I talk a lot about the inconsistency of turnovers on a week to week basis in my picks. Here’s a little bit more into that and why I prefer to rely on yards per play differential rather than turnover differential.

Teams that lose the turnover differential battle by 6 or more win the turnover battle by an average of +0.4 in their following game since 2002

Teams that lose the turnover differential battle by 5 win the turnover battle by an average of +0.0 in their following game since 2002

Teams that lose the turnover differential battle by 4 win the turnover battle by an average of +0.4 in their following game since 2002

Teams that lose the turnover differential battle by 4 win the turnover battle by an average of +0.4 in their following game since 2002

Teams that lose the turnover differential battle by 3 lose the turnover battle by an average of +0.1 in their following game since 2002

Teams that lose the turnover differential battle by 2 lose the turnover battle by an average of +0.1 in their following game since 2002

Teams that lose the turnover differential battle by 1 lose the turnover battle by an average of +0.0 in their following game since 2002

Teams that lose the turnover differential battle by 0 win the turnover battle by an average of +0.1 in their following game since 2002

Teams that win the turnover differential battle by 1 win the turnover battle by an average of +0.1 in their following game since 2002

Teams that win the turnover differential battle by 2 win the turnover battle by an average of +0.2 in their following game since 2002

Teams that win the turnover differential battle by 3 win the turnover battle by an average of +0.1 in their following game since 2002

Teams that win the turnover differential battle by 4 lose the turnover battle by an average of +0.1 in their following game since 2002

Teams that win the turnover differential battle by 5 lose the turnover battle by an average of +0.6 in their following game since 2002

Teams that win the turnover differential battle by 6 or more win the turnover battle by an average of +0.1 in their following game since 2002

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