Maurice Jones-Drew has yet to report to the Jaguars and is still holding out. According to ESPN’s Adam Schefter, “there are no signs he’s coming in anytime soon.” Backup Rashad Jennings has impressed, rushing for 175 yards on 36 carries this preseason. New Jaguars Head Coach Mike Mularkey has announced that Rashad Jennings will start week 1 regardless.
This is a smart move by the Jaguars because this situation is eerily similar to Chris Johnson’s situation last year and Johnson averaged 3.0 yards per carry for the first half of the season before looking like his old self and averaging 4.8 per in the 2nd half of the season. Don’t expect MJD’s production to resemble his normal levels of production until around midseason, even if he reports by week 1, and he’s also an obvious injury risk if he’s out of shape. Remember, he’s had a lot of usage over the past 3 years (1084 touches). Those types of guys are injury risks to begin with.
He’s currently being overdrafted in the 2nd round in fantasy leagues. As for Rashad Jennings, he’s definitely got upside in fantasy leagues. He’ll get the week 1 start either way and could see a lot of action early in the season. Still, I wouldn’t draft him at his current ADP in the 8th round unless I had Maurice Jones-Drew on my roster (and likewise, I wouldn’t draft MJD without targeting Jennings in the mid rounds). There are too many unknowns here to just own one. Jennings could get two starts and then be a pure backup for the rest of the season. It’s definitely possible.
If you’re interested in doing a fantasy football league with me, here’s the link (no draft date set yet, currently standard, with the option to become PPR with group vote). http://msn.foxsports.com/fantasy/football/commissioner/Registration/Private.aspx?league=55086&password=FanSpot2