Jan 052013
 

For analysis on Cincinnati click here
For analysis on Houston click here

As tempting as it is to go against Matt Schaub, whose team is reeling right now, especially since this is Matt Schaub’s first playoff start (quarterbacks are 5-13 ATS at home in their first playoff start since 2002), I’m going with the Texans. Andy Dalton has only legitimately beaten one playoff team in his career (against a banged up and still inexperienced Washington team that wasn’t as good as they are now). I also feel like this line would have been -7.5 a few weeks ago. I think people are overreacting too much to the Texans’ recent struggles. It’d have to be an even 3 for me to make Houston a significant play, but they should be the right side.

Houston Texans 24 Cincinnati Bengals 16

Pick against spread: Houston -4.5 (-110) 1 unit



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