Jan 072015
 

Carolina Panthers (8-8-1) at Seattle Seahawks (12-4) I had the Panthers as the 2nd hottest team coming into the playoffs. They won their final 4 straight games just to make the playoffs and, in their final 5 games, they moved the chains at a 77.38% rate, as opposed to 61.98% for their opponents, a differential of […]

Dec 312014
 

Arizona Cardinals (11-5) at Carolina Panthers (7-8-1) The Panthers went into Atlanta last week and won 34-3, winning the NFC South and securing a home playoff game with a record of 7-8-1. After the game, Tony Dungy remarked that he believed the Panthers could go into Seattle and knock off the Seahawks the way they’re […]

Dec 242014
 

Carolina Panthers (6-8-1) at Atlanta Falcons (6-9) This line is off as it suggests the Falcons are the better of these two teams, considering they are favored by 4. Meanwhile, rate of moving the chains suggests the Panthers are the better team, as they rank 15th in the NFL, moving the chains at a 73.82% […]

Dec 202014
 

Cleveland Browns (7-7) at Carolina Panthers (5-8-1) The Browns had a horrific showing last week at home in Johnny Manziel’s debut losing the first down battle 5-24 against the Bengals and moving the chains at a 35.71% rate, as opposed to 78.38% for the Bengals. As a result of that, this line with Carolina favored […]

Dec 052014
 

Carolina Panthers (3-8-1) at New Orleans Saints (5-7) This line moved from 6.5 to 9.5 over the past week. Ordinarily, I hate going with huge line movements as they tend to be overreactions to one week (for example, Carolina getting blown out in Minnesota and New Orleans winning in Pittsburgh), but in this case I […]

Nov 282014
 

Carolina Panthers (3-7-1) at Minnesota Vikings (4-7) This line is right about where it should be at 2.5 in favor of the Vikings. The Panthers are a little bit better than the Vikings on the season, moving the chains at a 71.84% rate, as opposed to 76.04% for their opponents, a differential of -4.21% that […]

Nov 132014
 

Carolina Panthers (3-6-1) at Atlanta Falcons (3-6) The Panthers are 3-6-1, but they’re even worse than their record suggests. Five of their 6 losses have come by 18 points or more (Green Bay, New Orleans, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia) and their -83 point differential is worse than every team’s but 5 (Oakland, Tampa Bay, NY Jets, […]

Nov 082014
 

Philadelphia Eagles (6-2) at Carolina Panthers (3-5-1) The Eagles have lost Nick Foles for an extended period of time, but he had not been playing well. He was completing 59.8% of his passes for an average of 6.96 YPA, 13 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions and he wasn’t even as good as his numbers, ranking 29th […]

Oct 162014
 

Carolina Panthers (3-2-1) at Green Bay Packers (4-2) The Packers have been dominant at home over the past few seasons. Aaron Rodgers is 22-9-1 ATS at home since 2010 and 28-4 straight up, with an absurd +448 point differential, meaning they outscore opponents, on average, by 14.00 points per game. I like their chances of […]

Oct 092014
 

Carolina Panthers (3-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-1) The Bengals got destroyed last week by the Patriots, who got destroyed the previous week by the Chiefs, and now they’re without AJ Green, after already being without Marvin Jones and Tyler Eifert. How will they be able to bounce back? Well, for one thing, they’re getting Vontaze […]

Sep 202014
 

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Carolina Panthers (2-0) The Steelers are in the better spot here. The Panthers have to travel to Baltimore next week, while the Steelers just have to deal with Tampa Bay in Pittsburgh. Baltimore isn’t an incredible opponent, but the Panthers will still be underdogs, while the Steelers will be heavy favorites. […]

Sep 062014
 

Carolina Panthers (0-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) This is another one I could go either way on. I think the line is essentially where it should be. I have these two teams as fairly even, as does this line, which favors the home team Buccaneers by 2.5 points. These two teams went 4-12 (Buccaneers) […]

Aug 172014
 

QB Cam Newton (Carolina) In 3 years in the league, Newton has completed 59.8% for an average of 7.66 YPA, 64 touchdowns, and 42 interceptions, while rushing for 2032 yards and 28 touchdowns on 364 attempts, an average of 5.58 YPC. He’s gotten slightly better in quarterback rating in each of the three seasons he’s […]

Jan 082014
 

San Francisco 49ers (13-4) at Carolina Panthers (12-4) The Panthers won in San Francisco earlier this season, helping propel them to a 12-4 record, the #2 seed, and home field advantage in the NFC divisional round. In spite of all that, they are 1 point home underdogs here. Ordinarily, I’d think this would be a […]