QB Jay Cutler (Chicago)
Jay Cutler only played in 10 games last year and had 13 touchdowns, 7 interceptions, and 2319 yards. Over 16 games, that’s 3710 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. However, 3 good things happened for Cutler this offseason. They added his old #1 receiver Brandon Marshall to a receiving corps led in snaps played by Roy Williams, who is still unsigned. They also added Alshon Jeffery to that corps in the 2nd round.
Thirdly, Mike Martz is gone so Cutler will be moving to a scheme he fits better. Further helping him is that they brought his former quarterbacks coach from Denver. He should exceeded those extrapolated yards and touchdowns, but also those extrapolated interceptions, just because he has a career 3.4% interception percentage, roughly 17 every 500 throws.
Projection: 3820 passing yards, 24 passing touchdowns, 15 interceptions, 150 rushing yards, 1 rushing touchdown (239 pts standard/287 pts in 6 pt TD leagues)
RB Matt Forte (Chicago)
7/26/12: Forte has signed and will not hold out. He was on pace for a career high 2145 yards from scrimmage before getting hurt last year through 11 games and through 8, he was actually on pace for the 2nd most yards from scrimmage of all times. Michael Bush will steal some goal line carries, but when has he not had a back stealing goal line carries from him? Other than that, Bush will be a pure backup who will be lucky to get 1 carry for each of Forte’s 2. He’s a sneaky good value in the end of the 1st, beginning of the 2nd round in a year where good running backs are tough to find.
Like Ray Rice, there’s the threat of Forte holding out into Training Camp and becoming rusty. The Bears have also added Michael Bush through free agency so Forte should go back down to the 238 carries or so he had in 2010, rather than the 271 he was on pace for last season. Still, Forte is a top-10 back coming off of injury.
Projection: 250 carries 1150 rushing yards 9 total touchdowns 60 catches 540 receiving yards (223 pts standard/283 pts PPR)
RB Michael Bush (Chicago)
Michael Bush is a backup and nothing else, just like Chester Taylor and Marion Barber before him. He’ll be lucky if he gets 1 carry to every one of Forte’s 2. This is all, of course, unless Forte holds out into the season or the Bears trade him. Stay tuned.
Projection: 110 carries 470 rushing yards 5 total touchdowns 25 catches 200 receiving yards (97 pts standard/122 pts PPR)
WR Brandon Marshall (Chicago)
From 2007-2008 in Denver with Jay Cutler, Marshall had 102 catches for 1325 yards and 7 touchdowns and 104 catches for 1265 yards and 6 touchdowns. From 2010-2011 in Miami with crap at quarterback, Marshall had 86 catches for 1014 yards and 3 touchdowns and 81 catches for 1214 yards and 6 touchdowns. Now that he won’t face league discipline after an alleged off the field incident, he’s a player with good upside and minimal downside.
Projection: 95 catches 1200 receiving yards 7 receiving touchdowns (162 pts standard/257 pts PPR)