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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (10-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-1) The primary stat I use to handicap games is schedule adjusted first down rate differential, which tends to be more predictive than other stats because it minimizes the impact of stats that tend to be less predictable on a week-to-week basis, like turnover…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (8-7) at Los Angeles Rams (9-6) The Rams had a chance to clinch the division last week with a win in Seattle, but instead that game went about as bad as it could, as not only did the Rams lose, but they lost their starting quarterback Jared Goff,…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-14) at Indianapolis Colts (10-5) When these two teams met all the way back in week 1, I bet the Colts as 8-point favorites in Jacksonville because I had the Colts ranked as one of the top teams in the league and the Jaguars as one of the…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (10-5) at Houston Texans (4-11) I was hoping we would get the Titans at a discount this week after last week’s 40-14 loss in Green Bay. The Titans looked ugly in that game, losing the first down rate battle by 14.91%, but it’s likely they knew they could…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-9) at Detroit Lions (5-10) I thought the Vikings were an underrated team for much of the season, but I have mostly stayed away from betting them in recent weeks due to the absence of key linebacker Eric Kendricks. The Vikings still have a very productive offense that…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (11-4) at Carolina Panthers (5-10) I have been expecting to bet on the Saints this week, but things got thrown into flux on Saturday when it was announced that not only Alvin Kamara, but the Saints’ entire running back room will be out due to COVID protocols,…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3) at Cleveland Browns (10-5) This one is a tough call and I don’t want to spend too much time on it because the Steelers will be resting most of their key players, with either the 2 or 3 seed locked in. The line has ballooned to Cleveland…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (12-3) at Chicago Bears (8-7) When these two teams met for the first time this season in week 12, it was Mitch Trubisky’s first start of his second stint as the starter, taking over for Nick Foles, who was nursing an injury. The Packers won that game…
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Continue reading →: Washington Football Team at Philadelphia Eagles: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Washington Football Team (6-9) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-10-1) Washington is just 6-9, but they’ve been better than their record and have clearly been the best team in the NFC East this season, even though they have yet to clinch the division, which they’ll do with a win in this Sunday…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (6-9) at New York Giants (5-10) It may not seem like it based off of their records, but the winner of this game will still be alive to win the NFC East and would go on to host a home playoff game next week if Washington loses to…
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