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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens: 2019 AFC Divisional Round Pick
Tennessee Titans (10-7) at Baltimore Ravens (14-2) The Titans looked in the middle of a lost season when they started 2-4, bottoming out with a shutout loss in Denver week 6. That loss ended up being a blessing in disguise, however, as that was the performance they needed to pull…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers: 2019 NFC Divisional Round Pick
Minnesota Vikings (11-6) at San Francisco 49ers (13-3) The 49ers got a bye in the first round of the playoffs and it came at a perfect time, as the 49ers had several key players dealing with injuries at the end of the season. They’re not at full strength, but no…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles: 2019 NFC Wild Card Round Pick
Seattle Seahawks (11-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (9-7) These two teams met in Philadelphia back in week 12, with the Seahawks winning a game that was 17-3 before a late Eagles touchdown cut it to a one score game. The conventional thinking is that the Seahawks shouldn’t have much trouble winning…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints: 2019 NFC Wild Card Round Pick
Minnesota Vikings (10-6) at New Orleans Saints (13-3) The Vikings qualified for the post-season, but they finished the season just 1-4 against fellow playoff qualifiers, tied with the Bills for worst among playoff qualifiers. Their one win came against an Eagles team that only qualified because they play in the…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans: 2019 AFC Wild Card Round Pick
Buffalo Bills (10-6) at Houston Texans (10-6) The Bills and Texans both went 10-6 in the regular season, locking in their seeding at 10-5 with a week left to go in the season and resting starters in an eventual meaningless week 17 loss. The Texans faced a much tougher schedule…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots: 2019 AFC Wild Card Round Pick
Tennessee Titans (9-7) at New England Patriots (12-4) This is a tough game to predict. If I were basing this pick solely off how these teams have played recently, the Titans would be an easy choice. Since turning to Ryan Tannehill under center following their week 6 loss in Denver,…
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Continue reading →: 2019 Regular Season Pick Results
2019 Total Against the Spread: 130-118-8 (52.34%) Pick of the Week: 12-3-2 (76.47%) High Confidence Picks: 18-11-1 (61.67%) Medium Confidence Picks: 34-34-2 (50.00%) Money Picks (Medium Confidence and higher): 64-48-5 (56.84%) Low Confidence Picks: 35-37-1 (48.63%) No Confidence Picks: 31-33-2 (48.48%) Upset Picks: 22-19 (53.66%) 2018 Total Against the Spread:…
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Continue reading →: 2019 Week 17 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week CIN +3 vs. CLE High Confidence Picks LAC +9 @ KC Medium Confidence Picks IND -4 @ JAX NYG +4.5 vs. PHI DAL -11 vs. WAS Low Confidence Picks DEN -3.5 vs. OAK SEA +3.5 vs. SF BAL +2 vs. PIT NE -16 vs. MIA TB…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams: 2019 Week 17 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (5-9-1) at Los Angeles Rams (8-7) The Rams have had a very disappointing 2019 season. After going 13-3 and representing the NFC in the Super Bowl last year, the Rams sit at just 8-7 and have been eliminated from the playoff race entirely ahead of week 17 this…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2019 Week 17 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (6-9) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-8) One of the biggest betting edges I’ve discovered over the years is the lack of week-to-week correlation between turnover margins. The winner of the turnover margin wins the game about 80% of the time, but turnover margins have no predictability week-to-week. Teams…