Aug 172014

QB Nick Foles (Philadelphia) Foles broke into the lineup because of a Vick injury (what else) and took the starting job and ran with it, completing 64.0% of his passes for an average of 9.12 YPA, 27 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. He led the league in QB rating at 119.2, ahead of even Peyton Manning, [...]

Jan 022014

New Orleans Saints (11-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (10-6) At first glance, this line, which favors Philadelphia by 2.5 points, seems off. The Saints had a fantastic regular season on the whole, moving the chains at a 76.98% rate, as opposed to 68.85% for their opponents, a differential of 8.13% that ranks 2nd in the NFL. [...]

Dec 262013

Philadelphia Eagles (9-6) at Dallas Cowboys (8-7) I was kicking myself when I saw this line opened at Philadelphia -3. It was at Dallas -3 a week ago and there was no reason not to take that, even before Philadelphia demolished Chicago last week. For one, Philadelphia is obviously a better team than the Cowboys, [...]

Dec 192013

Chicago Bears (8-6) at Philadelphia Eagles (8-6) The Eagles are a better team than the Bears. In terms of rate of moving the chains differential, they’re about equal. The Eagles are moving the chains at a 73.73% rate, as opposed to 73.78% for their opponents, a differential of -0.05% that ranks 16th in the NFL. [...]

Dec 132013

Philadelphia Eagles (8-5) at Minnesota Vikings (3-9-1) Earlier this season, a stat was floated around that the Eagles hadn’t won in 10 straight home games. They ended their home struggles over their recent three game home stand, by winning all 3, but what got lost in that was how good the Eagles were on the [...]

Dec 072013

Detroit Lions (7-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (7-5) Earlier this year, the Lions won a game despite losing the turnover battle by 4, something that had only happened 19 times prior since 1989. In that game, accumulating 623 yards of offense, as opposed to 268 for the Cowboys, only the 24th time since 1989 that a team [...]

Nov 292013

Arizona Cardinals (7-4) at Philadelphia Eagles (6-5) The Eagles snapped their 10 game home losing streak before the bye against the Redskins, beating them 24-16 in a game that wasn’t really even as close as that final score. The big difference was they had Nick Foles under center. Foles proved his first home start of [...]

Nov 082013

Philadelphia Eagles (4-5) at Green Bay Packers (5-3) Trends wise, the Eagles have the advantage here. The Packers will probably be non-divisional road favorites in New York last week and face the Giants and they are non-divisional home favorites this week. Teams are 61-85 ATS in that spot since 2002. Meanwhile, the Eagles are non-divisional [...]

Nov 022013

Philadelphia Eagles (3-5) at Oakland Raiders (3-4) The Raiders won a close home game against the Steelers as underdogs last week, winning 21-18, but they didn’t play that well last week. If it wasn’t for a breakdown on a fluke touchdown run by Terrelle Pryor (the longest in NFL history by a quarterback) and two [...]

Oct 292013

Trade for Patriots: Isaac Sopoaga isn’t very good. The 32-year-old was ProFootballFocus’ 82nd ranked defensive tackle out of 85 eligible on ProFootballFocus last season on the nose in San Francisco. This year, he’s been better, but he’s still grading out slightly below average on the nose in Philadelphia. That being said, he’s probably better than [...]

Oct 262013

New York Giants (1-6) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-4) One powerful trend is that teams who lose as divisional home favorites are 49-24 ATS since 2002 as road dogs in the rematch. It makes sense. Matchups where the team who is favored is dependent on the location tend to be matchups between very even teams and [...]

Oct 232013

Last week: 22 (+0) Record: 3-4 This week, Nick Foles struggled and got hurt and Matt Barkley absolutely sucked. And just like that, Michael Vick’s hamstring is magically better. Foles was awful before his injury, completing 11 of 29 for 80 yards, but Barkley was somehow even worse. He completed 11 of 20 for 129 [...]