Apr 072014
 

Trade for Ravens: The Ravens desperately needed a new center as Gino Gradkowski struggled mightily in his first season as a starter in place of the retired Matt Birk. The 2012 4th round pick graded out as Pro Football Focus’ worst ranked center last season. Jeremy Zuttah is not a great center, grading out 22nd [...]

Apr 052014
 

Trade for Bills: Mike Williams is on a big contract, but only 1.8 million of the deal is left guaranteed so the Bills are essentially getting Williams on a 1-year, 1.8 million dollar deal with “options” for 2015, 2016, 2017, and 2018 at 6.8 million, 7.2 million, 7.5 million, and 8.75 million respectively. He’s unlikely [...]

Dec 072013
 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-9) at Buffalo Bills (4-8) The Buccaneers are favored here this week, something that has been a very rare occurrence for them this season. They were kind of favored against the Falcons a few weeks ago, favored by 1 point in some places, with the line being even in some other places [...]

Nov 302013
 

Last week: 29 (+7) Record: 3-8 It’s very clear now that the Buccaneers are better than their 0-8 start would have suggested. They have two All-Pro caliber players in Darrelle Revis and Gerald McCoy and another borderline All-Pro in Lavonte David, so, ever since Mike Glennon took over under center, they’ve been no pushover. However, [...]

Nov 272013
 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-8) at Carolina Panthers (8-3) At first glance, Carolina definitely seems like the right side here. Tampa Bay’s fluky win in Detroit last week moved this line 2.5 points, from 11 to 8.5, from last week to this week. That’s significant. The reason I call Tampa Bay’s win in Detroit last week [...]

Nov 212013
 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-8) at Detroit Lions (6-4) The Buccaneers may just be 2-8, but they are better than their record. Before the season, I said they had 7 of the top-200 players in the NFL (Vincent Jackson, Carl Nicks, Dashon Goldson, Darrelle Revis, Gerald McCoy, Doug Martin, and Lavonte David). Doug Martin is out [...]

Nov 162013
 

Atlanta Falcons (2-7) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-8) I had the Falcons winning 8 games before the season, but I never could have imagined a team with a quarterback like Matt Ryan could ever win 4 or fewer games. However, they have a very realistic chance of that happening right now, at 2-7. That’s just [...]

Nov 152013
 

Last week: 31 (+0) Record: 1-8 Like the Jaguars, the Buccaneers were going to win a game at some point and when the distracted and overrated Dolphins rode into town, it presented an excellent opportunity for them to win. The Buccaneers’ win was more impressive than the Jaguars’ because they didn’t rely on the turnover [...]

Nov 092013
 

Last week: 31 (+0) Record: 0-8 The Buccaneers’ near win in Seattle last week just reinforces how difficult football is to predict and how ridiculous it is to suggest that any team is going to go winless (or undefeated) with half a season left to play. Winless teams can be very dangerous down the stretch [...]

Nov 062013
 

Miami Dolphins (4-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-8) The Dolphins haven’t had an ordinary week. They’ve spent a lot of the week answering questions about the Richie Incognito/Jonathan Martin situation and dealing with the NFL and the media. That’s a huge distraction, before you even get into the fact that this already weak offensive line [...]

Nov 022013
 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-7) at Seattle Seahawks (7-1) The Seahawks came up kind of flat in St. Louis last week as a huge favorites against an inferior opponent, winning only by the score of 14-9. However, they get another opportunity to blow out an inferior opponent and cover a huge spread here this week and [...]

Oct 312013
 

Last week: 31 (+0) Record: 0-7 It’s becoming very clear that Greg Schiano will not be the Head Coach of the Buccaneers in 2014, though they may opt to keep him until the end of the season, rather than firing him mid-season. It’ll be interesting to see who the Buccaneers can get to replace him [...]

Oct 242013
 

Carolina Panthers (3-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-6) The Panthers are much better than their record. Only 4 teams (Denver, Kansas City, New Orleans, Seattle) have better point differentials than the Panthers, who are 2nd in the NFL to only Kansas City in points per game allowed. They are moving the chains at an 80% rate, [...]

Oct 232013
 

Last week: 31 (+0) Record: 0-6 Last week, Football Outsiders called the Buccaneers the best 0-5 team (in their history, since 1991) in terms of DVOA. I don’t have the historical context to determine whether or not that was true, but it made sense and they were definitely better than their record would have suggested. [...]