Dec 212012
 

Last week: 4 (+0)

Record: 12-2

Net points per drive: 0.56 (6th)

DVOA: 13.3% (8th)

Weighted DVOA: 8.4% (10th)

Here’s why the AFC’s top-3 is so interesting. The Patriots have beaten the other two, but have the worst record of the trio and thus they won’t have home field. The Broncos have lost to the other two, but that was a while ago and they’ve managed to rip off 9 straight since, albeit against a weak schedule. The Texans, meanwhile, have will home field in both, but they just got their asses handed to them by the Patriots in a way that neither of the other teams have by anyone. The Patriots’ 7 point loss last week to the 49ers was the biggest of their season and the Broncos’ 10 point loss in New England was their biggest. And Houston has lost by games in blowout fashion, first to Green Bay and then to New England, and those are their only 2 losses. I think the Patriots would win in Houston and the Broncos wouldn’t, but there are many ways to look at it.

Studs

QB Matt Schaub: 23 of 31 for 261 yards and a touchdown, 3 thrown away, 1 drop, 115.7 adjusted QB rating, pressured on 10 of 34 drop backs (3 sacks, 3 of 7, 3 thrown away)

RB Arian Foster: Rushed for 165 yards (128 after contact) on 27 attempts, 2 broken tackles, caught 2 passes for 4 yards on 2 attempts

WR Andre Johnson: Caught 11 passes for 151 yards and a touchdown on 13 attempts on 36 pass snaps, 2.8 YAC per catch, 1 drop, 1 penalty

LE JJ Watt: 3 sacks, 1 quarterback hit, and 2 quarterback hurries on 35 pass rush snaps, 1 penalty, 7 solo tackles, 1 assist, 10 stops, 1 missed tackle

RE Antonio Smith: 1 sack, 2 quarterback hits, and 5 quarterback hurries on 34 pass rush snaps, 1 solo tackle, 2 stops, 1 penalty

CB Kareem Jackson: Allowed 3 catches for 19 yards on 6 attempts, 1 pass deflection, 4 solo tackles, 2 stops, 1 penalty

LOLB Whitney Mercilus: 1 quarterback hit and 5 quarterback hurries on 34 pass rush snaps, 1 solo tackle

ROLB Connor Barwin: 1 sack and 4 quarterback hurries on 33 pass rush snaps, 1 batted pass, 2 solo tackles, 3 stops, 1 missed tackle

Duds

MLB Tim Dobbins: 1 solo tackle, 2 assists, 1 penalty, was not thrown on

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