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Continue reading →: 2021 NFL Mock Draft
Updated 4/29/21 1. Jacksonville Jaguars – QB Trevor Lawrence (Clemson) Unless I hear otherwise, I expect Trevor Lawrence to be a Jacksonville Jaguar, as everyone else does. One of the most polished and complete draft prospects of the past few decades, Lawrence is an obvious choice for the Jaguars, even…
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Continue reading →: NFL Free Agency Predictions – Skill Position Players
If I have time, I will do the other position groups. Players are sorted in terms of expected market value. Quarterbacks Ryan Fitzpatrick: It’s not a great free agency class at the quarterback position, but Ryan Fitzpatrick has arguably played the best football of his career over the past 3…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Super Bowl LV Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (14-5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (16-2) in Super Bowl LV Tom Brady will be appearing in his 10th ever Super Bowl in Super Bowl 55, an incredible number that is double the next highest total and that is more than all of Brady’s Hall-of-Fame contemporaries combined. This…
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Continue reading →: Matt Stafford/Jared Goff Trade Analysis
Trades can’t officially be accepted until the start of the NFL’s new league year in March, but the Detroit Lions have agreed to a deal sending quarterback Matt Stafford, who has made 165 starts in 12 seasons with the team, to the Los Angeles Rams, less than two weeks after…
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Continue reading →: 2016 NFL Draft Redo
1. Los Angeles Rams – QB Dak Prescott (Mississippi State) The Rams made a Super Bowl just three years after their original pick of Jared Goff, but Goff wasn’t the main driver of their offensive success that season, he struggled in the Super Bowl, and he hasn’t been as good…
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Continue reading →: 2020 NFL Conference Championship Picks
High Confidence Picks BUF +3.5 @ KC TB +3.5 @ GB
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers: 2020 NFC Championship Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13-5) at Green Bay Packers (14-3) The Packers led the NFL in points per game this season, but in terms of first down rate over expected, the Packers ranked “just” 4th at +2.48%. The reason I prefer first down rate as a stat is because it treats…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs: 2020 AFC Championship Pick
Buffalo Bills (15-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) The long awaited news has come that Patrick Mahomes will be able to play in this game and be 100%, despite being knocked out of last week’s win with a concussion. The betting public obviously likes that, shooting this line up to…
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Continue reading →: 2020 NFL Divisional Round Picks
High Confidence Picks CLE +10 @ KC BUF -1.5 vs. BAL Medium Confidence Picks LAR +7 @ GB Low Confidence Picks TB +3 @ NO No Confidence Picks NA
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints: 2020 NFC Divisional Round Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (12-5) at New Orleans Saints (13-4) This was the toughest call of the week for me and the only one of the four games I didn’t lock in with a bet earlier this week. There is a lot of history that suggests Tom Brady and the Buccaneers…