Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers: Wild Card Round Pick

For analysis on Minnesota click here
For analysis on Green Bay click here

The Vikings beat the Packers just last week so they will definitely hang within 8 of the Packers this week right? Well, that seems to be what everything thinks as the public is all over the Vikings. However, as is frequently the case when the public likes a dog, I expect them to be wrong. The Vikings are a completely different team on the road, especially outside. They are 7-1 at home, but 3-5 on the road, including 0-4 outside (making them 10-2 inside and 0-4 outside this season). In those 4 outside losses, Christian Ponder is 80 of 142 for 693 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions.

The Vikings lost by 9 in Green Bay earlier this season, despite 210 rushing yards from Adrian Peterson. He might do that again, but there’s also a very good chance he won’t and I think the Vikings will be in real trouble if he doesn’t. Even if he does, Ponder is definitely capable of wasting a great Peterson game, given that he’s outside, on the road, and playing with a bad elbow. In losses, Peterson has rushed for 762 yards on 104 attempts (7.3 YPC) this season. Plus, Aaron Rodgers is 12-4 ATS off a loss since 2009.

Green Bay Packers 34 Minnesota Vikings 13

Pick against spread: Green Bay -8 (-110) 4 units

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