Sep 242016
 

Cleveland Browns (0-2) at Miami Dolphins (0-2) The Browns entered the season with arguably the weakest roster in the league and have had terrible injury luck already. On defense, defensive end Carl Nassib is out, while cornerback Joe Haden is questionable and could join Nassib on the sideline. On the offensive side, the Browns are […]

Sep 102016
 

Cleveland Browns (0-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) When the Eagles traded away Sam Bradford 8 days before the start of the season last Saturday, that dropped this spread from 6.5 or 7 to 3.5, where it still stands now. Trading away Bradford definitely hurts this team, as you hate switching quarterbacks that close to the […]

Jan 022016
 

Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6) at Cleveland Browns (3-12) The Steelers lost last week as huge road favorites in Baltimore, but they get a 2nd chance this week and I like their chances of bouncing back this week as 11 point favorites in Cleveland. The Browns rank 29th in rate of moving the chains differential, while the […]

Dec 192015
 

Cleveland Browns (3-10) at Seattle Seahawks (8-5) The Seahawks’ home dominance is well documented. Since 2007, they are 54-23 at home (outscoring opponents by an average of 7.77 points per game), as opposed to 31-45 on the road (getting outscored by an average of 1.72 points per game). However, their home dominance might be too […]

Dec 122015
 

San Francisco 49ers (4-8) at Cleveland Browns (2-10) The Browns have the league’s worst record, so the public seems to be confused why they’re favored here, at home against the 49ers, as the public is all over the visitor. I’m confused why they’re not favored by more. They were favored by a field goal a […]

Dec 052015
 

Cincinnati Bengals (9-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-9) This line was a touchdown in favor of the visiting Bengals last week, but since has moved to 9.5. Ordinarily, I like to fade significant week-to-week line movements because they tend to be overreactions to a single week of play, but I think this line is still pretty […]

Nov 282015
 

Baltimore Ravens (3-7) at Cleveland Browns (2-8) This has been the season from hell for the Ravens. After going 11-5, winning a playoff game, and finishing the season 3rd in rate of moving the chains differential a year ago, the Ravens lost outside linebacker Pernell McPhee, defensive tackle Haloti Ngata, wide receiver Torrey Smith, and […]

Nov 142015
 

Cleveland Browns (2-7) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4) Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger injured his foot last week against the Raiders and, though he’s gotten some limited practice in this week, the injury is typically a multi-week one and he’s not expected to play in this game against Cleveland, ahead of Pittsburgh’s bye next week. Landry Jones would […]

Nov 042015
 

Cleveland Browns (2-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (7-0) The Bengals are 7-0 for the first time in franchise history and are one of four remaining undefeated teams. Their undefeated season is highly unlikely to end this week, as they’re favored by 10 at home against the lowly Browns. I actually don’t think that line is high […]

Oct 302015
 

Arizona Cardinals (5-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-5) Typically, I like fading significant line movements, because they tend to be week-to-week overreactions. This game does feature one, as the Cardinals were 4 point favorites on the early line last week, but are now favored by 6, probably as a result of the Browns’ big loss in […]

Oct 172015
 

Denver Broncos (5-0) at Cleveland Browns (2-3) The Broncos are 5-0, but are not a convincing 5-0, playing a schedule that hasn’t been that tough, Baltimore, Kansas City, Detroit, Minnesota, and Oakland and not pretty beating any of those teams with much ease. They rank just 12th in rate of moving the chains differential. Cleveland […]

Oct 032015
 

Cleveland Browns (1-2) at San Diego Chargers (1-2) The Chargers are 1-2, but their losses both came on the road against Cincinnati and Minnesota, a pair of solid teams. They still rank 19th in rate of moving the chains differential, decent considering they’ve had a tougher schedule than most teams. They finished last season 13th […]

Sep 262015
 

Oakland Raiders (1-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-1) Both of these teams won as home underdogs last week, pushing themselves to 1-1. However, I think the Browns are a significantly better team than the Raiders. The Browns have noted issues in the passing game and minimal offensive skill position talent, but they have one of the […]

Sep 182015
 

Tennessee Titans (1-0) at Cleveland Browns (0-1) As I’ve mentioned many times before, I love fading significant week-to-week line movements, as they are usually the result of overreaction to one game, which creates line value. We have a case of that here as the Browns went from 4 home point favorites in the early line […]