Sep 112012
 

Last week: 20 (-2)

Record: 1-0

I got several things wrong week 1, finishing 8-8 ATS and 9-7 SU on the week, and several of my bolder preseason predictions are looking kind of shaky (more on that later), but one thing I nailed was that St. Louis would be better than people thought and Detroit would be worse. The odds makers seemed to agree with me, setting the line for Detroit/St. Louis at -7.5 Detroit and a lot of people lost a lot of money betting on Detroit as Detroit needed a late comeback to beat the Rams by 4 at home, helping me nail my pick of the week. I’ll continue to bet against Detroit until they prove me wrong or the odds makers catch up.

They can pass the ball well and it’s a passing league, but their terrible secondary that made Sam Bradford look good (17 for 25 for 198 yards and a touchdown) will cancel a lot of that out. They also don’t have a lot of running back talent and I don’t trust their run defense, ranked 28th in the league last year, even though they did a good job on Steven Jackson this week. On top of all that, they’re a penalty prone team who had a distracting offseason, they have a tough schedule, and as a team, they’re incredibly dependant on a connection of Stafford to Johnson that hasn’t been the most durable in their careers.

Studs

LB Rob Sims: Allowed 0 sacks, quarterback hits, or quarterback pressures on 49 pass block snaps, run blocked for 8 yards on 2 carries

C Dominic Raiola: Allowed 0 sacks, quarterback hits, or quarterback pressures on 49 pass block snaps, run blocked for 26 yards and a touchdown on 4 carries

DT Corey Williams: 1 sack and 1 quarterback hit on 19 pass rush snaps, 4 solo tackles and 2 stops on 16 snaps

K Jason Hanson: 6 kickoffs, 71.5 yards per kickoff, 4 touchbacks, average starting distance of 20.0, 2/2 on FGs (41, 45)

Duds

WR Titus Young: 1 catch for 14 yards on 3 attempts on 27 pass plays, 1.0 YAC per catch, 1 penalty

RE Kyle Vanden Bosch: 0 sacks, quarterback hits, or quarterback pressures on 23 pass rush snaps, 2 solo tackles, 1 stop and 1 missed tackle on 17 run plays

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