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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at New Orleans Saints: 2020 NFC Wild Card Round Pick
Chicago Bears (8-8) at New Orleans Saints (12-4) Coming into the season, the Saints ranked a clear #1 in my roster rankings and were my pre-season Super Bowl pick (over Baltimore). The Saints weren’t a consistently dominant team this season, but they consistently played well overall, despite missing various key…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2020 AFC Wild Card Round Pick
Cleveland Browns (11-5) at Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4) Earlier this week, I was expecting to bet on the Browns. I had the Browns as the slightly better of these two teams, but the Steelers were being favored by a field goal at home, where they wouldn’t have any homefield advantage. The…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans: 2020 AFC Wild Card Round Pick
Baltimore Ravens (11-5) at Tennessee Titans (11-5) Both of these teams finished at 11-5 and qualified for the post-season, but they also both finished with negative schedule adjusted first down rate differentials, with the Titans ranking 21st at -0.91% and the Ravens ranking 25th at -1.64%. First down rate tends…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks: 2020 NFC Wild Card Round Pick
Los Angeles Rams (10-6) at Seattle Seahawks (12-4) The Rams’ offense had serious injury issues last week against the Cardinals, but things seem to be getting better quickly. Running back Cam Akers, who struggled while playing at less than 100% last week, was not listed with an injury designation this…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills: 2020 AFC Wild Card Round Pick
Indianapolis Colts (11-5) at Buffalo Bills (13-3) The Colts qualified for the post-season at 11-5 and their 8th ranked +89 point differential is what you’d expect from an 11-win team, but they benefited from the league’s 2nd best turnover margin at +10 and the league’s easiest schedule, two things that…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Football Team: 2020 NFC Wild Card Round Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5) at Washington Football Team (7-9) The Washington Football Team has made the post-season at 7-9, just the third time in NFL history a team with a losing record has made the playoffs. Washington’s record and the fact that they only qualified for the playoffs because they’re…
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Continue reading →: NFL Against The Spread Pick Results (2013-2020)
2020 Regular Season Total Against the Spread: 130-122-4 (51.59%) Pick of the Week: 10-6-1 (62.50%) High Confidence Picks: 16-12 (57.14%) Medium Confidence Picks: 39-34-1 (53.42%) Money Picks (Medium Confidence and higher): 65-52-2 (55.66%) Low Confidence Picks: 46-38 (54.76%) No Confidence Picks: 19-32-2 (37.25%) Moneyline Upset Picks: 18-18 (50.00%) 2019 Total…
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Continue reading →: 2020 Week 17 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week CIN +14 vs. BAL High Confidence Picks WAS -3.5 @ PHI Medium Confidence Picks SEA -7 @ SF NO -5 @ CAR DET +4 vs. MIN NE -3 vs. NYJ Low Confidence Picks KC +4 vs. LAC BUF -1.5 vs. MIA NYG +1.5 vs. DAL GB…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (7-8) at Denver Broncos (5-10) The Raiders lost last week in crushing fashion, kicking what they thought was the game winning field goal with 19 seconds left in the game, only to allow the Dolphins to go 49 yards in one play with no timeouts left to…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (10-5) at Buffalo Bills (12-3) This is one of the toughest calls of the week because no one seems to know what the Bills are going to be doing with their star players. Like Pittsburgh, Buffalo is locked into either the 2 or 3 seed in the AFC,…
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