The Redskins got to where they were this season by being aggressive. They were aggressive in trading away three 1st round picks and a 2nd round pick for Robert Griffin and then making him the week 1 starter immediately after. They were aggressive building their entire offense around him, creating one of the NFL’s several [...]
For analysis on Seattle click here For analysis on Washington click here Unlike in past years, the Seahawks aren’t just a good home team. They’re a good team with a great home field advantage. After all, they do rank #1 in DVOA and weighted DVOA. However, they still have road losses against St. Louis, Arizona, [...]
I have the Redskins ranked higher than the Ravens because they beat them head-to-head and because the NFC is by far the better conference this year overall (AFC divisional winners are 0-6 against NFC playoff teams). However, I like the Ravens to advance further than the Redskins because of their competition. The Redskins have a [...]
Dallas Cowboys (8-7) at Washington Redskins (9-6) The name of the game is simple for the Dallas Cowboys. If they lose, they go home. If they win, they win the NFC East. For the Redskins, it’s a little bit more complicated. They clinch the division with a win, same as with the Cowboys, but they [...]
Last week: 9 (+0) Record: 9-6 Net points per drive: 0.13 (13th) DVOA: 7.5% (11th) Weighted DVOA: 13.1% (8th) Studs QB Robert Griffin: 16 of 24 for 198 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception, 2 throw aways, 2 batted passes, 3 drops, 105.6 adjusted QB rating, pressured on 4 of 25 drop backs (1 sack, [...]
Washington Redskins (8-6) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-10) Some situational trends say that the Redskins are the right side here. Teams are 35-19 ATS as divisional road favorites before being divisional home favorites since 2002. Meanwhile, on the Eagles side, divisional home dogs are 23-38 ATS before being divisional road dogs since 2002. That being said, [...]
Last week: 8 (-1) Record: 8-6 Net points per drive: 0.08 (14th) DVOA: 7.1% (11th) Weighted DVOA: 10.2% (9th) In a complicated NFC, the Redskins outcome seems easiest to predict. All they have to do is beat Philadelphia and Dallas and they win the NFC East and the 4th seed, which I think they will. [...]
Washington Redskins (7-6) at Cleveland Browns (5-8) Robert Griffin is expected to be a true game time decision for this one and we won’t know for sure about his status until tomorrow morning. Lines are slowly starting to trickle in spite of this and if you had to ask me, I’d said it’s more likely [...]
Last week: 8 (+0) Record: 7-6 Net points per drive: -0.02 (15th) DVOA: 5.3% (10th) Weighted DVOA: 9.2% (11th) Robert Griffin should be good to go this week against the Browns. With games against the Browns, Eagles, and Cowboys in their final 3, they will be favored in all 3 of their last 3 games, [...]
Baltimore Ravens (9-3) at Washington Redskins (6-6) Every once in a while, I like to look ahead and see which games I think I’ll take for big plays and upset picks. Last week, I looked at this one and I really expected to take the Redskins for a big play. The Ravens struggle as non-divisional [...]
Last week: 14 (+6) Record: 6-6 Net points per drive: -0.04 (16th) DVOA: 4.3% (11th) Weighted DVOA: 7.6% (11th) Studs QB Robert Griffin: 13 of 21 for 163 yards and a touchdown, 3 drops, 99.3 adjusted QB rating, pressured on 7 of 21 drop backs (3 of 7, 1 drop), rushed for 72 yards (22 [...]
New York Giants (7-4) at Washington Redskins (5-6) Since Tom Coughlin took over as Head Coach of the New York Giants before the 2004 season, the Giants have always been a much better 1st half of the season team than 2nd half of the season team. In the first 8 games of the season, they [...]
Last week: 18 (+4) Record: 5-6 Net points per drive: -0.05 (18th) DVOA: 2.5% (14th) Weighted DVOA: 3.3% (13th) Tier 4: Young teams that could make the playoffs, but won’t do much once they get there Studs RB Alfred Morris: Rushed for 113 yards (61 after contact) and a touchdown on 24 attempts, 2 broken [...]
Last week: 22 (+4) Record: 4-6 Despite, the Redskins’ sub .500 record, they do have a positive points differential, at +3. In fact, their points differential is actually better than that of the Cowboys, their 5-5 opponent this week, who is -13. This is because the Redskins have only lost 1 game by more than [...]
Washington Redskins (4-6) at Dallas Cowboys (5-5) People really seem to have soured on the Cowboys after their near loss to the Browns last week. This line was at Dallas -6 last week and now it’s at -3 and the public is still pounding the underdog. The fact that the public is pounding the underdog [...]
Philadelphia Eagles (3-6) at Washington (3-6) This line has shifted 2 points since last week because of Michael Vick’s injury (-1.5 last week to -3.5 this week), which makes no sense because Michael Vick sucks. Nick Foles went 22 of 32 for 219 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception in relief of Vick last week. [...]
Last week: 22 (+0) Record: 3-6 On bye.
Last week: 22 (-4) Record: 3-6 The Redskins lost on the Sunday before the election. That means Mitt Romney will be out next president. Before the last 17 of the last 18 elections, when the Redskins win on the Sunday before the election, the incumbent party wins. When the Redskins lose, the incumbent party loses. [...]
Carolina Panthers (1-6) at Washington Redskins (3-5) This is one of two trap lines I identified this week. According to this line, the Redskins and the Panthers are comparable teams with Washington as 3 point home favorites. However, Washington is at 3-5 and the Panthers are at 1-6. Because of that, the action is on [...]
Last week: 18 (-1) Record: 3-5 Robert Griffin had the worst game of his career, going 16 of 34 for 177 yards and a touchdown, last week against the Steelers, but you can’t really blame him. For one, he endured 7 drops. Two, Steelers’ defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau is a ridiculous 14-1 as Steelers’ defensive [...]
Last week: 17 (+0) Record: 3-4 This team is awfully snakebitten. They’ve lost 4 games all by a touchdown or fewer and all games in which they lost significant players to injury. Week 2, they lost Josh Wilson, Brian Orakpo, and Adam Carriker in a loss to St. Louis. In their loss to Cincinnati, they [...]
Washington Redskins (3-3) at New York Giants (4-2) When I first saw this line, I instantly thought, trap line. The Giants were coming off a huge win in San Francisco and yet this line was suspiciously only at -7. My belief was furthered when the line started to actually fall even more and now it’s [...]
Last week: 17 (+5) Record: 3-3 The Redskins might be a little underrated right now. They haven’t lost any of their 3 games by more than a touchdown and in all 3 losses, they lost a significant player to injury mid game who is now healthy. Against St. Louis, they lost top cornerback Josh Wilson. [...]
Minnesota Vikings (4-1) at Washington Redskins (2-3) There’s still no line posted for this for some reason, even though Robert Griffin is widely expected to play, but I’m going to do this write up anyway. Last week, the line was Washington -2 for this game, so I’d be surprised if we got anything lower than [...]
Last week: 24 (+2) Record: 2-3 Robert Griffin will learn when to get out of bounds eventually. Aaron Rodgers had this same issue when he first became a starter, with a similar frame. Once he got hurt once or twice, he figured out how to pick his spots. He’s a much better thrower than Cam [...]