Detroit Lions (3-1) at Green Bay Packers (1-2)
The Packers are 1-2, but this isn’t representative of the type of team they are. They started last year 2-3 and finished 11-5. They’ll be a very good 10-12 win team again this season. The Lions, however, are also very good. I had a 10 win projection for them at the start of the season and that seems very reasonable for them right now. Given that, I want to take Detroit because I think this line is a little high, but there are reasons for taking Green Bay as well.
I think this game means a lot more to the Packers. The Lions will obviously want to get the upset in Green Bay, a place where they haven’t had much success for a really long time. They also are coming off of a bye and are starting to get guys back from injury, including Eddie Lacy. We could easily see a game by the Packers that re-establishes themselves as one of the elite teams in the NFL against a quality Detroit team. I’m not confident either way, but the Packers should be the right side.
Green Bay Packers 31 Detroit Lions 20
Pick against spread: Green Bay -7.5