Dec 172016

Philadelphia Eagles (5-8) at Baltimore Ravens (7-6) Much like many Ravens teams in recent memory, this Ravens team has a great defense, but an underwhelming offense. They enter this game 30th in first down rate, but 3rd in first down rate allowed and 15th in first down rate differential. The Eagles enter this game 26th […]

Dec 102016

Washington Redskins (6-5-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-7) The Eagles got blown out last week in Cincinnati and have been unimpressive offensively since losing stud right tackle Lane Johnson to suspension, but they still have a strong defense and they get their top-2 skill position players, wide receiver Jordan Matthews and running back Ryan Mathews, back […]

Dec 032016

Philadelphia Eagles (5-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-7-1) Before the season started, I had the Bengals on my list of teams that I thought would disappoint. They won 12 games last season and were 10-2 before losing quarterback Andy Dalton for the season with injury, but outside of Dalton they barely had an injuries last season, […]

Nov 192016

Philadelphia Eagles (5-4) at Seattle Seahawks (6-2-1) The Seahawks pulled a big upset last week, winning as 8 point underdogs in New England. Considering how well the Seahawks have played in the 2nd half of the season in recent years, that big upset shouldn’t have come as a big surprise. The Seahawks have always done […]

Nov 122016

Atlanta Falcons (6-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-4) The Falcons are 6-3 and one of the better teams in the league this season thanks primarily to a high flying offense that leads the NFL with a first down or touchdown on a whopping 43.26% of snaps, including 50% in back-to-back games against the Packers and Buccaneers […]

Oct 292016

Philadelphia Eagles (4-2) at Dallas Cowboys (5-1) The Cowboys are coming off of a huge upset win in Green Bay 2 weeks ago and are healthy coming off their bye, with top wide receiver Dez Bryant and top cornerback Orlando Scandrick both returning from extended absences. Now back at home, they’re favored by 4.5 points […]

Oct 222016

Minnesota Vikings (5-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-2) The 5-0 Vikings are the NFL’s final remaining undefeated team. They’ve been impressive overall, but their offense actually has struggled to move the ball effectively for most of the season. On 310 offensive plays, they have just 87 first downs (fewest in the NFL) and 9 touchdowns (2nd […]

Oct 152016

Philadelphia Eagles (3-1) at Washington Redskins (3-2) This line was even last week, but has since shifted a full three points, with the Eagles now favored by a field goal in Washington, despite the fact that Philadelphia lost in Detroit and Washington won in Baltimore. Ordinarily, I like to fade significant line movements, but Philadelphia […]

Sep 242016

Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) The Eagles were at the top of my underrated teams list coming into the season, with a pre-season over/under of just 6.5 wins. Obviously the quarterback situation complicated matters, especially with Sam Bradford getting traded a week before the season started and rookie Carson Wentz being the week […]

Sep 102016

Cleveland Browns (0-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) When the Eagles traded away Sam Bradford 8 days before the start of the season last Saturday, that dropped this spread from 6.5 or 7 to 3.5, where it still stands now. Trading away Bradford definitely hurts this team, as you hate switching quarterbacks that close to the […]

Dec 242015

Washington Redskins (7-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (6-8) This line suggests these two teams are even, but I disagree. Not only do the Redskins have a better record, but they also rank higher in rate of moving the chains differential, ranking 15th, while the Eagles come in at 24th. On top of that, the Eagles are […]

Dec 202015

Arizona Cardinals (11-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (6-7) The Cardinals rank first in the NFL in rate of moving the chains differential, despite having a couple losses. In those 2 losses, they won the first down battle by a combined 20 first downs and only lost because they had a -3 turnover margin in both games. […]

Dec 042015

Philadelphia Eagles (4-7) at New England Patriots (10-1) The Eagles have lost their last 2 games by a combined score of 90-31, dropping them out of 1st place in the weak NFC East and raising questions about whether or not head coach Chip Kelly will return next season. However, the fact that the Eagles are […]

Nov 212015

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-5) The Eagles are only favored by 6 points here over the Buccaneers this week, after being favored by 8 points in the early line last week. I think that’s too low, as the Eagles rank 7th in rate of moving the chains differential, while the Buccaneers rank […]

Nov 142015

Miami Dolphins (3-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-4) This game was really tough because there are conflicting trends on each side. On one hand, the Dolphins are in their 2nd straight road game. Teams are 122-87 ATS as road underdogs off a road loss since 2008, including 100-59 ATS when it’s their 2nd of 2 road games. […]