleveland is the right side here. For one, Cleveland is in their 2nd straight road game. Historically, teams lose by an average of 3.07 points per game on the road after a home game and 2.07 points per game on the road after a [...]

Dec 192013
 

Cleveland Browns (4-10) at New York Jets (6-8) Ordinarily, I don’t like betting on games in which both teams have been eliminated from the playoffs, because you never know what their individual motivations are. Sure, they’re probably going to continue trying because the majority of the individual players are playing for their jobs and salaries [...]

Nov 302013
 

Last week: 23 (-4) Record: 4-7 At one point, the Browns were 4-1 when Brandon Weeden didn’t start. Now they are 1-7 when Brian Hoyer doesn’t start and look who is going to start the Browns’ next game for them. It’s Brandon Weeden, with Jason Campbell nursing a concussion. The Browns should beat the Jaguars, [...]

Nov 232013
 

Pittsburgh Steelers (4-6) at Cleveland Browns (4-6) The Steelers may be 4-6, but they’re better than their record. They are moving the chains at a 74% rate, as opposed to 73% for their opponents, a differential that is 13th in the NFL. They are 4-2 since the bye, after their 0-4 start. They started the [...]

Nov 162013
 

Cleveland Browns (4-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) The Bengals were riding high off of a 49-9 win over the Jets a couple of weeks ago, but after back-to-back road overtime losses, they have been knocked back down to Earth and people have given them the inconsistent label. I don’t think it’s so much inconsistency as [...]

Nov 092013
 

Last week: 25 (+5) Record: 4-5 The Browns are 4-1 in games where Brandon Weeden doesn’t start. Jason Campbell isn’t great, but he’s passable and completing 46 of 75 for 561 yards and 5 touchdowns. Like Brian Hoyer before him, he’s doing a great job getting the ball to Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron downfield [...]

Nov 012013
 

Baltimore Ravens (3-4) at Cleveland Browns (3-4) Obviously, 3-4 is not how the Ravens wanted to start the season, but the schedule gets easier from here for them. After being underdogs in 5 of their first 7 games, the Ravens will definitely be favored in at 4 games (@Cleveland, vs. Pittsburgh, vs. NY Jets, vs. [...]

Oct 172013
 

Cleveland Browns (3-3) at Green Bay Packers (3-2) The Packers are in a great situational trend spot this week, as non-divisional home favorites here against Cleveland before being divisional road favorites in Minnesota next week. Teams are 47-22 ATS in that spot since 2008. They have no distractions on the schedule and can be completely [...]

Oct 162013
 

Last week: 22 (-2) Record: 3-3 The Browns looked great offensively in the first half as it looked like the return of Josh Gordon was helping even Brandon Weeden look like a passable quarterback, giving him two dynamic passing game weapons with Jordan Cameron. The Browns led 17-7 at halftime, but didn’t score the rest [...]

Oct 032013
 

Last week: 29 (+5) Record: 2-2 The Browns have somehow vaulted to the top of the AFC North two weeks after losing Brandon Weeden to injury and trading Trent Richardson to the Colts. While it’s not a surprise that they wouldn’t miss Brandon Weeden that much, I don’t think anyone was expecting Brian Hoyer to [...]