Nov 262014
 

Washington Redskins (3-8) at Indianapolis Colts (7-4) The Redskins stand at 3-8, but they aren’t as bad as their record. Their -56 point differential isn’t as bad as their record. They have just 2 losses by more than 11 points. They’ve also been killed by the turnover battle (-9) and the return touchdown battle (-4), [...]

Nov 222014
 

Washington Redskins (3-7) at San Francisco 49ers (6-4) The San Francisco 49ers are 9 point favorites here at home over the Washington Redskins, but I think that line is much too high. For one thing, San Francisco has actually played significantly worse than their record this season, as they rank 19th in rate of moving [...]

Nov 152014
 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-8) at Washington Redskins (3-6) The Redskins stand at 3-6, but they are still favored by 7.5 points here over the Buccaneers. They’re almost definitely going to finish 6-10 or worse and teams that finish that badly almost never cover as a favorite of 6 or more, doing so only about 25% [...]

Oct 252014
 

Washington Redskins (2-5) at Dallas Cowboys (6-1) Last week I picked against the Cowboys when they planned the Giants here at home in Dallas. That didn’t work out as the Cowboys won 31-21 as 6.5 point favorites, but it could have easily been a different result (against the spread). The Giants led 14-7 earlier and [...]

Oct 182014
 

Tennessee Titans (2-4) at Washington Redskins (1-5) At first glance, it looks like we’re getting line value with the Redskins. Despite the Redskins’ 1-5 record, they are 10th in rate of moving the chains differential, moving the chains at a 73.50% rate, as opposed to 71.74% for their opponents. Meanwhile, the Titans are 29th at -7.00%, moving [...]

Oct 092014
 

Washington Redskins (1-4) at Arizona Cardinals (3-1) Last week I called the Cardinals a fraudulent 3-0 team. Every year it seems there’s one team that gets off to a hot start and then crashes and burns. The Dolphins started 3-0 last year. The Cardinals started 4-0 in 2012. The Bills started 3-0 in 2011, etc. [...]

Oct 022014
 

Seattle Seahawks (2-1) at Washington Redskins (2-2) One of the most powerful trends says that big road favorites dominate off a bye. Road favorites of 3 or more are 39-12 ATS off a bye since 2002, which is an incredibly high rate. The Seahawks should be completely focused here as 7.5 point favorites and be [...]

Sep 232014
 

New York Giants (1-2) at Washington Redskins (1-2) The Redskins actually lead the league in rate of moving the chains differential by a wide margin at 14.08%, but most of that game in that domination against the terrible Jaguars in which they had a rate of moving the chains differential of 39.09%, best by any [...]

Sep 182014
 

Washington Redskins (1-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) The Redskins looked very good in Kirk Cousins 2014 debut last week, as Robert Griffin went down with a significant ankle injury a few plays into what ended up being one of the most dominant performances by a team I’ve seen in a while. The Redskins moved the [...]

Sep 112014
 

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) at Washington Redskins (0-1) The Redskins lost in Houston last week and it seems that people have already given up on them as a bounce back team. After all, the Texans won just 2 games last season. I don’t think that’s the right reaction. I think it’s way more likely that the [...]

Sep 062014
 

Washington Redskins (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0) Both of these teams are going to be better than they were last season. These two teams finished worst and 2nd worst respectively last season, after both made the playoffs the previous season. The Texans went from 12 wins to 2 wins in 2013 and the Redskins went [...]

Aug 172014
 

QB Robert Griffin (Washington) As a rookie, Griffin completed 65.6% of his passes for an average of 8.14 YPA, 20 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions, while rushing for 815 yards and 7 touchdowns on 120 carries (6.79 YPC). Last season, he completed 60.1% of his passes for an average of 7.02 YPA, 16 touchdowns, and 12 [...]

Apr 192014
 

The Redskins desperately needed safety help and secondary help in general. Brandon Meriweather was their best safety last year, but he’s a below average starter, while 2013 4th and 6th round picks Phillip Thomas and Bacarri Rambo didn’t show anything as rookies last season. Thomas missed the entire season with injury, while Rambo graded out [...]

Dec 252013
 

Washington Redskins (3-10) at New York Giants (6-9) The Giants went into Detroit and beat the Lions last week, while the Redskins lost at home to the Cowboys. Surely the Giants will win at home here against the Redskins and cover this small spread right? Well, that seems to be what the public thinks as [...]

Dec 192013
 

Washington Redskins (3-11) at Dallas Cowboys (7-7) At first glance, this line doesn’t make any sense. In what universe are the Cowboys 6 points better than the Redskins (3 points for home field advantage)? The Cowboys’ defense not only is the worst defense in the NFL, but it’s approaching historically bad. They only thing they [...]

Dec 112013
 

Washington Redskins (3-10) at Atlanta Falcons (3-10) What’s reportedly happening in Washington between Head Coach Mike Shanahan and Owner Dan Snyder is one of the most dysfunctional things that has happened between a head coach and Owner in a long while. Shanahan has benched Robert Griffin and will be shutting him down for the season, [...]

Nov 302013
 

Last week: 25 (-3) Record: 3-8 Any talk of the Redskins benching RG3 is just absurd media sensationalism. This is what the media does. They build players up to undeservedly high levels and then destroy them when they fail to meet those expectations. RG3 isn’t even having that bad of a season, completing 59.8% of [...]