Washington Redskins (0-3) at New York Giants (1-2)

I was hoping to be able to fade the Daniel Jones hype this week, as I felt the loss of running back Saquon Barkley was important to the Giants’ chances of winning going forward than Jones having a strong debut against an underwhelming Buccaneers defense. Even as well as Jones played, the Giants still had a middle of the road 35.00% first down rate and would have lost the game if the Buccaneers could have hit a very makeable field goal at the end. Without Barkley for the near future and with one of the worst defenses in the league supporting him, Jones will be relied upon heavily for a rookie and he doesn’t get wide receiver Golden Tate back until next week. 

This line didn’t move significantly from the early line last week though, going from New York -2.5 to -3, so we aren’t getting any line value with the Redskins, who will be without starting center Chase Rouiller and right guard Brandon Scherff, the latter of whom is their best offensive lineman, and possibly top wide receiver Terry McLaurin as well. I thought we might see something closer to -6, so I’m actually going to take the Giants for a no confidence pick. A push seems like a likely result.

New York Giants 30 Washington Redskins 27

Pick against the spread: NY Giants -3

Confidence: None