Nov 082012
 

Last week: 10 (+4)

Record: 5-4

If history is any indication, the Seahawks are more likely to make it than some other borderline playoff teams in the NFC right now. Every year, 5 new playoff teams make the playoffs that didn’t make it the year before, dating back 17 straight years. I use this in my Power Rankings every week. Right now, Chicago, who didn’t make the playoffs last year, looks like a lock to make it this year. Meanwhile, Cincinnati and New Orleans, two playoff teams from a year ago, look very unlikely to make it this year. Indianapolis, sitting at 5-3, is another solid bet to make the playoffs after missing it last year. Detroit, at 4-4, probably has to go 6-2 the rest of the way to make the playoffs, against a brutal schedule, so they’re probably out. Other than that, not much is set in stone.

Miami, San Diego, Minnesota, Seattle, and Tampa Bay are the serious candidates for the other 3 spots in the 5 in category, while, in my opinion, Green Bay and Baltimore, thanks to injury, seem to be in the strongest (weakest?) position to be the other 2 out. Philadelphia and Dallas were candidates to be in the 5 in group before losses last week and that pretty much locked the Giants, another 5 out candidate, into a playoff spot.

Pittsburgh is another 5 out candidate, but I think they’re a better team than Baltimore right now and will sweep the two games against them, but we’ll know more in the next few weeks. With New Orleans, Detroit, and Green Bay out, that opens two more spots in the AFC, with Chicago already pretty safely locked into taking New Orleans’s vacated spot. I think Tampa Bay and Seattle have the edge over Detroit and Minnesota because those two teams have brutal schedules going forward. Seattle, meanwhile, is at home, where they’re awesome, in 4 of their final 7, and their road games aren’t too hard either as they go Miami, Chicago, and Buffalo. If they run the table at home and win one of those 3 road games, that’s 10 wins and they already have an important tiebreaker over Green Bay.

Seattle Seahawks

Studs

QB Russell Wilson: 16 of 24 for 173 yards and 3 touchdowns, 1 throw away, 1 batted pass, 3 drops, pressured on 10 of 28 drop backs (1 sack, 3 scrambles, 3 of 6, 1 touchdown, 1 throw away, 1 drop), rushed for 26 yards on 9 attempts, 1 fumble

RB Marshawn Lynch: Rushed for 124 yards (60 after contact) and a touchdown on 26 attempts, 4 broken tackles, caught 2 passes for 26 yards on 2 attempts

LT Russell Okung: Didn’t allow a pressure on 33 pass block snaps, 1 penalty, run blocked for 12 yards on 2 attempts

CB Brandon Browner: Allowed 1 catch for 14 yards on 4 attempts, 1 interception, 1 penalty, 7 solo tackles, 1 assist

CB Richard Sherman: Didn’t allow a completion on 1 attempt, 1 solo tackle

P Jon Ryan: 4 punts for 195 yards, 3 inside 20, 3 returns for 1 yard, 48.5 net yards per punt

Duds

RT Breno Giacomini: Allowed 1 sack and 3 quarterback hurries on 33 pass block snaps, 1 penalty, run blocked for 17 yards on 3 attempts

LE Red Bryant: Didn’t record a pressure on 27 pass rush snaps, 2 solo tackles, 2 stops

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