Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Washington Commanders (1-1)

This line has jumped significantly from a week ago, when the Eagles were just 3-point favorites on the early line in this game in Washington, as the Eagles are now favored by 6.5 points. Normally I like to fade significant week-to-week line movements as they tend to be an overreaction to a single week of play and that is the case here, but I am not confident in Washington, as I think the Eagles were undervalued on the early line last week, like they were as mere 2-point home favorites in what eventually became a blowout win over the Vikings. My calculated line, Philadelphia -5, still suggests we’re getting line value with the Commanders, but not nearly enough to bet on it.

Philadelphia Eagles 26 Washington Commanders 20

Pick against the spread: Washington +6.5

Confidence: None