Sep 272014
 

Miami Dolphins (1-2) at Oakland Raiders (0-3) in London The Dolphins should cover this spread fairly easily as mere 3.5 point favorites in a neutral site game against the pathetic Raiders. This line was at 7 last week before the Dolphins got blown out at home by the Chiefs. Obviously the line should have moved [...]

Sep 202014
 

Oakland Raiders (0-2) at New England Patriots (1-1) The trends say that the Patriots should be the right side, as they have another easy game coming up in Kansas City next week, while the Raiders host the Dolphins next week. Teams are 68-44 ATS since 2012 before being 3+ point road favorites the following week. [...]

Aug 162014
 

RB Darren McFadden (Oakland) McFadden was benched last season for Rashad Jennings mid-season for general incompetence, as he finished the season averaging 3.34 yards per carry. In 2012, he averaged 3.27 yards per carry. He has never been able to live up to his billing as the 4th overall pick in the 2008 NFL Draft and [...]

Dec 262013
 

Denver Broncos (12-3) at Oakland Raiders (4-11) I really don’t have a good feel for this game. We’re not getting any real line value either way, as this line is exactly where it should be. The Broncos are moving the chains at a ridiculous 80.75% rate, as opposed to 71.94% for their opponents, a differential [...]

Nov 302013
 

Last week: 27 (-2) Record: 4-8 Matt McGloin has been decent through 3 games, completing 62 of 109 for 799 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions, stealing the starting job away from a struggling Terrelle Pryor. However, Raiders fans anointing him a starting caliber quarterback need to remember that they did the same thing with [...]

Nov 272013
 

Oakland Raiders (4-7) at Dallas Cowboys (6-5) I’m completely split on this one. On one hand, non-divisional home favorites dominate on Thursdays, going 30-14 ATS since 1989. This makes sense. Playing on a short week is rough, but it’s even rougher when you have to travel on a short week. That cuts into valuable preparation [...]

Nov 232013
 

Tennessee Titans (4-6) at Oakland Raiders (4-6) The Raiders may be 4-6, but they aren’t as good as their record. Their 4 wins have come against teams that are a combined 11-29. They are moving the chains at a 67% rate, as opposed to 73% for their opponents. Their defense has been surprisingly competent, but [...]