QB Ryan Tannehill (Miami)
8/20/12: The Dolphins have named Ryan Tannehill starting quarterback. You can do a lot better than him for a QB2 though. He has no receiving corps and he’s incredibly raw. The only reason he’s starting is because veteran David Garrard got hurt and other veteran Matt Moore stunk up the joint this Preseason. They’re starting him out of necessity, not because he’s ready. In his only Preseason start, he was 11 of 23 for 100 yards.
Projection: 3300 passing yards, 16 passing touchdowns, 17 interceptions, 200 rushing yards, 2 rushing touchdowns (194 pts standard/226 pts in 6 pt TD leagues)
RB Reggie Bush (Miami)
Reggie Bush finally made it through a season healthy last year, carrying the ball 216 times in 15 games and keeping 2nd round rookie Daniel Thomas at bay. However, prior to that he hadn’t gone over 106 carries since 2007. I wouldn’t buy high with him. I also don’t see his 5.0 YPC from last year as replicable. He has gone over 4.2 YPC only one other time in his career and the Dolphins lost two starting offensive linemen this offseason.
Projection: 150 carries 650 rushing yards 5 total touchdowns 40 catches 300 receiving yards (125 pts standard/165 pts PPR)
RB Daniel Thomas (Miami)
Bush and Thomas combined for 381 carries last year. I don’t see them quite reaching that number this year. Their new Head Coach Joe Philbin comes from a pass heavy team in Green Bay and probably won’t run as much as the more conservative Tony Sparano. Also, if Bush gets hurt, Thomas wouldn’t necessarily be a 20+ carry per game back. They did use a 4th round pick on Lamar Miller, who could vulture some carries from Thomas if Bush gets hurt.
Still, given Bush’s injury history, I see Thomas leading the team in carries, but Bush being more valuable from a fantasy perspective because of his pass catching abilities and Thomas’ mere 3.5 YPC from last season. Thomas will probably get the goal line looks, but there might not be too many of those to go around on a poor Miami offense.
Projection: 180 carries 720 rushing yards 5 total touchdowns 16 catches 120 yards (114 pts standard/130 pts PPR)
WR Davone Bess (Miami)
Bess is a talented receiver, but he can’t really play outside. He’ll stay in the slot, probably with Hartline and Legedu Naanee outside competing to be the #1 receiver. Bess had 51 catches for 537 yards and 3 touchdowns last year on a poor passing offense out of the slot. He should be able to replicate those stats this season.
Projection: 55 catches 570 receiving yards 3 receiving touchdowns (75 pts standard/130 pts PPR)