1-16 17-32 2nd round 3rd round 4th round 5th round 6th round 7th round
33. Jacksonville Jaguars- QB Ryan Nassib (Syracuse)
The Jaguars have to add another quarterback at some point. They can’t just have Chad Henne and Blaine Gabbert compete for the starting job. Ryan Nassib is currently expected to be the 2nd quarterback off the board, maybe even in the late 1st round with a team trading up for him. According to the NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah, Nassib to the Jaguars is a very logical fit.
34. New York Jets (TRADE)- CB DJ Hayden (Houston)
Rex Ryan loves cornerbacks. Former Ravens scout and current NFL Network analyst Daniel Jeremiah says that when Ryan was their defensive coordinator in Baltimore, he would always come into the draft room and try to persuade them to take another cornerback, regardless of whether or not they actually needed one. Even if they don’t trade Revis, I wouldn’t be surprised if they added one in the late rounds, but if they do trade Revis, expect them to target cornerbacks early.
35. Philadelphia Eagles- QB EJ Manuel (Florida State)
The Eagles already have Michael Vick and Nick Foles, but the former is really just a one year stopgap at this point in his career and probably won’t be back with the team in 2014 as a free agent. Foles, meanwhile, isn’t a proven commodity and he wasn’t really a high pick so Chip Kelly probably won’t feel a lot of loyalty to him, especially since he lacks the mobility Kelly likes in a quarterback. He still could be traded. Manuel is someone who has that mobility and he’s someone Kelly is known to really like. He recruited Manuel at Oregon and mentioned him as someone he wishes he had a chance to coach. They also worked him out privately.
36. Oakland Raiders (TRADE)- TE Zach Ertz (Stanford)
As I’ve mentioned before, the Raiders basically need every single position. Brandon Myers was their leading receiver last year, but the tight end is now with the New York Giants. The only three tight ends on their roster have a combined 14 career catches. They’ve shown a lot of interest in the local product Ertz. He makes a lot of sense for them here.
37. Cincinnati Bengals- RB Giovani Bernard (North Carolina)
BenJarvus Green-Ellis had a bunch of rushing yards this season, but that has more to do with the Bengals’ awesome offensive line and the sheer number of carries he got. He once again averaged less than 4 yards per carry overall this season. He can run through holes if they’re there, but he’s only a between the tackles plodder and he frequently ranks among the worst in the NFL in yards after contact per carry. The Bengals have mentioned adding another back this off-season. They’ve shown interest in Bernard, who would complement BJGE well and who would fit their system like a glove.
38. Arizona Cardinals- OT Justin Pugh (Syracuse)
Through the first 8 weeks of the season, D’Anthony Baptiste and Bobby Massie allowed a combined 25 sacks. However, Baptiste was then benched for rookie Nate Potter and fellow rookie Massie improved tremendously around the same time and the duo combined to allow just 7 sacks in the final 8 games of the season. They’re still young so the Cardinals won’t feel forced to take an offensive tackle in the first round if they don’t like the value. However, they’ll address the position at some point. They’ll like Pugh’s versatility. Even if they don’t need him to play tackle, he could still play guard.
39. New York Jets- QB Matt Barkley (USC)
The Jets are unlikely to address the quarterback position in the first round because they still have too much invested in Mark Sanchez, but they can’t go into 2013 with just Sanchez and Greg McElroy at quarterback. They’ll bring in an alternative this off-season. Hopefully they actually decide to use that alternative this season if/when Sanchez struggles, unlike last year.
40. Tennessee Titans- G Larry Warford (Kentucky)
Chris Johnson is great when he has great blocking, but when the offensive line isn’t opening up holes for him, he’s pretty bad. Why do you think he has such good games against bad run defenses and bad games against good run defenses? Their run blocking was better last year than in 2011, but they still need help. Center Fernando Velasco was their best interior lineman and Andy Levitre, a free agent acquisition, will lock down the left guard position. However, right guard is still a major need. That position was a rotating door last year. They’ve worked out Warford privately.
41. Buffalo Bills- WR Robert Woods (USC)
Teams that draft quarterbacks in the first usually spend their next pick on an offensive player, doing so in 18 of the last 23 instances. 2012 3rd round pick TJ Graham projects best as a slot receiver long term so they still need a receiver opposite Steve Johnson. Buddy Nix said that would be something they’d be targeting and he’s normally very candid about this type of thing. They’ve worked out Woods privately, something they usually do before spending a premium pick on a prospect.
42. Miami Dolphins- DT Sylvester Williams (North Carolina)
This is a deep defensive tackle class so Williams, who could go in the late teens, could fall this far, but I don’t think he’d fall any farther. The Dolphins are known to be very interested in him. Both of their defensive tackles, Randy Starks and Paul Soliai, are set to be free agents next off-season and with Jared Odrick expected to focus more on defensive end full time, they don’t have much depth either.
43. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- DE Tank Carradine (Florida State)
They have other needs and they seem to feel confident with 3rd year ends Adrian Clayborn and Da’Quan Bowers playing the bulk of the snaps at defensive end next season, but after losing Michael Bennett as a free agent, they need to add depth. Carradine is too good to pass on at this point. After he ran a 4.93 at 6-4 276 less than 5 months after tearing his ACL, Carradine is definitely in the top-20 mix.
44. Carolina Panthers- DT Kawaan Short (Purdue)
The Panthers passed on Fletcher Cox at 9 in the 2012 NFL Draft because they still believed in 2011 3rd round picks Terrell McClain and Sione Fua. However, between now and then, McClain was a final cut and Fua lost his starting job and played just 256 snaps all season. He was also horrible when he played, ranking 83rd out of 85 eligible at his position on ProFootballFocus, despite his very limited playing time. The Panthers started Dwan Edwards and Ron Edwards at defensive tackle in 2012. The former Edwards was a final cut of the Bills right before the season, while the latter Edwards was recently a cap casualty going into his age 34 season in 2013. They could definitely take their defensive tackle this year, after ranking 18th against the run despite the emergence of stud rookie middle linebacker Luke Kuechly.
45. Oakland Raiders (TRADE)- DE Bjoern Werner (Florida State)
The Raiders could really use help at almost every position. They don’t have anyone who is any good opposite Lamarr Houston at defensive end. Veteran Andre Carter, the mediocre Jason Hunter, and 2012 5th round pick Jack Crawford are all in the mix. Werner falls out of the first round because of the depth at his position and because he’s just not the type of prospect he was envisioned as at the start of the process. He has a great motor, but possesses no special skills. The Raiders will take him, however, and he has a good chance to be a starter long term.
46. St. Louis Rams- RB Eddie Lacy (Alabama)
The Rams like Daryl Richardson, who had 98 carries as Steven Jackson’s primary backup last season, and they probably haven’t given up on 2012 2nd round pick Isaiah Pead. However, Jeff Fisher has always enjoyed having a stable of young backs. They’re known to be interested in Eddie Lacy. I never considered him a realistic option for them in the 1st round, but after a disappointing Pro Day, he makes a lot of sense for them if he falls to them in the 2nd.
47. Dallas Cowboys- S Matt Elam (Florida)
I thought the Cowboys needed a safety before they cut Gerald Sensabaugh. Now I think they need two. They probably won’t get two, which means the inexperienced Barry Church will probably start at one spot coming off a torn Achilles. However, safety will be high on their priority list this off-season.
48. Pittsburgh Steelers- RLB Jamie Collins (Southern Mississippi)
The Steelers like Jason Worilds and Chris Carter, but that won’t deter them from taking someone to play 3-4 outside linebacker. This is a strong edge rusher class. Collins is a small school prospect, but a strong Combine has put him in the day 2 range. Mike Mayock has him rated ahead of Barkevious Mingo among 3-4 outside linebackers. The Steelers have worked him out privately.
49. New York Giants- MLB Kevin Minter (LSU)
The Giants signed Dan Connor, but only to a one year deal. They could still look at linebackers fairly early in the draft, as they mentioned they needed to get better play from the position next year. They stick to their board anyway and Minter could easily be seen as best available here. He could go as high as the late first round.
50. Chicago Bears- OLB Khaseem Greene (Rutgers)
Brian Urlacher and Nick Roach are gone. The Bears brought in DJ Williams from Denver, but he’s pretty washed up as he heads into his age 31 season. Fellow free agent acquisition, James Anderson, also isn’t very good. Lance Briggs, meanwhile, is not washed up, but it’s worth mentioning that he’s heading into his age 33 season and can’t do this forever.
51. Washington Redskins- CB Johnthan Banks (Mississippi State)
The Redskins’ secondary was a weakness in 2012, ranking 22nd in YPA allowed. It doesn’t look much better going into 2013 as EJ Biggers has been the only addition, replacing Cedric Griffin as the 3rd cornerback with DeAngelo Hall and Josh Wilson. All 3 of those cornerbacks are free agents next off-season anyway. Banks is a steal in a loaded cornerback class and they’re known to be very interested in him.
52. Minnesota Vikings- DT Jesse Williams (Alabama)
One half of the Williams wall is already long gone as Pat Williams was out of the league last year in his age 40 season. He was never really replaced as the Vikings use a committee of players at that spot opposite Kevin Williams. Kevin, meanwhile, turns 33 in August and, owed 7.5 million in each of the next 2 seasons, he might not be around much longer. The Vikings could add a defensive tackle early through the draft.
53. Cincinnati Bengals- OT Kyle Long (Oregon)
It’s about 4 days to draft day and Andre Smith is still not on the roster. He won’t come down with his price and the Bengals, despite having the most cap space in the NFL, are content to let him leave and take his replacement through the draft. Kyle Long can be that replacement. If they do retain Smith after the draft, Long has the versatility to serve as a valuable 6th offensive lineman for them and a potential future successor for left tackle Andrew Whitworth, who turns 32 this off-season.
54. Kansas City Chiefs (TRADE)- MLB Kiko Alonso (Oregon)
The Chiefs got this pick from the Dolphins in a projected Branden Albert trade. The Chiefs have a massive hole at middle linebacker, where the inexperienced Cory Greenwood is currently penciled in as the starter. Alonso provides an immediate upgrade out of the 2nd round and would fill the Chiefs’ only pressing starting need after left tackle (Luke Joeckel).
55. Green Bay Packers- RB Johnathan Franklin (UCLA)
The Packers were kind of just throwing shit at the wall and seeing what stuck at running back this year, using Alex Green, James Starks, Cedric Benson, Ryan Grant, and DuJuan Harris at running back. They were generally ineffective, ranking 22nd in the NFL, averaging 3.9 YPC. Harris played well down the stretch, but can they really count on him in 2013? I know they don’t value the running back position much, but they need to bring someone else into the mix this off-season. Franklin is their type of back.
56. Seattle Seahawks- WR Quinton Patton (Louisiana Tech)
Even after trading for Percy Harvin, the Seahawks could use another wide receiver as Sidney Rice has trouble staying healthy. Without a ton of other needs, they could add someone like Quinton Patton here in the 2nd round. They’re known to be very interested in him.
57. Houston Texans- WR Keenan Allen (California)
Andre Johnson will be 32 next year and Kevin Walter was cut. They used a 3rd round pick on DeVier Posey and a 4th round pick on Keyshawn Martin last year, but they need a blue chip prospect in the mix. Posey might miss the whole 2013 season after tearing his Achilles and Martin’s only contributions to this team were as a return man. Owner Bob McNair recently mentioned that the Texans need to add another playmaker at wide receiver and he’s right. Expect them to target receivers early in the 2013 NFL Draft. Allen fits what they look for in terms of size at the wide receiver position.
58. Denver Broncos- DT Johnathan Hankins (Ohio State)
Even after re-signing Kevin Vickerson and bringing in Terrance Knighton, the Broncos still have a need at defensive tackle. Hankins is going to be seen more as a 3-4 nose tackle than a 4-3 defensive tackle by most teams, but defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio loves big run stuffing defensive tackles, regardless of their ability to get to the quarterback.
59. New England Patriots- WR Markus Wheaton (Oregon State)
The Patriots have brought in Danny Amendola to replace Wes Welker, but they aren’t done making over their receiving corps. They need someone to replace Brandon Lloyd, who was cut. Woods can be that receiver. If Wheaton pans out long term and Amendola can stay healthy, the Patriots will have both a younger and improved receiving corps going forward as Tom Brady heads into the final 5 years or so of his career.
60. Atlanta Falcons- DE Cornelius Washington (Georgia)
Even after signing Osi Umenyiora, the Falcons still need pass rush help. Umenyiora probably won’t play a lot of snaps when they go to any of their 3-4 packages and he’s getting up there in age as well, heading into his age 32 season coming off an underwhelming 2012 season. None of their other pass rushing options are real sure fire things either, so they’ll probably take an edge rusher in the first couple of rounds, preferably someone versatile who can play in multiple fronts. They’ve worked the local prospect Washington out privately.
61. San Francisco 49ers- S DJ Swearinger (South Carolina)
The 49ers didn’t make much of an effort to re-sign Dashon Goldson. That makes a lot of sense for the 49ers as they have a lot of talent to fit under the cap over the next few off-seasons and Goldson, while talented, is replaceable. DJ Swearinger can be that replacement. He’s a steal who falls because this is a deep safety class.
62. Baltimore Ravens- OT Terron Armstead (Arkansas-Pine Bluff)
The Ravens’ offensive line is so much better when Michael Oher can play right tackle and Kelechi Osemele can play left guard, but that would require someone to adequately play left tackle. Bryant McKinnie stepped up as that guy in the post-season, a huge part of the reason why the Ravens won the Super Bowl, but the soon to be 34-year-old free agent is incredibly unreliable. Even if they re-sign him, they could draft a developmental tackle at some point in the draft to slot in behind him. Armstead is too good to pass on at this point.
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