Sep 132014
 

Seattle Seahawks (1-0) at San Diego Chargers (1-0) I really hate to go against the Seahawks. They were obviously Super Bowl champs last year and deserving ones at that and now they return with their same young core. They looked every bit as good as they always had last week, beating the Packers 36-16 in [...]

Sep 052014
 

San Diego Chargers (0-0) at Arizona Cardinals (0-0) It’s hard to find a team that has lost as much talent since the last time we played football as the Cardinals, particularly defensively. Karlos Dansby is gone as a free agent. Daryl Washington was suspended for the season. Darnell Dockett is out for the season with [...]

Jan 092014
 

San Diego Chargers (10-7) at Denver Broncos (13-3) This is one I’m completely torn on. On one hand, the Chargers are in the better spot. The Broncos could be overconfident because they’re at home coming off of a bye. Teams are 14-22 ATS since 2003 as home favorites after a 1st round bye in the post-season, [...]

Jan 022014
 

San Diego Chargers (9-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (11-5) The Chargers kind of tripped backwards into the playoffs. That sounds weird to say about a team that had to win 4 straight games, including one in Denver, just to get to this point, but they could have easily lost to Kansas City’s backups week 17. The [...]

Dec 112013
 

Denver Broncos (11-2) at San Diego Chargers (6-7) Peyton Manning has had some games this season where he didn’t look like a quarterback that was having arguably the best regular season by a quarterback in NFL history, but none of those have been at home. At home this season, he is completing 69.8% of his [...]

Dec 072013
 

New York Giants (5-7) at San Diego Chargers (5-7) The Chargers are in an incredibly tough situation this week because they have to face the Broncos a few days after this one in Denver on Thursday Night Football. That is undoubtedly the biggest game of their season. They’ll obviously not want to overlook the Giants [...]

Nov 272013
 

Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) at San Diego Chargers (5-6) I’m pretty torn on this one. On one hand, the Chargers could be completely flat off of last week’s insane last second win in Kansas City. Favorites generally struggle off of close road wins as underdogs, going 27-51 ATS off of a win by 3 or fewer [...]

Nov 212013
 

San Diego Chargers (4-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) I’ve maintained all along that the Chiefs are not as good as their record. Going into last week’s game, they had the NFL’s easiest schedule according to DVOA, which doesn’t even take into account all of the backup quarterbacks they faced. However, despite that, they were [...]

Nov 062013
 

Denver Broncos (7-1) at San Diego Chargers (4-4) Dominant teams usually play very well off of a bye. Since 2002, road favorites of 3.5 or more are 29-8 ATS since 2002, including 12-1 ATS in a divisional game. This makes sense. Dominant teams are better suited to using an extra week off. Peyton Manning, for [...]

Nov 022013
 

San Diego Chargers (4-3) at Washington Redskins (2-5) One of the most powerful trends in the NFL says that road favorites dominate off of a bye, going 45-18 ATS since 2002. It makes sense. Road favorites are significantly superior teams and significantly superior teams tend to use the extra week very well and dominate their [...]