Nov 212014
 

Dallas Cowboys (7-3) at New York Giants (3-7) One of the more powerful trends says that road favorites of 3 or more are incredibly dominant off of a bye, going 40-12 ATS since 2002, including 21-4 ATS in divisional matchups, like this one here. It makes sense. The Cowboys are a significantly better team than [...]

Nov 082014
 

Dallas Cowboys (6-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-8) in London Tony Romo is back for the Cowboys this week after missing last week with a back bruise. Given that, we should be getting significant line value with the Cowboys as just 7 point favorites on a neutral field here in London over the Jaguars. Despite missing [...]

Oct 252014
 

Washington Redskins (2-5) at Dallas Cowboys (6-1) Last week I picked against the Cowboys when they planned the Giants here at home in Dallas. That didn’t work out as the Cowboys won 31-21 as 6.5 point favorites, but it could have easily been a different result (against the spread). The Giants led 14-7 earlier and [...]

Oct 082014
 

Dallas Cowboys (4-1) at Seattle Seahawks (3-1) The Seahawks are basically an auto-bet at home. Since 2007, the Seahawks are 43-19 at home, including playoffs and they aren’t just having success straight up as they are 42-19-1 ATS. They outscore opponents on average by 7.73 points per game. This is opposed to a 23-40 record [...]

Oct 012014
 

Houston Texans (3-1) at Dallas Cowboys (3-1) The Cowboys have greatly exceeded my expectations. By far the biggest surprise has been the play of their defense. They haven’t been good or anything, but considering the complete lack of talent they came into the season with, a lot of credit needs to be given to new [...]

Sep 252014
 

New Orleans Saints (1-2) at Dallas Cowboys (2-1) This is a tough one. On one hand, the Saints’ road struggles are well documented and they’ve been especially bad over the past two seasons. Just this season, they’ve already lost in Atlanta and Cleveland as road favorites. The Saints are 3-9 ATS on the road since [...]

Sep 202014
 

St. Louis Rams (1-1) at Dallas Cowboys (1-1) This game is relatively meaningless for the Cowboys as compared to next week’s game against the Saints in Dallas. Teams are 74-117 ATS as road favorites before being home underdogs since 1989, including 20-39 ATS when both games are non-divisional. They could easily overlook the Rams. They [...]

Mar 202014
 

The Cowboys desperately needed defensive line help this off-season, especially defensive tackle help. After losing Jason Hatcher to the Redskins, there might not have been a single team needier for any single position than the Cowboys were for a defensive tackle. Things were so desperate for the Cowboys at defensive tackle this season that Nick [...]

Dec 262013
 

Philadelphia Eagles (9-6) at Dallas Cowboys (8-7) I was kicking myself when I saw this line opened at Philadelphia -3. It was at Dallas -3 a week ago and there was no reason not to take that, even before Philadelphia demolished Chicago last week. For one, Philadelphia is obviously a better team than the Cowboys, [...]

Dec 192013
 

Washington Redskins (3-11) at Dallas Cowboys (7-7) At first glance, this line doesn’t make any sense. In what universe are the Cowboys 6 points better than the Redskins (3 points for home field advantage)? The Cowboys’ defense not only is the worst defense in the NFL, but it’s approaching historically bad. They only thing they [...]

Dec 132013
 

Green Bay Packers (6-6-1) at Dallas Cowboys (7-6) Aaron Rodgers has been ruled out for this one, so the line has been posted. The Packers have opened as 7 point underdogs. You check see all of the NFL lines at https://www.bwin.com/. However, even though Aaron Rodgers is out, that doesn’t mean the Packers will have trouble [...]

Nov 272013
 

Oakland Raiders (4-7) at Dallas Cowboys (6-5) I’m completely split on this one. On one hand, non-divisional home favorites dominate on Thursdays, going 30-14 ATS since 1989. This makes sense. Playing on a short week is rough, but it’s even rougher when you have to travel on a short week. That cuts into valuable preparation [...]

Nov 152013
 

Last week: 14 (-6) Record: 5-5 It’s arguable the Saints’ win over the Cowboys was the most lopsided contest in NFL history. While the Saints set the NFL record with 40 first downs, the Cowboys ran just 43 plays. The Saints’ +31 first down margin was the best in NFL history. The closest came when [...]