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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans Week 1 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0) Buy tickets for this game If you’ve been following all of my picks, you’d know I love betting against rookie quarterbacks week 1. They tend to, predictably, struggle in their first NFL action. Since 1994, rookie quarterbacks have completed 55% of their passes,…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints Week 1 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (0-0) at New Orleans Saints (0-0) Buy tickets for this game Welcome to the NFL Robert Griffin. For your first test, you have to go to the Superdome and play Drew Brees and the Saints where they didn’t lose all of last season (9-0 SU and ATS!!!). The…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Cleveland Browns Week 1 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) at Cleveland Browns (0-0) Buy tickets for this game One of the things I love doing is betting against rookie quarterbacks week 1. They tend to, predictably, struggle in their first NFL action. Since 1994, rookie quarterbacks have completed 55% of their passes, averaged 6 yards YPA,…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders Week 1 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (0-0) at Oakland Raiders (0-0) Buy tickets for this game I have the Raiders as one of my overrated teams. The Raiders’ Pythagorean Expectation last year suggested they should have won 6 games, not 8, as they went 7-2 in games decided by a touchdown or less,…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Chicago Bears Week 1 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (0-0) at Chicago Bears (0-0) Buy tickets for this game For those of you who followed me in the offseason, you’ll know that I did a lot of work to identify 5 underrated and 5 overrated teams to get ahead of the odds makers, bet them until they…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Week 1 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (0-0) at New York Jets (0-0) Buy tickets for this game I identified Buffalo as one of my underrated teams coming into the season. They were 5-2 last year before injuries struck and averaging 30.1 points per game. Then Fitzpatrick, who was 155 of 229 (67.7%) for 1739…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Kansas City Chiefs Week 1 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (0-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) Buy tickets for this game When I looked at the week 1 games a few months ago, this one stood out to me. There was a reason. I bet the Falcons as road favorites in Chicago week 1 last year and got…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Minnesota Vikings Week 1 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) at Minnesota Vikings (0-0) Buy tickets for this game I didn’t have the Vikings listed as one of my underrated teams in the league, but maybe I should have. They had incredibly bad luck during their 3-13 season last year, going 2-9 in games decided by a…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos Week 1 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Denver Broncos (0-0) Buy tickets for this game Hey Peyton Manning, welcome back to the NFL. Here on your left we have Mr. Woodley and on your right we have Mr. Harrison and what’s that hairy thing in the distance, why it’s Troy Polamalu. In all…
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Continue reading →: St. Louis Rams at Detroit Lions Week 1 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (0-0) at Detroit Lions (0-0) Buy tickets for this game For those if you who didn’t follow me in the offseason, I did a lot of work in an effort to find the 5 most underrated and 5 most overrated teams going into the season. The idea…
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