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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders: Week 13 NFL Power Rankings (#30)
Last week: 30 (+0) Record: 3-8 Net points per drive: -0.93 (31st) DVOA: -37.7% (31st) Weighted DVOA: -38.3% (32nd) Tier 7: Terrible Studs RB Marcel Reece: Rushed for 74 yards (54 after contact) on 15 attempts, 7 broken tackles, caught 4 passes for 29 yards on 8 attempts, 2 drops,…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars: Week 13 NFL Power Rankings (#31)
Last week: 32 (+1) Record: 2-9 Net points per drive: -0.73 (29th) DVOA: -33.0% (30th) Weighted DVOA: -33.0% (30th) Tier 7: Terrible Studs QB Chad Henne: 17 of 26 for 261 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception, 3 drops, 106.6 adjusted QB rating, pressured on 15 of 33 drop backs (7…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs: Week 13 NFL Power Rankings (#32)
Last week: 31 (-1) Record: 1-10 Net points per drive: -1.01 (32nd) DVOA: -38.3% (32nd) Weighted DVOA: -36.8% (31st) Tier 7: Terrible Studs CB Javier Arenas: Allowed 4 catches for 16 yards on 8 attempts, 1 pass deflection, 5 solo tackles, 2 stops CB Brandon Flowers: Allowed 1 catch for 17…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons: Week 13 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (5-6) at Atlanta Falcons (10-1) On principle, this line is too small. This line essentially suggests that the Saints and Falcons are equals (3 points for home field advantage) and while I agree that the Falcons aren’t as good as their record, I don’t think the Saints…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers extend MLB NaVorro Bowman
When I grade big money signings, I like to do it by comparing it to other recent deals given to players at the same position. The middle linebacker position is an especially interesting one. In today’s NFL, the position is devalued a little as this is a pass friendly league…
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Continue reading →: Week 12 NFL Picks Results
Last week was one of the worst weeks I’ve ever had. I actually went 8-8 ATS somehow (I was shocked when I saw that), but I lost 7 of my top 8 plays. Fortunately I’m doing so well with prop bets that I’m going to end up in the black…
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Continue reading →: Week 13 Fantasy Football Waiver Claims
RB Knowshon Moreno (Denver) Percent owned (ESPN): 4.2% John Fox hates rookies. After everyone thought all week that 3rd round rookie Ronnie Hillman would become the lead back for the Broncos, Knowshon Moreno, who was inactive the week before, randomly got the start ahead of both Hillman and veteran Lance…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears: Week 12 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-4) at Chicago Bears (7-3) Jay Cutler might be the most undervalued player in the NFL. In the last 2 seasons, when he starts, the Bears are 14-5 and score 26.8 points per game. When he doesn’t, they are 1-6 and average just 13.1 points per game. That…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles: Week 12 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (2-8) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-6) I was expecting the Eagles to be favored in this one and I was going to make a big play on Carolina for several reasons. The first and most obvious is that the Eagles appear to have quit. Even if they haven’t, they…
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Continue reading →: St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals: Week 12 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (4-6) at Arizona Cardinals (4-6) The rule of thumb in NFC West divisional matchups is to take the home team. Since 2007, no division covers more often at home than the NFC West, going 106-79 ATS at home, and conversely no team fails to cover more often…
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