Green Bay Packers: Week 12 NFL Power Rankings (#13)

Record: 7-3

Last week: 13 (+0)

Of course, the one year I won’t shut up about things that happen every year is the one year they might not happen. Every year, one team goes from out of the playoffs to a first round bye. Well, the only team that is a candidate to do that is Chicago, who sits at 7-3, 2 games back of Atlanta, ½ game back of San Francisco, who has the tiebreaker, and tied with the Packers for even the divisional leader.

Every year, one team does the opposite and goes from a first round bye to out of the playoffs. All 4 teams who had a 1st round bye are 7-3 or better, right now, including these Packers. Every year, one team goes from the playoffs to 5 wins or fewer. Of last year’s playoff teams, 9 already have 6 wins or fewer, 2 are at 5-5, and Detroit is at 4-6. The only thing that’s likely to happen is the opposite, one team who goes from 5 wins or fewer to the playoffs (Indianapolis, Tampa Bay, Minnesota).

Every year, there are 5 new playoff teams. Indianapolis and Chicago look likely to do so. Tampa Bay, Seattle, and Minnesota all both at 6-4 right now, but in order for them to both make the playoffs, they’d need either Green Bay or Chicago to miss the playoffs, but if Chicago misses than that’s counterproductive. For a 5th new playoff team to sneak in, Dallas will have to win the NFC East. Right now, the most improbable of the 5 teams out is Green Bay.

Basically for all of these scenarios to come true, Green Bay has to miss the playoffs. It’s certainly possible. They need to go at least 11-5 to assure themselves of the playoffs. They can go 10-6 and miss the playoffs. They do still have road games in New York (against the Giants), Chicago, and Minnesota, which won’t be easy. They also host Minnesota and Detroit (only home for Tennessee is really an easy game). However, they might be playing too well right now for their schedule to matter. I’m leaving them here for now, but we’ll see in a couple of weeks.

Studs

LT Marshall Newhouse: Did not allow a pressure on 35 pass block snaps, run blocked for 6 yards on 2 attempts

CB Casey Hayward: 4 solo tackles, 3 stops, 1 quarterback hurry on 2 blitzes, allowed 1 catch for 7 yards on 6 attempts, 1 interception, 3 pass deflections

CB Davon House: Allowed 1 catch for 8 yards on 5 attempts, 1 pass deflection, 2 solo tackles, 1 stop, 1 sack on 1 blitz

MLB AJ Hawk: 9 solo tackles, 6 stops, allowed 4 catches for 10 yards on 5 attempts

SS Jerron McMillian: Allowed 1 catch for 24 yards on 5 attempts, 1 pass deflection, 3 solo tackles, 1 assist, 2 quarterback hurries on 3 blitzes

LE Ryan Pickett: 3 quarterback hurries on 19 pass rush snaps, 2 solo tackles, 1 stop

RE BJ Raji: 5 quarterback hurries on 31 pass rush snaps, 1 assist

Duds

LG Evan Dietrich-Smith: Allowed 1 sack, 1 quarterback hit, and 2 quarterback hurries on 35 pass block snaps, 2 penalties, run blocked for 9 yards on 3 attempts

RG Josh Sitton: Allowed 1 sack and 3 quarterback hurries on 35 pass block snaps, 1 penalty

RT TJ Lang: Allowed 1 sack, 1 quarterback hit, and 1 quarterback hurry on 35 pass block snaps, 1 penalty, run blocked for 8 yards on 2 attempts

CB Tramon Williams: Allowed 3 catches for 88 yards on 5 attempts, 1 assist

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