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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins: Week 9 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (1-6) at Washington Redskins (3-5) This is one of two trap lines I identified this week. According to this line, the Redskins and the Panthers are comparable teams with Washington as 3 point home favorites. However, Washington is at 3-5 and the Panthers are at 1-6. Because of…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals: Week 9 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (4-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-4) The Broncos rank 2nd in the league in yards per play differential at 1.4, just .1 behind San Francisco, who has looked untouchable for weeks in that category. No one else is above 0.7. They rank just 9th in rate of sustaining drives differential, thanks…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons: Week 9 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (3-4) at Atlanta Falcons (7-0) The Falcons are great at home, they’re undefeated, and the Cowboys are a laughing stock. How do they not win by 4 right? Well, as is often the case in betting, when something is too good to be true, it generally is. I…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Oakland Raiders: Week 9 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4) at Oakland Raiders (3-4) After unimpressive wins over the Jaguars and Chiefs, the Raiders now sit at 3-4 and are somehow in the AFC playoff mix. However, they still aren’t very good. They have a point differential of -42. They got blown out in Oakland and…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers trade CB Aqib Talib to the New England Patriots
Trade for Patriots: I absolutely love this trade for the Patriots. They desperately need cornerback help. They have a few young cornerbacks, but none of them are playing well. Tom Brady is 35 so their Super Bowl window is closing. They need a short term solution so they don’t have…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns: Week 9 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (5-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-6) Road favorites are 42-15 ATS off a bye. That makes sense. Road favorites tend to be very good teams and very good teams tend to be extra focused with a week off. The Browns kind of got screwed over by the schedulers because…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons: Week 9 NFL Power Rankings (#1)
Last week: 3 (+2) Record: 7-0 I’m moving the Falcons into the #1 spot for the first time all season, but I’m still not sold. 4 of their 7 wins have come by a touchdown or less. They’ve been very reliant on winning the turnover margin, which is inconsistent on…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans: Week 9 NFL Power Rankings (#2)
Last week: 2 (+0) Record: 6-1 On bye. [switch_ad_hub] [switch_ad_hub] [switch_ad_hub]
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears: Week 9 NFL Power Rankings (#3)
Last week: 1 (-2) Record: 6-1 I’m moving the Bears out of the #1 spot barely this week because I wasn’t impressed with their near home loss to the Panthers and because the Falcons looked good against the Eagles. However, the Falcons still haven’t really played anyone that’s any good…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots: Week 9 NFL Power Rankings (#4)
Last week: 4 (+0) Record: 5-3 The team with the best points differential in the league: The New England Patriots. Look out. They have a very easy schedule the rest of the way, host the Bills and Colts, going to the Jets and the Dolphins, hosing the Texans and the…
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