Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints: 2020 Week 1 NFL Pick

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) at New Orleans Saints (0-0)

This is the most anticipated game of the week, with Tom Brady making his debut with the Buccaneers after two legendary decades in New England, squaring off against fellow future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints, who are the reigning division champions. Adding Tom Brady to what was previously a talented roster kept down by inconsistent quarterback play makes the Buccaneers legitimate Super Bowl contenders, but I still have a pretty big gap between them and the Saints in my roster rankings, as the Saints enter the season with the most talented roster in the league on paper. 

The Saints historically start pretty slow, going 3-16-1 ATS in the first two weeks of the season since 2010, so I don’t want to bet them as favorites of more than a field goal in a stadium without a crowd, but it wouldn’t surprise me if the Buccaneers start somewhat slow too before gelling later in the season, given all of their off-season changes. I have this line calculated at New Orleans -5.5, so the Saints are the choice for pick ‘em purposes, but there’s not enough here to bet the Saints.

New Orleans Saints 31 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26

Pick against the spread: New Orleans -3.5

Confidence: Low

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