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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills: Week 2 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (0-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-1) I had the Bills as one of my underrated teams going into the season, thinking that they’d be that team this year that makes the playoffs on the combination of a strong running game, strong defense, decent quarterback play, and an easy…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at St. Louis Rams: Week 2 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (1-0) at St. Louis Rams (0-1) I had the Rams as one of my underrated teams coming into the season. They improved 6 games in 2010, but, as could have been predictable, regressed 5 games last year. Teams that have a large improvement in win total typically regress…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers: Week 2 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (0-1) at Carolina Panthers (0-1) I thought the Saints would be alright even after the offseason they just had. Their defensive losses weren’t huge (Will Smith was even reinstated for the opener and Jonathan Vilma is incredibly overrated) and the loss of the coaches would mostly effect…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars: Week 2 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (1-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) Blaine Gabbert looked serviceable in the opener against the Vikings, completing 23 of 39 for 260 yards, 2 touchdown, and no interceptions. Minnesota’s secondary is crap, but I was very impressed with Gabbert’s poise under pressure. I didn’t like the matchup for Gabbert…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Atlanta Falcons: Week 2 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (1-0) at Atlanta Falcons (1-0) If it wasn’t for Green Bay/Chicago, this would be the game of the week. Actually, scratch that, Green Bay/Chicago was an incredibly ugly game that should have been the game of the week, but wasn’t because teams only had 3 days to prepare…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers: Week 2 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (1-0) at San Francisco 49ers (1-0) Both of these teams were in my overrated group heading into the season. The idea with the overrated/underrated teams was to bet the underrated teams and against the overrated teams until the odds makers caught up or I was proven wrong. Detroit…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at New England Patriots: Week 2 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (1-0) at New England Patriots (0-1) Kevin Kolb looked good in relief of an injured John Skelton last week, leading the game winning drive to beat the Seahawks, but the Seahawks are a mediocre to average team that always seems to flop on the road. The Patriots in…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants: Week 2 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0) at New York Giants (0-1) I had the Buccaneers as one of my underrated teams coming into the season. In 2010, everything went right for this team. They had an easy schedule and went 9-1 against sub .500 teams (1-5 against everyone else). They turned the…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks: Week 2 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (1-0) at Seattle Seahawks (0-1) No team has a bigger home/road disparity over the past few years than the Seattle Seahawks. Since 2007, they’re 11-32 SU and 14-28 ATS on the road, but 24-18 SU and 27-14 ATS at home. That’s why it was predictable that they would…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins: Week 2 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (0-1) at Miami Dolphins (0-1) Before the season, I had the Raiders as one of my overrated teams. The Raiders’ Pythagorean Expectation last year suggested they should have won 6 games, not 8, as they went 7-2 in games decided by a touchdown or less, the most wins…