Dec 262013

Denver Broncos (12-3) at Oakland Raiders (4-11) I really don’t have a good feel for this game. We’re not getting any real line value either way, as this line is exactly where it should be. The Broncos are moving the chains at a ridiculous 80.75% rate, as opposed to 71.94% for their opponents, a differential [...]

Nov 302013

Last week: 27 (-2) Record: 4-8 Matt McGloin has been decent through 3 games, completing 62 of 109 for 799 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions, stealing the starting job away from a struggling Terrelle Pryor. However, Raiders fans anointing him a starting caliber quarterback need to remember that they did the same thing with [...]

Nov 272013

Oakland Raiders (4-7) at Dallas Cowboys (6-5) I’m completely split on this one. On one hand, non-divisional home favorites dominate on Thursdays, going 30-14 ATS since 1989. This makes sense. Playing on a short week is rough, but it’s even rougher when you have to travel on a short week. That cuts into valuable preparation [...]

Nov 232013

Tennessee Titans (4-6) at Oakland Raiders (4-6) The Raiders may be 4-6, but they aren’t as good as their record. Their 4 wins have come against teams that are a combined 11-29. They are moving the chains at a 67% rate, as opposed to 73% for their opponents. Their defense has been surprisingly competent, but [...]

Nov 022013

Philadelphia Eagles (3-5) at Oakland Raiders (3-4) The Raiders won a close home game against the Steelers as underdogs last week, winning 21-18, but they didn’t play that well last week. If it wasn’t for a breakdown on a fluke touchdown run by Terrelle Pryor (the longest in NFL history by a quarterback) and two [...]