Dec 262015
 

Jacksonville Jaguars (5-9) at New Orleans Saints (5-9)

This is another game that I don’t have a strong opinion on. Both of these teams are out of the playoffs and have comparable games on deck; the Saints are going to Atlanta and the Jaguars are going to Houston. The Saints are favored by 3.5, which suggests they’re a slightly better team than the Jaguars. The numbers seem to back that up, if not suggest that the Saints could be favored by a little bit more. The Saints rank 17th in rate of moving the chains differential, while the Jaguars rank 26th, though the Saints are closer to 26th than they are to 12th, so it’s not as big of a difference as it seems.

Drew Brees will be playing through an injured foot, but he performed well despite that down the stretch against the Lions last week and perhaps Brees playing through that injury in a lost season will give the Saints a motivational boost in an otherwise meaningless contest. The Saints have other players banged up, left tackle Terron Armstead, right tackle Zach Strief, wide receiver Marques Colston, and tight end Benjamin Watson, all of whom are listed as questionable, but the Jaguars will be without running back TJ Yeldon and linebacker Telvin Smith. I’m taking New Orleans, but for a no confidence pick.

New Orleans Saints 31 Jacksonville Jaguars 27

Pick against the spread: New Orleans -3.5

Confidence: None

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