Sep 172016
 

New Orleans Saints (0-1) at New York Giants (1-0)

The Saints’ defense was bad last week, allowing 35 points, 486 yards of offense, and 82.86% rate of moving the chains at home against an Oakland team with a solid, but unspectacular offense. However, their defense could be even worse this week, as they go on the road to face a Giants team with a solid offense and they have to do so without top cornerback Delvin Breaux, who broke his leg late in last week’s game. It’s no surprise that the Raiders’ 22-point 4th quarter, capping off a huge comeback win, came without Breaux in the lineup. Breaux was easily their best cornerback and, also without first round pick Sheldon Rankins with injury, the Saints have next to no talent left on their defense around Cameron Jordan. The Saints have finished dead last in rate of moving the chains allowed in back-to-back seasons, but their current defense might be less talented than both of those teams.

Of course, the Saints’ offense still looks strong, as 37-year-old Drew Brees has yet to slow down. We’ll see how they do this week on the road, away from the Superdome, but the Giants’ offense is better than their defense as well, so this figures to be another shootout. Given that, I’m very hesitant to put anything on the Giants this week, even though I think they should be the right side. About 3 in 10 games are decided by 4 points or fewer and the Saints could easily get a touchdown down by like 10 late to get the backdoor cover, but the Giants are significantly better than the Saints and this line seems pretty fair.

New York Giants 33 New Orleans Saints 27

Pick against the spread: NY Giants -4.5

Confidence: None

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