Nov 232013

Tennessee Titans (4-6) at Oakland Raiders (4-6)

The Raiders may be 4-6, but they aren’t as good as their record. Their 4 wins have come against teams that are a combined 11-29. They are moving the chains at a 67% rate, as opposed to 73% for their opponents. Their defense has been surprisingly competent, but their offense has been extremely limited this year. Matt McGloin had a strong debut last week, completing 18 of 32 for 197 yards and 3 touchdowns, stealing the starting job away from a struggling Terrelle Pryor.

However, Raiders fans anointing him a starting caliber quarterback need to remember that they did the same thing with Terrelle Pryor a few weeks ago. I’ll need a few more weeks to be sold on McGloin, especially since he’s 7 months removed from no one drafting him. McGloin will also be hurt this week by the absence of his #1 receiver Denarius Moore. He’s one of only two Raiders receivers who have at least 250+ receiving yards.

The Titans, meanwhile, are a solid football team. They may be 4-6, but 4 of their losses came against top-10 teams, Kansas City, Seattle, San Francisco, and Indianapolis and they were competitive in 3 of those. Jake Locker is out for the season, but Ryan Fitzpatrick is not a huge downgrade. Locker is one of the worst starting quarterbacks in the NFL, while Fitzpatrick is one of the best backups. They have a solid defense, led by Jurrell Casey, Alterraun Verner, Jason McCourty, Derrick Morgan and others and they should be able to frustrate McGloin in his 2nd start without his #1 receiver. I’m not really confident or anything, but the Titans should be the right side.

Tennessee Titans 20 Oakland Raiders 16

Pick against spread: Tennessee -1

Confidence: Low

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