Oct 032015

Carolina Panthers (3-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-2) Typically, the better team not only prevails but also covers when they don’t have any distractions on the horizon and the Panthers are in a good situation as a result, as they are 3.5 point road favorites in Tampa Bay this week, ahead of their week 5 […]

Sep 262015

New Orleans Saints (0-2) at Carolina Panthers (2-0) The Saints were one of the best teams in the league that didn’t make the playoffs in 2014, finishing 11th in rate of moving the chains differential. However, they had a very rough off-season, getting rid of Kenny Stills, Ben Grubbs, and Jimmy Graham on offense and […]

Sep 122015

Carolina Panthers (0-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) To start the season, this week has 8 games that feature road favorites (and no game that features a line higher than a touchdown). Almost every single one of those 8 road favorites is heavily backed by the public.  I hate making big plays on road favorites that […]

Jan 072015

Carolina Panthers (8-8-1) at Seattle Seahawks (12-4) I had the Panthers as the 2nd hottest team coming into the playoffs. They won their final 4 straight games just to make the playoffs and, in their final 5 games, they moved the chains at a 77.38% rate, as opposed to 61.98% for their opponents, a differential of […]

Dec 312014

Arizona Cardinals (11-5) at Carolina Panthers (7-8-1) The Panthers went into Atlanta last week and won 34-3, winning the NFC South and securing a home playoff game with a record of 7-8-1. After the game, Tony Dungy remarked that he believed the Panthers could go into Seattle and knock off the Seahawks the way they’re […]

Dec 242014

Carolina Panthers (6-8-1) at Atlanta Falcons (6-9) This line is off as it suggests the Falcons are the better of these two teams, considering they are favored by 4. Meanwhile, rate of moving the chains suggests the Panthers are the better team, as they rank 15th in the NFL, moving the chains at a 73.82% […]

Dec 202014

Cleveland Browns (7-7) at Carolina Panthers (5-8-1) The Browns had a horrific showing last week at home in Johnny Manziel’s debut losing the first down battle 5-24 against the Bengals and moving the chains at a 35.71% rate, as opposed to 78.38% for the Bengals. As a result of that, this line with Carolina favored […]

Dec 052014

Carolina Panthers (3-8-1) at New Orleans Saints (5-7) This line moved from 6.5 to 9.5 over the past week. Ordinarily, I hate going with huge line movements as they tend to be overreactions to one week (for example, Carolina getting blown out in Minnesota and New Orleans winning in Pittsburgh), but in this case I […]

Nov 282014

Carolina Panthers (3-7-1) at Minnesota Vikings (4-7) This line is right about where it should be at 2.5 in favor of the Vikings. The Panthers are a little bit better than the Vikings on the season, moving the chains at a 71.84% rate, as opposed to 76.04% for their opponents, a differential of -4.21% that […]

Nov 132014

Carolina Panthers (3-6-1) at Atlanta Falcons (3-6) The Panthers are 3-6-1, but they’re even worse than their record suggests. Five of their 6 losses have come by 18 points or more (Green Bay, New Orleans, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia) and their -83 point differential is worse than every team’s but 5 (Oakland, Tampa Bay, NY Jets, […]

Nov 082014

Philadelphia Eagles (6-2) at Carolina Panthers (3-5-1) The Eagles have lost Nick Foles for an extended period of time, but he had not been playing well. He was completing 59.8% of his passes for an average of 6.96 YPA, 13 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions and he wasn’t even as good as his numbers, ranking 29th […]

Oct 162014

Carolina Panthers (3-2-1) at Green Bay Packers (4-2) The Packers have been dominant at home over the past few seasons. Aaron Rodgers is 22-9-1 ATS at home since 2010 and 28-4 straight up, with an absurd +448 point differential, meaning they outscore opponents, on average, by 14.00 points per game. I like their chances of […]

Oct 092014

Carolina Panthers (3-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-1) The Bengals got destroyed last week by the Patriots, who got destroyed the previous week by the Chiefs, and now they’re without AJ Green, after already being without Marvin Jones and Tyler Eifert. How will they be able to bounce back? Well, for one thing, they’re getting Vontaze […]

Sep 202014

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Carolina Panthers (2-0) The Steelers are in the better spot here. The Panthers have to travel to Baltimore next week, while the Steelers just have to deal with Tampa Bay in Pittsburgh. Baltimore isn’t an incredible opponent, but the Panthers will still be underdogs, while the Steelers will be heavy favorites. […]

Sep 062014

Carolina Panthers (0-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) This is another one I could go either way on. I think the line is essentially where it should be. I have these two teams as fairly even, as does this line, which favors the home team Buccaneers by 2.5 points. These two teams went 4-12 (Buccaneers) […]

Aug 172014

QB Cam Newton (Carolina) In 3 years in the league, Newton has completed 59.8% for an average of 7.66 YPA, 64 touchdowns, and 42 interceptions, while rushing for 2032 yards and 28 touchdowns on 364 attempts, an average of 5.58 YPC. He’s gotten slightly better in quarterback rating in each of the three seasons he’s […]